GFS may be showing the mesoscale feature picked by by IF in the EC ENS stamps Monday night into Tuesday.  This appears to show more organised precipitation which would fall as snow to almost all the UK. Too far out to hang your hat on it.

In summary increasingly cold this week with more/most of any snowfall in the North and West

The South and East may do better into next week.

What is good is that the blowtorch in FI stays in FI at the moment and the UKMO is encouraging for prolonging the cold.

Is that a classic Pembrokeshire Dangler I see in that chart? 

a positive post by murr over on NW -------Ive just revisited the thread - why is everyone suicidal- its looking very good, initial flurries tomorrow night then potentially the main event for the weekend-!

and a few intresting  fergie post from NW ------

 We are using UKV now for the higher-res PPN phase forecasting / accumulating snow likelihoods.

Thursday early hrs/ early AM is particularly interesting, given the continued modelling of a small-scale cold front moving south through W Midlands/Bristol Channel. Theta-W fields show this well. We suspect this could yield more organised prospect of snow showers for some districts of W Country/central-S England early Thurs but await further runs before committing to the notion with deterministic confidence.

Mendips and environs to E of there is the only part of W Country where a snow accumulation signal of any note has persisted through various recent runs of all more consistent modelling (ECMWF, UKMO-GM, E4, UKV....). Other areas yes, but Mendips has been a focus. Unsurprising given flow direction

Euro 4 model shows some heavy snow showers getting into the Midlands at times on Thursday.

Yep. I may actually be going in the right direction this weekend as I will be in a fairly elevated part of North Devon.

I hope MODS/ADMINS don't mind.   here Is another murr post from NW ---

Wow - UKMO 144-!!!!!!!

Where did the EPO- ridge appear from !!!!!! Surprised no one has noticed-

UKMO !

 UKMO144JAN.gif   182.91KB   0 downloads

GFS

 Gfs144Jan.jpg   397.78KB   0 downloads

The UKMO would certainly slow the eastward progression down due to the 2 wave pattern being progged.- the UKMO is the best run thus far-

 one from fergie,

We are working on any E4 accumulations showing from Midlands S'ward as overdone by about a factor of x2. Uncertainty on spatial distribution but signal for some accumulations in parts of the south, especially by/through Thurs AM, remains ok (via smallscale cold front-type feature I described earlier).  Might warrant a minor impacts ice/snow advisory but that decision won;t be made until tomorrow AM.

I havent seen sat24.com give a snow forecast like this before:

Is this Steve Murr you refer to a qualified Meteoroligist?

Looks about right LOL. A snowy NWly for NW parts and across the far north of England - dry in NE Scotland. Then a cool but not cold enough northerly with precipitation followed by a colder but drier northerly and then high pressure. Still, at least it looks seasonal and some people will have snow.

Thrilling.

Hopefully better things to come later in the weekend for southerners

Do you have a link to these charts please?

Not worthing but London has 100% LOL

I think it is this type of chart, just change the latitude and longitude in the address:

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=57.2&lon=-2.3

Thanks 

Another option from ECM. Anything could happen post day 7. Even Brian's taste of Spring.

 Shannon is a busy girl tonight

Translation - might snow a little

I don't believe so.. he is a renowned cold ramper though!

Hi all,

i'm a complete newbie to this forum, but have enjoyed the website for many years. its fascinating watching the models, and 'learning' that anything beyond 5-7 days is in the lap of the gods. we are located in a rural area in North county Cork, in ROI. The last time(10 days ago approx) that this upcoming set up transpired, it delivered 10 cms of snow locally, with school closures etc. Our Met service here, has warned of widespread snowfall ( http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp) , from showers mainly. cannot wait! keep the posts comin guys, love all the differing views and opinions.