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The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:16:33

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015020106/gfsnh-0-138.png?6


Very odd looking chart though. Cant see it happening. Gives us a bit of cheer though for a few hours


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Jive Buddy
01 February 2015 10:16:52


 


A colder snowier run.  Should it verify, it would create some dusted white meadows and lawns across much of England with -10 uppers inbound



 


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


LOL! 


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.
Matty H
01 February 2015 10:17:52


Must be quite galling for the naysayers to be presented with this output

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 



A pity that the professionals (MO) get drawn in too, and then withdraw.


The writing is on the wall for winter 14-15.

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


Gooner
01 February 2015 10:18:26


Could really have done with the LP over Italy to travel NW a tad


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:20:22

I think this is nonsense run. The high could never hold its position like that with the amount of energy going over it


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gooner
01 February 2015 10:20:23


 


Must be quite galling for the naysayers to be presented with this output


 


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle Go to Quoted Post

 


A pity that the professionals (MO) get drawn in too, and then withdraw.


The writing is on the wall for winter 14-15.




 


 


 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


That's unfortunate


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
01 February 2015 10:22:22


Is that another area of cold heading for the UK


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Whether Idle
01 February 2015 10:22:53


 


 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Hey no ones perfect


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Jive Buddy
01 February 2015 10:23:31

To be fair, he didn't say what the writing was.....


 


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.
Hippydave
01 February 2015 10:24:50


I think this is nonsense run. The high could never hold its position like that with the amount of energy going over it


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



It's not the usual course of events but it did happen a couple of years ago - raging yet over the top with a big cold pool underneath. Glancing cold to the UK and severe cold and blizzards to parts of europe. 


That one lasted a while too.


I grant you the sinker is the usual outcome but the never thing isn't true


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:25:27

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015020106/gfsnh-1-162.png?6


Cold air building up in Europe again


But this is a total outlier I think. The only route back to cold is a mid atlantic ridge and Scandi trough.


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gooner
01 February 2015 10:25:41


The SE crew would be happy with this heading their way


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Whether Idle
01 February 2015 10:26:14

Anyway, this chart is looking quite good and is quite obviously, beyond any reasonable doubt the new trend



Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:29:57

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015020106/gfsnh-0-180.png?6


Frozen Frogs legs


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gooner
01 February 2015 10:34:01


We stay in Winter then


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


tallyho_83
01 February 2015 10:34:10


http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015020106/gfsnh-0-180.png?6


Frozen Frogs legs


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Nice bit of snow for the southern Alps then!?  -Could you PM me these models - not just the one but this list? Thanks.


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:34:39

NAVGEM solution is far more plausible unfortunately. Not all that bad but the more realistic option


http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/navgem/runs/2015020106/navgemnh-0-144.png?01-11


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
shiver
01 February 2015 10:37:06
Well well is this a wobble? or a last min flip because if it was the other way round we would all be saying game over T90 is very early for a big change
Gooner
01 February 2015 10:37:18


Cold air for all of England and Wales


 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:39:08

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015020106/gfs-1-204.png?6


Thats what I call giving the finger to the pv


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
01 February 2015 10:42:44

On the downside, the Daily Express "3 week freeze" might actually come true if this run verifies. We'll never hear the end of  it Madden will be after an MBE


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
squish
01 February 2015 10:50:22
Having glanced at the 00z runs and been a bit disappointed (GME maybe the exception), the 06z is quite a shock. Fingers crossed...
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
Sinky1970
01 February 2015 10:50:31
Huge difference between the last two GFS runs at 240hrs.
shiver
01 February 2015 10:58:21
Hmm navgem thinking about the gfs route at T90 could this be a last min flip
Whether Idle
01 February 2015 11:02:04
To be fair the 0z GEFS had several options that went down the road the 6z did. Volatile output and the 12z output will be interesting to say the least. Could be that the 6z is a red herring, could be a new trend.

To coin a phrase " bloody model watching".
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.

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