Hi all

Here's the five day forecast video;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Here's the written version;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html

Summer 2015 take's a turn for the worse and gives us a very unsettled and cool spell...

turn for the worse suits me fine gav  always watching your vids and reading up on posts,as always great work, ROLL ON WINTER

Thanks siz!

Won't be much "sizzling" going on in the next few days... More like "dripping"! 

Thanks Gavin. Not unsettled by a taste of Autumnal weather. We always need the rain.   Tomatoes need swelling up.... 

Gavin - are we seeing an increased frequency of unusually deep (for mid-summer) depressions due to the abnormally cold sea temps of the N Atlantic causing cyclogenesis further south than usual??  I imagine the cold waters are also lowering the air temps (relative to the norm) over the UK in a westerly airstream and contributing to the very average summer for those North of the Midlands.

If these conditions continue out in the N Atlantic (and they have been a permanent fixture for the past 7/8 months), I feel we could be in for an interesting/eventful autumn/winter, especially if El Nino plays ball and solar activity remains on its significant downward path.

David, Northallerton

Hi David,

I'm not sure Re. SST's. I think the UK Met said colder than normal SST's in summer should promote ridging... But maybe these cold sea surface temperature anomalies are causing something different this summer? They must be having an effect in temperatures (in the north and west)

Remember we've not seen anything like this in the North Atlantic since early 90's or 1980's... So a lot of us are in "unknown territory" to some degree.

The lawn could use a drop of the hard stuff and it seems that Friday may provide the goods. Cheers as always, Mr GP.

Thanks Gavin

Thank you Gavin.  It seems as though the abnormally cold SSTs might, IMO, have partly been as a consequence of the extremely cold past 2 winters in NE America.  It is interesting, nonetheless, especially as we now also have to consider possible implications of freshwater input into the N Atlantic from ice melt.  We did not have that in the 1990s.

David, Northallerton