The models seem to have struggled to fully capture the effects of the quite unusual setup this year - the unusually large anomalously cold area N. Altantic, the often toasty to roasting hot Europe, and perhaps more in the way of sudden, extreme setups in the arctic in response to so much ocean being exposed (that last one's pure speculation at this point in time).
Its not been enjoyable having conclusions from model output and trends trashed again and again by reality -.-
Winter may just drive us all mad if the uncertainty remains so high and near in the output range! 😛
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On