If the MetO has lost the contract then I would expect something like this to follow:
1) Reorganisation at the Met Office
2) Privatisation of the forecasting division
3) Date provision either opened up like NCEP or (depending on 1) a more commercial implementation of the current model
Unlike most people in this thread I do have a small amount of experience of speaking to the Met / ECM about the commercial provisioning of data. Between them they currently have the best numerical output available and control the radar network. However, access to their data sets comes at a high price which most small agencies can't justify paying whilst NCEP, CMC etc are free. Can't recall exact figures but ECM access was I think in the region of £80k to £100k per annum. The Met and ECM also gave me the impression of not having a strong sales focus. If Met / ECM were to implement a flexible self service 'pick n mix' model which was competitively priced they would quickly establish a large customer base across different media channels such as web sites, apps, local TV/radio etc.
What about the new BBC forecast provider? We'll need to wait and see but I'd be surprised if:
1) the full forecasting team is retained
2) presentation and graphics remain as now
2) the amount of repeat and looped forecasts is not increased
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze