The latest for my location (just south of Salisbury, 40 or so miles from Southampton):
Last night was less balmy than GFS had been anticipating (until the 12z of yesterday, at least) but still a date record high minimum. Today exceeded the predicted maximum slightly, smashing the date record high maximum by 2.6*C. Bearing in mind the records only span 14 years, of course!
GFS has come around to the idea of a second spell of exceptionally high temperatures for a few days in the middle of the month, with more date records suggested. ECM moved away from this on the 12z of yesterday and 00z of today, but has shifted back again this evening and is now similar to GFS in that respect. Notably, ECM doesn't look like setting up anything all that much cooler going forward from day 10, though I'm only basing that on the op run at this stage so the usual caveats must be considered.
I went for a walk this afternoon and soon shed my light rain jacket for a t-shirt as the rain cleared and the sun came out. I was able to stand still for 10 minutes on a bridge looking out over a swollen stream, feeling the warmth of the sun on my face and warms, despite windy conditions. All of this about 90 days from the winter solstice! I was surprised to find a maximum of 16.6*C to be honest - it felt warmer. That'll be due to the high dew points of course, with values in the mid-teens that are more typical of sultry days in summer.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser