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16 December 2015 20:22:12


Warmest I could find on the official list:

Hawarden 15.3 (North Wales foehn FTW!)
Heathrow and Gravesend 15.2
Yeovilton 15.1
Northolt 15.0


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Also:


London St James Park 15.3C


Kew Gardens 15.3C (hourly max so absolute max may well have been higher)

16 December 2015 20:29:46

Latest Met Office Blog says it is the 4th warmest start to December for the UK as a whole since 1910.


However the temperature anomaly for England and Wales is much higher than for the rest of the UK hence why we have an all time record for Wales and southern parts of England to the 14th (although records for these regions only go back to 1960).


http://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2015/12/16/mild-start-to-december/

Stormchaser
16 December 2015 20:30:03

I was wondering how far temps might climb as of midday what with some holes in the cloud developing - but that was soon replaced with murky low cloud and the potential for a nudge above the 'baseline' temperature was lost.


With a 14*C maximum it was pretty much in line with GFS for once... but the overnight period wasn't, logging 12.5*C as opposed to GFS' 11*C. That's gone and set a new largest anomaly for the Nov-Dec 'mild madness'; +8.67*C.


Now it comes down to whether tomorrow can manage to be even warmer. Saturday also continues to have the potential to be exceptional but there's been a slight nudge down in the maximums since yesterday's GFS op runs. It also looks to be important just how soon the wave of warm air arrives; the minimum of around 11*C for Fri-Sat is being shown to be between 2100 and 0000 so if the warmer air arrived a few hours sooner the min would end up being more like 13*C or so and the record largest 24h anomaly of the year would most likely be set, having possibly only been established 48 hours earlier (if Thursday beats the +8.92 of 1st July).


 


I've been checking the trees for signs of budding and there are hints here and there. It makes me wonder just how damaging it could be if nature goes into spring mode only for it to turn seriously cold in January - which is a distinct possibility based on current signals.


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2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Larry Seinfeld
16 December 2015 23:05:30


I was wondering how far temps might climb as of midday what with some holes in the cloud developing - but that was soon replaced with murky low cloud and the potential for a nudge above the 'baseline' temperature was lost.


With a 14*C maximum it was pretty much in line with GFS for once... but the overnight period wasn't, logging 12.5*C as opposed to GFS' 11*C. That's gone and set a new largest anomaly for the Nov-Dec 'mild madness'; +8.67*C.


Now it comes down to whether tomorrow can manage to be even warmer. Saturday also continues to have the potential to be exceptional but there's been a slight nudge down in the maximums since yesterday's GFS op runs. It also looks to be important just how soon the wave of warm air arrives; the minimum of around 11*C for Fri-Sat is being shown to be between 2100 and 0000 so if the warmer air arrived a few hours sooner the min would end up being more like 13*C or so and the record largest 24h anomaly of the year would most likely be set, having possibly only been established 48 hours earlier (if Thursday beats the +8.92 of 1st July).


 


I've been checking the trees for signs of budding and there are hints here and there. It makes me wonder just how damaging it could be if nature goes into spring mode only for it to turn seriously cold in January - which is a distinct possibility based on current signals.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 

I looked at the Horse Chestnut trees on my road yesterday and they have buds. But I have no idea how normal or not that may be? I've just googled it but I'm finding it hard to find information on when you should expect to see the first buds in Southern England.


snow 2004
16 December 2015 23:29:51
Temperature has risen back up to 13 degrees here! Feels so so weird.


Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
16 December 2015 23:48:46

Reading 14C on the car at 10pm this evening. It felt warmer on the dog walk tonight as opposed to this morning when it was 13C, mainly due to the lighter winds and the damp feeling having evaporated (which has been relentless for days). So bizarre. 


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich
Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)



Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21
Days Snow Lying: 8
Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)
Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6
Days Snow Lying: 6
Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27
Days Snow Lying: 24
Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)
Viking3
17 December 2015 09:56:37

From the synoptic network, Aultbea in Wester Ross was 15.7C at 0600 this morning in a strong SSW wind. Local stations on Wunderground show similar values and in several of the stations in the area show a spike in temperatures between 0700 and 0900 this morning, so there has most likely been some kind of Foehn effect kicking in for a couple of hours. One or two of the stations may have exceeded 16C for a short time.


The UK December record temperature is 18.3C at Achnashellach in 1948. It's the same general area and obviously is prone to enhancement of the already warm source air by descent from above mountain level.


Keith
Aboyne, Aberdeenshire
135m asl
Crepuscular Ray
17 December 2015 10:27:18
Out in town in a shirt and jacket last night and first thing this morning it was 13 C...feels strange
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 December 2015 10:47:48

The HD models really suck at unusually warm winter temperatures; it was 16C this morning in altnaharra (a good 6C warmer than predicted), even now its 15C quite widely in the south (a good 3C warmer than predicted). If we maintain this 3C gap then we should expect to see 18C in lincolnshire in a few hours, but even if we don't then 16C or 17C is on the cards.


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Russwirral
17 December 2015 11:21:01
was in Canary wharf yesterday having some beer with friends. We decided to sit out side - albeit with out coats on , but was something we were used to doing May through til September - not the middle of December.
Rob K
17 December 2015 11:40:21
Overnight minimum was 13.0C at Rhyl last night, and 13.2C at Magilligan (Northern Ireland).

(And the official high yesterday was 15.5C at Kew Gardens.)
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
The Beast from the East
17 December 2015 11:47:40

It feels like the first day of Spring out there right now. Incredible. Birds and insects full of life in the garden


So this is Global warming in action!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
17 December 2015 12:09:17

Even here on the hill it's 13.8c.


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
Stormchaser
17 December 2015 12:26:06

Typical as it is, the minimum here last night matched the GFS output for the first time in ages, coming in at 11.4*C. This was due to some clear skies between 5 and 6 in the morning. Yet in itself it's remarkable that clear skies, with not much of a breeze, in mid-December, wasn't able to get the temperature to fall any lower!


Currently halfway between 13 and 14*C here and I'm not sure it's going to climb much more, as the cold front is approaching. On the other hand, Yeovilton reported 15*C at noon.


I see London Airport is at near 16*C now... no Foehn involved there!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
SEMerc
17 December 2015 12:31:43

Pershore reporting 16.9C.

ARTzeman
17 December 2015 16:01:35

14.2c at 10:47  the best for Peasedown St John for the day.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
17 December 2015 17:46:09

I don't know if this has already been posted but in case it hasn't. 


 


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


 


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
Bertwhistle
17 December 2015 17:50:48


I don't know if this has already been posted but in case it hasn't. 


 


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


 


Originally Posted by: POD 


Can't get the link to work POD; want to try again?


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
bradders
17 December 2015 17:57:26


It feels like the first day of Spring out there right now. Incredible. Birds and insects full of life in the garden


So this is Global warming in action!


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Is it global warming in action or just persistantly southerly winds?


If northerly winds brought warm weather I would be worried. 



Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
17 December 2015 18:05:45


 


Can't get the link to work POD; want to try again?


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


Try copy and paste.


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
Essan
17 December 2015 18:06:45

15.2c today - the highest December temperature on record for my garden (from 2003)

Even more bizarre when parts of the Scottish Highlands were even warmer!


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Essan
17 December 2015 18:11:41


Pershore reporting 16.9C.


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 



Pershore was 15.0c at 12.00

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/world-weather/weather-stations/obsid/3529.html


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Rob K
17 December 2015 20:17:40


Pershore reporting 16.9C.


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


 


Seems to be an error. The max at Pershore was 15.1C today.


Max from my list seems to have been Gravesend at 16.2C but some of the London ones may have pipped it.


 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Stormchaser
17 December 2015 20:25:55


Seems to be an error. The max at Pershore was 15.1C today.


Max from my list seems to have been Gravesend at 16.2C but some of the London ones may have pipped it.


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Gravesend is as high as I can find in the Ogimet data:


http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&ind=03784&decoded=yes&ndays=2&ano=2015&mes=12&day=17&hora=18


Less than 4 degrees from 20*C in the middle of our darkest month. Amazing.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 December 2015 20:31:32


 


Gravesend is as high as I can find in the Ogimet data:


http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&ind=03784&decoded=yes&ndays=2&ano=2015&mes=12&day=17&hora=18


Less than 4 degrees from 20*C in the middle of our darkest month. Amazing.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


Check 8am this morning in Altnharra. Oddly it was very warm very early in the far north. 


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.

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