I was wondering how far temps might climb as of midday what with some holes in the cloud developing - but that was soon replaced with murky low cloud and the potential for a nudge above the 'baseline' temperature was lost.
With a 14*C maximum it was pretty much in line with GFS for once... but the overnight period wasn't, logging 12.5*C as opposed to GFS' 11*C. That's gone and set a new largest anomaly for the Nov-Dec 'mild madness'; +8.67*C.
Now it comes down to whether tomorrow can manage to be even warmer. Saturday also continues to have the potential to be exceptional but there's been a slight nudge down in the maximums since yesterday's GFS op runs. It also looks to be important just how soon the wave of warm air arrives; the minimum of around 11*C for Fri-Sat is being shown to be between 2100 and 0000 so if the warmer air arrived a few hours sooner the min would end up being more like 13*C or so and the record largest 24h anomaly of the year would most likely be set, having possibly only been established 48 hours earlier (if Thursday beats the +8.92 of 1st July).
I've been checking the trees for signs of budding and there are hints here and there. It makes me wonder just how damaging it could be if nature goes into spring mode only for it to turn seriously cold in January - which is a distinct possibility based on current signals.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser