Some of the models are now regularly showing quite frightening wind speeds and central pressures for at least one depression swinging around the South East of the main storm track.

Hopefully it will come to little, but we have today's 12z GFS run showing central pressure of around 930mb on the 30th off Ireland and again on the 1st in the Irish Sea, with sustained winds well above 50kts (the scale finishes at 50) across a huge swathe of the coast from Cornwall to North East Scotland.

By comparison the 1990 Burns day storm bottomed out at 949mb with highest sustained winds of 64kts.

Not at my computer so can post charts, others please do.

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New Year day possible storm

Apparently the UK is under there somewhere

Aye, this is something that needs watching over the next few days .....

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This Evil Eva is it.....

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No, Eva is tomorrow....

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Eva will have little impact on most of us - I doubt the MetO would have named it, it was a Met Eireann decision.   This will be Frank.

But The Great New Years Eve Storm of 2016 is, I am sure, how it will be remembered, if, of course, it occurs!

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This thread could well end up as a Michael Fish moment

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That's a very long range forecast...

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Spotters badge

 

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Can we call it storm Tim?

I really cant stand this nonsense of naming ordinary winter depressions. Even the weather has now been dumbed down to satisfy the tabloid market

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You heard it here first   

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Well the New Year's eve storm isn't happening but there are still some pretty deep lows forecast in early January and some strong coastal winds. One thing worth keeping an eye on are the super spring tides expected between 11 and 14 January

The synoptics around the 5th would look ominous for North Sea flooding especially in the Netherlands (deep low in situ bringing north westerlies) but the tides won't be at their peak yet. But there's enough low pressure around the North Atlantic at the moment that the right configuration around the 11th could cause problems.

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Looks increasingly like next Thursday could see some very strong winds. These storms are alphabetical, right? And alternating make and female. So what's the betting Met Eirann plump for storm Georgina? Or Gertrude, Gina, Gabi, Gwendoline...

Today's 06z shows central pressure of between 930 and 935mb over Scotland at the lowest point. The 00z had almost equally low pressure but further South.

One to keep an eye on. It seems more when rather than if we get hit hard by a big gale this month. The Atlantic is spawning some very low pressures at the moment.

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Although it pains me to get involved in a conversation about the naming of depressions (I hate the whole idea of it), did you know the names have already been chosen:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/uk-storm-centre

😷🤒

 

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Gertrude it is then. A name that will live forever in infamy.

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