Based on the output we have seen over the last few days I think it would be foolish to discount the possibility of snow, no matter how small the risk. For all we know that small channel low feature that has been picked up and dropped a few times by the UKMO, GFS and ECM could suddenly re-appear providing a very different picture on Thurs/ Fri ?

Here is the Met Office fax chart.

Sub 524 dam air, convective troughs, weak disturbances, light winds..January...potential.

Discounting the options post 48 hours is perhaps a little premature at this stage. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Yes Steve, its a possibility. 

Snow in the south on Thursday/ Friday is a possibility (IMHO a very low one), tomorrow may shed a little more clarity on an unclear picture.

Those forecasting the return of the slug may find the models tomorrow deliver some blue pellets.

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

HUGE uncertainty at 144 illustrated on this chart- look at the spread to the NW

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

Yes..what is also very certain is deep cold just to our east at 144 hours too. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Getting that across the North Sea is the big challenge.  Still, there's enough uncertainty for it still to be a possibility.

...We could be heroes.....just for one day...

...more like the laughing gnome

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

More like 'Ground control to Major Tom'

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

More like 'Ground control to Major Tom'

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

Or instead of stratospheric warming we could have Space Oddity? 

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

That is yesterday's fax chart - here is today's for Thursday at 12:00

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax72s.gif?1

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 

Ashes to Ashes for the Slug?

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

 I think that the cold is there and e precipitation - just possibly not at the same time, or in the south at least. Details and confidence at this range would have to be very limited. As for snow in the south, I wouldn't rule it out even at lower levels at times (as suggested by the Met Office) but I certainly would not forecast it with any confidence or high probability yet.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Ashes to Ashes for the Slug?

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

Let's dance to that!

Originally Posted by: Col 

So, time for the pub run (programmed by those young Americans at the GFS). Will the blocking once again come under pressure by the weekend?

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Just hope tonight's gfs is the Starman and does a flip!

Originally Posted by: festivalking