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Arcus
25 January 2016 11:48:13


So we have a potential disruptive storm incoming with rainfall impacts likely from the remnants of Snowstorm Jonas.


Now here is the problem and illustrates why the decision to name stroms is frankly ridiculous. Should the storm require a name under the guidleines of expected impact, it will be storm HENRY. But it already has a name. 'Oh dear' say the UK Metoffice, we didn't think of that!


So what are we to expect? 'Storm Henry (formally known as Jonas) expected soon'. Or perhaps we should adopt a hybrid system and call it Storm Honas or even Jenry.


Argument over IMO - drop the naming of storms before we becomes a laughing stock.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


To be fair Neil the US meteorological establishment didn't name this storm - they don't name winter storms in the US. It was more a media thing (i.e. TWC). At least that's what the Fox News Weather Anchor said over the weekend... 


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
nsrobins
25 January 2016 12:09:22


 


To be fair Neil the US meteorological establishment didn't name this storm - they don't name winter storms in the US. It was more a media thing (i.e. TWC). At least that's what the Fox News Weather Anchor said over the weekend... 


Originally Posted by: Arcus 


I acknowledge who was responsible for the name Ben, but that is the gist of my argument. From Joe Public's POV it is Storm Jonas because that's what they've read and heard and spoken about in the shopping malls and gun ranges across the Eastern Seaboard. So now the misinformed of Britain are asking when Storm Jonas is going to hit, with all the subsequent explanations about lack of snow, etc, ongoing. Then tomorrow the papers and media start talking about Storm Henry and Mr Joe Confused has every right to be totally screwed.


Leave Names To Hurricanes is going to be my new campaign slogan


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Gavin D
25 January 2016 12:37:26
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Saturday 30 Jan 2016 to Monday 8 Feb 2016:

On Saturday 30th there is likely to be an area of rain for a time across southern areas with brighter, colder, showery weather following across northern and central parts. These showers will be wintry at times, especially across Scotland. Then the latest indications are that another frontal system will arrive from the west at some point during Sunday, bringing further rain and a return to milder conditions. Thereafter it looks likely to remain changeable and often unsettled with various depressions running in from the Atlantic, bringing further bands of rain interspersed by colder, showery conditions. Most areas will often be windy and gales are likely at times. Overall the temperature should be near or above average, though brief overnight frost and fog is still possible between frontal systems.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 9 Feb 2016 to Tuesday 23 Feb 2016:

In general the first half of February looks likely to remain changeable with unsettled, milder spells interspersed with colder, showery interludes. The windiest and most unsettled weather is likely to occur in the north and northwest while the south and southeast should see somewhat drier conditions overall, though even here some rain and strong winds are likely at times. Despite relatively mild conditions prevailing some overnight frost and fog is quite probable in any quieter intervals. As we move into the second half of February there are signs that pressure may build in the mid Atlantic bringing a more north to northwesterly airflow to the British Isles, thus increasing the risk of colder conditions developing.
The Beast from the East
25 January 2016 12:41:52

At least the mid atlantic ridge must be still showing up on their models for mid month, so the hope remains. That's all we can cling to for the moment


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Russwirral
25 January 2016 13:05:08


Lol, it's been the highlight of what's been a truly uninspiring winter.😜


Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


why cant we just number them?  


 


 


Essan
25 January 2016 13:19:53


So we have a potential disruptive storm incoming with rainfall impacts likely from the remnants of Snowstorm Jonas.


Now here is the problem and illustrates why the decision to name stroms is frankly ridiculous. Should the storm require a name under the guidleines of expected impact, it will be storm HENRY. But it already has a name. 'Oh dear' say the UK Metoffice, we didn't think of that!


So what are we to expect? 'Storm Henry (formally known as Jonas) expected soon'. Or perhaps we should adopt a hybrid system and call it Storm Honas or even Jenry.


Argument over IMO - drop the naming of storms before we becomes a laughing stock.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


And as soon as it crosses the North Sea it will get two more names; from the Germans and the Scandinavians ....


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Joe Bloggs
25 January 2016 13:20:25


crazy cold spell in Asia


 


3*c in Hong kong, Frost up on the mountains - looks like freezing fog to me, as everyone is coated in ice


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-35397763


 


Crazy.


 


Probably explains why the UK and western europe is going mild.  US is cold, Asia cold... somewhere has to go mild.


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


I received a text from my sister in Bangkok... The max temp there today was just 21C. For the Thai capital that really is bitterly cold.


I notice that Hanoi has been in single figures too. 


 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
25 January 2016 15:14:32


crazy cold spell in Asia 


3*c in Hong kong, Frost up on the mountains - looks like freezing fog to me, as everyone is coated in ice 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-35397763


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


Here's a local report


http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/1903980/big-chill-way-sorry-hong-kong-its-too-warm-snow


 


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
25 January 2016 15:30:58


So we have a potential disruptive storm incoming with rainfall impacts likely from the remnants of Snowstorm Jonas.


Now here is the problem and illustrates why the decision to name stroms is frankly ridiculous. Should the storm require a name under the guidleines of expected impact, it will be storm HENRY. But it already has a name. 'Oh dear' say the UK Metoffice, we didn't think of that!


So what are we to expect? 'Storm Henry (formally known as Jonas) expected soon'. Or perhaps we should adopt a hybrid system and call it Storm Honas or even Jenry.


Argument over IMO - drop the naming of storms before we becomes a laughing stock.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


The currently-showing MetO website suggests it should be Gertrude, with Henry still to come (?)


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/uk-storm-centre


and if it begins with J, then Jake. But it was certainly Jonas on the BBC weather last night.


 


So the chaotic naming hasn't helped the cause of naming storms. I think the principle is still a good one, to fix storms in the public memory, but someone needs to pick the system up and give it a good shaking.



  1. All European agencies need to agree the same list of names

  2. It's quite acceptable for a change of name as storms cross the Atlantic - it helps to make the point that the nature of the storm has changed in its travels (I look forward to the first transgender storm as trangenderism is very much a social happening these days)


 


 


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
turbotubbs
25 January 2016 15:44:14

Naming storms was only ever a media gimmic anyway. I can see the idiots drooling over using hashtags to get twitter profile which leads to the back to the met. Its a pointless and stupid idea, and adds nothing, other than to give the impression of the weather being more extreme than it really is. Just by naming a storm its been marked out as special.


 

Arcus
25 January 2016 15:46:46


 


The currently-showing MetO website suggests it should be Gertrude, with Henry still to come (?)


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/uk-storm-centre


and if it begins with J, then Jake. But it was certainly Jonas on the BBC weather last night.


 


Originally Posted by: DEW 


Yes the BBC made a mistake in picking up on a name created by the US media that wasn't officially being used in the States, so a rod for their own back if they chose to rename it and confuse people further.


Ironic to think that the original naming of TDs and hurricanes in the Atlantic was started so as to avoid confusion for maritime interests when several storms were in existence at the same time...


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Bertwhistle
25 January 2016 17:49:14


 


Incorrect. I'm not quite sure what your agenda is, and it's probably not worth spending too much time debating this, but just to clarify:


Astronomical Spring: From the Spring Equinox to the Solstice (approx 22nd March to 21st June)


Meteorological Spring: March to May. Always has been, for the purposes of accurate data collection and archive


Custom Spring: Whatever you want it to be for wherever you are in the UK and not to be confused with either of the above which are fact and not subject to perceptive interpretation.


 


Hope that makes things a little less confusing for you.


 


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


There was no agenda, honestly! If you read back, you'll see my posts just evolved out of the talk at the time. There doesn't have to be an agenda just because I posted something that wasn't agreed with.  I've stopped pursuing this point. What a reaction- you'll all be calling me Marilyn next.


I have answered purely because I think it's fair that I respond to this thing about agendas.


 


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
tallyho_83
25 January 2016 21:32:56


I also heard that there was snow in Taiwan. I understand there was snow in Taipei city!? and Vietnam as well - We could always head there! Haha the way things are going looks like there will be a greater chance of snow in Florida or Hong Kong than in England !!


 


This is an interesting article:


http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/cold-spell-hits-northern-vietnam-including-hanoi


Also Bangkok was hit by the cold - temperatures plummeting some 15c below normal!!


I am not being funny but even Tel A viv was hovering around 5c today as a max. Damascus had a low of -4c today.


Let's leave the USA 2-3ft snowstorm or Canada out of the equation! AM I the only one that is noticing that even the tropical-subtropical climate gets better cold spells than we do? When have we EVER been some 10 or 15c below normal?! I mean Taiwan is an ISLAND! Makes me MAD!


This should be in the moan thread but anyway!


Here is another article:


http://focustaiwan.tw/news/asoc/201601240007.aspx


 What next? Snow in Bermuda or Canary islands?


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
26 January 2016 01:18:54

Looks like they aren't bothering naming the storm tomorrow. Perhaps it was to not confuse people; but then if there is any damage or flooding people will question why it wasn't named.


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich
Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)



Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21
Days Snow Lying: 8
Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)
Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6
Days Snow Lying: 6
Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27
Days Snow Lying: 24
Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)
nsrobins
26 January 2016 08:09:22


Looks like they aren't bothering naming the storm tomorrow. Perhaps it was to not confuse people; but then if there is any damage or flooding people will question why it wasn't named.


Originally Posted by: RobR 


Which was my previous argument.


This storm should really be called Henry, but already has a 'name' so Jonas will have to do.
But, do we not have a Jake on our list?


Oh dear, poor Jake when he comes along will have to be ditched and we'll go straight to Katie.


What an absolute joke lol. I have of course attempted to communicate my issue with naming storms to our Met Office but as yet have not had a reply.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Weathermac
26 January 2016 08:25:02


 


Which was my previous argument.


This storm should really be called Henry, but already has a 'name' so Jonas will have to do.
But, do we not have a Jake on our list?


Oh dear, poor Jake when he comes along will have to be ditched and we'll go straight to Katie.


What an absolute joke lol. I have of course attempted to communicate my issue with naming storms to our Met Office but as yet have not had a reply.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


very true neil and no warnings for wind but already gusting over 60mph in wales .

RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
26 January 2016 08:29:59

My wife even called it Jonas this morning when she said it was windy and she does not care usually!


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich
Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)



Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21
Days Snow Lying: 8
Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)
Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6
Days Snow Lying: 6
Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27
Days Snow Lying: 24
Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)
Gavin D
26 January 2016 10:42:39
kmoorman
26 January 2016 10:46:36

CPF forecast updated

Colder weather to arrive in spring? find out below

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/o/A3_plots-temp-FMA_v1.pdf

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

">http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/4/A3_plots-precip-FMA_v1.pdf


 


That would be bl**dy typical...   I bet we get oodles of Northerly blocking over the summer months as well.


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Twister
26 January 2016 10:51:51
Quite an interesting context on that pdf. Looks like the MetO are still suggesting a good chance of a SSW, although timing is uncertain.

But they suggest that March might well be our winter month this year!
Location: Egerton, Kent - 33m ASL
Thunder 2016: 12 (Apr 3,13; May 21; Jun 8,11,17,22,23,25, Jul 2,12, Aug 26)
Winter 2015/6: Snowfalls: 10 | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 17 (0.5cm)) | Air frosts: 39
Winter 2016/7: Snowfalls: 4 (Jan 12-3, Feb 10-11) | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 13, 2cm, Feb 11, 3-5mm) | Air frosts: 57 (2 in Oct, 10 in Nov, 13 in Dec, 19 in Jan, 6 in Feb, 3 in Mar, 4 in Apr)
"The heavens tell of the glory of God. The skies display his marvellous craftsmanship." (Psalm 19:1)
Gavin D
26 January 2016 10:57:03

Quite an interesting context on that pdf. Looks like the MetO are still suggesting a good chance of a SSW, although timing is uncertain.

But they suggest that March might well be our winter month this year!

Originally Posted by: Twister 


A bit like 2013 potentially the biggest issue come March of course is the stronger and higher sun plus longer days not that means we can't get deep snow it just tends to melt quicker

tallyho_83
26 January 2016 11:01:12
Is it me or is there a website glitch on Weather online: - It's the monthly outlook:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=205&FILE=tma&DAY=20160125 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


kmoorman
26 January 2016 11:12:21


 


A bit like 2013 potentially the biggest issue come March of course is the stronger and higher sun plus longer days not that means we can't get deep snow it just tends to melt quicker


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


I can't even recall March 2013 being cold - so I assume there was no snow down here, which would make sense, being so late.


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Twister
26 January 2016 11:20:26


 


I can't even recall March 2013 being cold - so I assume there was no snow down here, which would make sense, being so late.


Originally Posted by: kmoorman 


There was an incredible snowstorm on the south cost one evening which meant my commute home took hours longer than normal! I don't think the snow lasted forever, but it was a memorable event.


Yes, March has a stronger sun, but locally in inland Kent, the easterly of Feb/March 2005 was incredible with deep snow accumulations and I remember snow drifting in the strong winds in the first few days of March cutting off our village for a time.


So it can still be very noteworthy, even if the sun perhaps lessens the potential 'blow'.


Location: Egerton, Kent - 33m ASL
Thunder 2016: 12 (Apr 3,13; May 21; Jun 8,11,17,22,23,25, Jul 2,12, Aug 26)
Winter 2015/6: Snowfalls: 10 | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 17 (0.5cm)) | Air frosts: 39
Winter 2016/7: Snowfalls: 4 (Jan 12-3, Feb 10-11) | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 13, 2cm, Feb 11, 3-5mm) | Air frosts: 57 (2 in Oct, 10 in Nov, 13 in Dec, 19 in Jan, 6 in Feb, 3 in Mar, 4 in Apr)
"The heavens tell of the glory of God. The skies display his marvellous craftsmanship." (Psalm 19:1)
tallyho_83
26 January 2016 11:50:10
Could this occur this year? Or start from Mid Feb?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/march2013-snow 

Just need to wait to see if the models flip back to something other than zonal westerly's!
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


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