The predicted wind gusts for tomorrow display a notable case of coastal divergence, as direction of the wind is slightly more from the SW across the land (frictional effects). I wonder just how far inland that will actually extend though - you can clearly see how the spacing of plot points determines the inland limit.
For me it could make the difference between a near 60 mph gust peak and a near 70 mph peak, which is substantial in terms of the destructive potential of the wind gusts, as this scales exponentially with speed.
There is something else at play in terms of the very highest wind gusts though; a funneling effect as you look east from the Bristol Chanel. This can be seen on the 12z WRF-ARW and it's notable how much more of a drop-off there is as you move across from west to east.
Could see the 100 kph threshold surpassed in CS England, which doesn't happen often from westerly winds (SW winds - ahead of a low coming in S of Ireland, for example - tend to be strongest).
I wonder how well the models capture convective wind gusts. Given the expected squally showers, 'freak gusts' are possible for an unlucky few which could be 5-10 mph higher than the majority.
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