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nsrobins
15 February 2016 20:46:57


 


...but nothing meaningful except above 600m in Scotland? (Not that anyone lives above 600m asl in Scotland anyway )


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


I believe my previous post stated 1200ft which is about 380m so 600m allows me a wider margin of error 😜😛❤️


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
idj20
15 February 2016 20:58:06

Even if it does actually go onto producing some snow for the lucky select few (Buxton) come the moment, it's hard to get excited about a wintry event that will get swept away by milder westerlies 24 hours later anyway.

You know in them wildlife programmes where the inferior creatures (us here at the UK) are licking the last scraps of meat off a long since died carcass (this winter) after the bigger powerful animals (the US) have been at it? That's now it feels so far this season.


Folkestone Harbour. 
Gooner
15 February 2016 20:59:08


I'm off work Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. I've decided that if the snow won't come to me then I'm going to travel to it. The sweet spot tonight is Chipping Norton in The Cotswolds, altitude 220 metres. 


A mere 2 and a half drive too. 


Lets watch how it all falls apart 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Just down the road from me


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gusty
15 February 2016 21:03:35


 


Just down the road from me


Originally Posted by: Gooner 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
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Saint Snow
15 February 2016 21:12:04

You know in them wildlife programmes where the inferior creatures (us here at the UK) are licking the last scraps of meat off a long since died carcass (this winter) after the bigger powerful animals (the US) have been at it? That's now it feels so far this season.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


 


Excellent imagery, Ian!




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Jonesy
15 February 2016 23:39:08


I'm off work Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. I've decided that if the snow won't come to me then I'm going to travel to it. The sweet spot tonight is Chipping Norton in The Cotswolds, altitude 220 metres. 


A mere 2 and a half drive too. 


Lets watch how it all falls apart 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Probably quicker and a safer bet to get on a flight to Norway mate lol


Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
Sevendust
16 February 2016 05:27:26

JH reckoned things may get interesting late Wednesday and overnight as the front pushes into the east and SE. Real threat of snow to low levels although obvious uncertainty

roger63
16 February 2016 07:44:35


JH reckoned things may get interesting late Wednesday and overnight as the front pushes into the east and SE. Real threat of snow to low levels although obvious uncertainty


Originally Posted by: Sevendust 


That will do me although I doubt the snow desert  of Winchester will see a flake.


My model watching falls off a cliff at the end of Feb.The problem is that the chances of lying snow decrease dramatically as increased solar power kicks in and Europe warms .up.Of course there are exceptions most recently March 2103 and perhaps forgotten a snowy beginning for March 2005.


Historically the end of March 1952 had a major blizzard and of course the breakdown of the 1947 in early March provided heavy falls of snow.


Sometimes polar low and very active cold front moving south can deposit 6 inches overnight even in southern Engalnd that happened in the mid 1990,s i seem to remember.


 


But all in all after another snowless Dec- Feb that's enough until next year when El Nino   is due to be replaced by La Nina.

Charmhills
16 February 2016 09:53:02

Rain/Snowfall EURO4 Tu 16.02.2016 06 GMT


Rain turning to snow across the Midlands Wednesday night and in line with East Midlands weather.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Saint Snow
16 February 2016 10:06:22

Bah, pesky non-westward shift of pattern.


Looks like snow to the north, east & south (and south-west of MBY - but rain for us. Oh, ye cruel weathergods, why do you torment me so?


 




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Whiteout
16 February 2016 11:40:11

Weather warnings updated 


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Rob K
16 February 2016 12:01:49


Weather warnings updated 


Originally Posted by: Whiteout 


Good to see - I was wondering why they were  only showing snow risk for northern parts as it went against the forecasts.Still doesn't quite cover my area though.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
scillydave
16 February 2016 12:15:45
I'm hopeful of a fairly decent covering here given my elevation but rather annoyingly I won't be here to see it as I'm off on holiday for a couple of days from midday tomorrow. Is there anyone else out there who would sometimes rather stay at home just to see the snow rather than go on holiday or am I very much in the minority?!
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Rob K
16 February 2016 14:15:29

Euro4 has swung back in favour of rain on the 06Z. 



Compared to 00Z:



 


Warmer air at lower levels the culprit as the 1000-850mb thickness chart shows:



 


Compared to 00Z run:



Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Russwirral
16 February 2016 14:52:46

I'm hopeful of a fairly decent covering here given my elevation but rather annoyingly I won't be here to see it as I'm off on holiday for a couple of days from midday tomorrow. Is there anyone else out there who would sometimes rather stay at home just to see the snow rather than go on holiday or am I very much in the minority?!

Originally Posted by: scillydave 


 


back in 2013 I flew out to Honk Kong the day after a metre of snow fell not far from here.


 


Waited a lifetime to see that kinda snow fall, and didnt get to enjoy it :(


Saint Snow
16 February 2016 15:35:09


 


 


back in 2013 I flew out to Honk Kong the day after a metre of snow fell not far from here.


 


Waited a lifetime to see that kinda snow fall, and didnt get to enjoy it :(


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


 


If it's any consolation, I was in Wrexham about a week after that monumental snowfall, and I saw huge drifts still in place, along with huge piles of snow from car park clearance that were about 10ft tall




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Essan
16 February 2016 15:42:21

I'm hopeful of a fairly decent covering here given my elevation but rather annoyingly I won't be here to see it as I'm off on holiday for a couple of days from midday tomorrow. Is there anyone else out there who would sometimes rather stay at home just to see the snow rather than go on holiday or am I very much in the minority?!

Originally Posted by: scillydave 



Not with snow (cos we never get any ).  But I have missed thunder/lightning storms here two years running now on account of having been away in Scotland.

I am expecting this year's storm to be weekend of 2nd July.  For the record


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Cumbrian Snowman
16 February 2016 16:06:52
I now have a covering of frozen rain, or ice pellets - I,m certain it cant be hai ?

very strange - guess warm rain falling through the cold layer

temp was 4.4c, now 3.3c
Dewpoint -0.5c
snow 2004
16 February 2016 17:33:59
Looking forward to my bit of slush on my windscreen Thursday morning after hours of cold rain, sleet and 20 minutes of snow. Hoping I'm wrong.

I do miss the classic snowy breakdowns. We used to get 4-6 inches before the snow petered out followed by a thaw.
Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
Russwirral
16 February 2016 18:12:11
The Latest EURO4 model looks very unsnowy, as opposed to earlier runs. I actually had to check i had clicked on the right chart, before a smidge of pink appeared and confirmed my worse fears.
SJV
16 February 2016 18:41:27

Looking forward to my bit of slush on my windscreen Thursday morning after hours of cold rain, sleet and 20 minutes of snow. Hoping I'm wrong.

I do miss the classic snowy breakdowns. We used to get 4-6 inches before the snow petered out followed by a thaw.

Originally Posted by: snow 2004 



Hopefully we get a pleasant surprise. the Euro4 and the MetO warnings are rather underwhelming 

Rob K
16 February 2016 19:21:18

The Latest EURO4 model looks very unsnowy, as opposed to earlier runs. I actually had to check i had clicked on the right chart, before a smidge of pink appeared and confirmed my worse fears.

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


 


Yes it has progressively got less and less snowy over the last two or three runs. The gradual warming of the climate has just about put paid to these "marginal" set-ups delivering anything. 30 years ago we might have been in business.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Rob K
16 February 2016 19:25:31

Arome hi-res has just a few speckles of pink. Frustrating that much of northern France gets snow with 850s two or three degrees higher than we have here!



 


 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Charmhills
16 February 2016 19:27:32


 


 


Yes it has progressively got less and less snowy over the last two or three runs. The gradual warming of the climate has just about put paid to these "marginal" set-ups delivering anything. 30 years ago we might have been in business.


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Don't be silly Rob.


Tomorrow night/into Thursday is pretty much a nowcast event.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Rob K
16 February 2016 19:30:44


 


Don't be silly Rob.


Tomorrow night/into Thursday is pretty much a nowcast event.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


Yes, it's a nowcast, but a warming of (say) 1C over the past 30 years can make a huge difference when you consider how many UK snow set-ups are extremely marginal.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

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