Quickly skimming through the various models while an ad break is on, I seem to get this impression that somehow some kind of trough-like synoptic always seem to wind it's way towards and over the UK, with the highs - needed for good extended settled spells - are being held back either over the Atlantic or towards the Russian end of Europe. 

It's like always being dealt a rubbish hand in a card game and we keep losing every time.

As LRFs are all really about looking at trends, I see no reason to change my view that this summer will, overall, end up being much wetter than average.

The fact that many days this June have only managed to be as warm as December 2015 makes it laughable to say this has been a decent month.

With December being wet and VERY VERY mild, June has been wet and many days really have felt, and looked, exactly as those December days. Mild and wet!

We'll have to agree to disagree, because in most of the west of the UK, it's been above average in both temps & sunshine (and storms!), even taking into account the past few days being disappointing.

It's going to be roles reversed next week, but I hope the 'high to the NE' scenario repeats through summer, because it's great for the west, who've had more than our fair share of dismal summers from 2007 onwards.

That does not accord with my recollection of what June 1995 was like here, although it may well have been different in your part of the world.

Prior to the commencement of the first major heatwave circa 21st June, the first half of that June in my part of the world was largely a mixture of fairly warm & mostly sunny days and cooler and cloudier ones. We did have some rain, but nothing excessive for June. The worst Junes I can remember in the 1990's for weather I would say were 1990, 1991, 1997 and 1998. The latter two were particularly bad; the wettest since the early 80's I seem to recall it being mentioned at the time.

Agreed. Also, it's foolish to compare the temperatures with December's values, however mild they were, given the strength of the June sun.

June has far from been a write off - plenty of sun, humidity, storms. Everything a British summer month should be (with apologies to Eastern coastal locations, who I realise have had it very different!) 

So far (and we are only in mid-June), I've had four out of seven washed out completely, with two of the other three being rain-affected.

Only ONE match so far has been played in summer-like dry weather.

Added to that, out of my 12 training sessions, NINE have been completely cancelled due to rain.

That is a lot of bloody wet weather, and can't see it changing much over the coming week or two!

This is actually more games cancelled than during that fateful 2007 summer (although our ground was submerged in 10 feet of water so we moved to another ground for the rest of that "summer").

Not a good start to your post Moomin! 

You're a very lucky person then. It has been a dreadfully wet month around these parts. Our ground is currently so waterlogged, that we might even struggle to play next Saturday (even if the week were dry, which it won't be!!).

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/avnpanel1.html
Quite a lot of plumage at the end of the run. The Atlantic/Azores  high pronged to reach us here around Tuesday is less prominent than a week ago keeping thing unsettled and at times muggy.

Not happy with the 06z GFS run.

A wash out Friday and Saturday!

Fingers crossed for a Remain vote or Glastonbury will be less than paradise  (yes I'm going).

Sounds as though your area has been very unlucky with the weather recently, Kieran.

Where I am, although the past wee or so have been more unsettled than beforehand, we have had a much better opening to the summer than was the case last year. In fact, out of both last June and July, we had the grand total of one decent week for weather, and that came on the back of a very poor May last year. The difference was that last year the atlantic was much more dominant during the late spring and much of the summer than has been the case in recent times.

I don't normally post in the summer but just popped on to view the model output and thought I made a mistake and entered the summer moaning gloating thread,

what i can say is from what ive been reading about summer we are looking at warm-hot bursts of heat/humid weather  mixed with thunderstorms/rain and or at end of the heat . ROLL ON WINTER

8/20 days have seen rain yet 2 of those 8 days have seen under 1mm. Basically 6 days this month with rain with today being our wettest day so far lol

been fairly average to be honest here - 26C is our best so far, most days above 18C with 7 above 20C. 

A local station has had the THWS index maxing over 25C pretty much every day bar 2 this month, and a top one at almost 35C.

similar here 6 days only with more than 1mm  with 20mm today

Oxford and the surrounding area seems to be a convection hot-spot so if you get a lot of those set-ups you can expect a lot of rain. It's a location I used to choose regularly as a place for storms in a competition to predict thunder that THC ran on Facebook!

Locally we have had little convective rainfall although yesterdays frontal rain pushed things towards 50mm.

Outlook looks reasonable down here. Standard summer fare 

Some very decent output .starting to show now for the south.  Bring it on in time for Wimbledon