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roger63
01 August 2016 19:05:39


">http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2016

Originally Posted by: Darren S 


In fact it was 16.86C. I'll take that extra 0.04! 

roger63
01 August 2016 19:07:08


 


In fact it was 16.86C. I'll take that extra 0.04! 


Originally Posted by: roger63 


Does that mean my 16.85 is the closest?

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 August 2016 19:25:24

I didn't make a total mess this month with my 16.8 guess. i'll take that! 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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rickm
01 August 2016 20:59:27

You're not on your own Roger!

Essan
02 August 2016 06:51:38

Aye, well done those who said 16.85c

My 17.1c was a little out on account of the plume arriving later than expected


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

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roger63
03 August 2016 09:47:36


You're not on your own Roger!


Originally Posted by: rickm 


Rick no worries just good to be on target for the first time!

Saint Snow
03 August 2016 13:19:48


I didn't make a total mess this month with my 16.8 guess. i'll take that! 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


 


Just checked, and 16.8 is what I went for, too!


How very lucky of me



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
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Global Warming
06 August 2016 13:10:14

Here is the list of predictions for July. As already noted well done to roger63 and rickm who were just 0.01C out.


Global Warming
06 August 2016 14:24:30

Here are the charts for July. Overall a fairly average month. We managed to end up just above average due to a brief hot spell on the 19th and 20th. We managed to break the CET date record on the 20th with a mean of 23.5C. Previous record was 22.9C in 1878.


My own data points this month are blank as I did not have time to do my own tracking of the CET mean. Normal service will be resumed in August.


Caz
  • Caz
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06 August 2016 15:26:53

It's nice to see you back in actio GW. Hope you're feeling better! 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
06 August 2016 15:28:43


 


 


Just checked, and 16.8 is what I went for, too!


How very lucky of me


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

 I've gone for about the same for August I think.   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Global Warming
07 August 2016 08:38:38

Annual CET competition - July update


Here are the tables for July. No change at the top as Frank H keeps the lead for a second month. Some significant climbers near the top of the table with Rob K and rickm both climbing by double digit numbers of places this month. Generally things are still very close throughout the top 30 places so lots will change between now and the end of the year.


Bertwhistle
07 August 2016 08:46:11

I love the cumulative errors chart- shows at a glance where I messed up (April) and did good (May). Thanks for this GW.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Essan
07 August 2016 11:56:17

Thanks GW    looks like I am going to have to start taking this seriously


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Dougie
08 August 2016 09:28:55

Thanks for the update Simon, something has gone wrong with the radar for me this year. I hope you are feeling fighting fit again now.


Ha'way the lads
Snow Hoper
08 August 2016 14:40:39

Thanks GW. Just wish I'd followed my gut and gone for 16.93 instead!


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.


Home : Thorndon, Suffolk.
Global Warming
09 August 2016 20:15:48

Here is the CET for the summer so far. Looking like a reasonably warm year.


We only need an August CET of 16.8C to beat the summer of 2013 and that would give us the warmest summer since 2006. In fact it would be the 3rd warmest summer since 1997 (with only 2003 and 2006 warmer).


So not bad really although we could achieve this feat without any single month reaching 17C this year. To be fair we have had quite a few poor summers in recent years.


Bertwhistle
10 August 2016 08:58:38

Thanks GW- fingers crossed for a 16.8 which will certainly be helped over the next 7 days, then after that who knows? What are your thoughts?


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 August 2016 09:35:55

Thanks GW!  


Yes Bertie, April was a messy month for me too, although I've done badly every month except July. Even though I was only about half a degree off I only gained 4 places.  Too much for me to make up now it think.  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Bertwhistle
10 August 2016 15:46:30

Nil desperandum Caz- our weather's so full of U-turns, surprises, disappointments and flukes, with 5 months still to play for!


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
11 August 2016 06:19:32


Nil desperandum Caz- our weather's so full of U-turns, surprises, disappointments and flukes, with 5 months still to play for!


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

So true. Last year's lucky guesses saw me top of the leader board for the first couple of months. Then my luck ran out and it was all downhill from there. At least I'm heading the right way this year. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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