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bluetriangle
06 January 2017 14:08:23


Were the cold, snowy winters of 08, 09 and 10 a figment of my imagination?


Originally Posted by: Tractor Boy 


 


No, and in fact cold winters often appear in clusters like that. Every sixteen years or so we seem to get such a cluster. In between the winters are mostly mild, although you still get the odd cold one, or severe spell of weather in an otherwise mild winter.


Livingston, West Lothian 148m (485 ft) asl
Winter 2016-17 to date: 10 days with falling snow, 5 days with lying snow, 1 ice day.
chiversa56
06 January 2017 14:31:49
Well on current forecasts, of moderately cold quiet but frosty dry spells, interspersed with milder damp spells, now looking to stretch into February. This is looking like an increasingly forgettable modern UK winter. I am off to Australia on February 15th for 3 weeks where incidentally they are having a record heatwave so my chances of seeing a snowflake this year are disappearing fast!
Alan..


Lower Test Valley, 20m ASL
Chunky Pea
06 January 2017 14:59:00

I think one of the major players in winter potential in this corner of the world is Atlantic temps. Winter really seems to have died a death since they have warmed in the last decade or 15 years or thereabouts. From my own experience, even during mild winters before then, we still could get quite a bit of snow at times, even from a westerly source. Real Atlantic storms (and I don't mean the watered down 'Barney' types)have virtually become extinct also since the Atlantic has warmed. For me, winter nowadays has just become an extension of summer, if just a little cooler (at times)


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Chunky Pea
06 January 2017 15:27:26

From the ever brilliant 'Viz'



Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
bradders
06 January 2017 17:27:29

I don`t mind the sunny frosty days but the overcast,dull drizzly days (3rd Jan and today) are really depressing. Anyone with suicidal tendencies couldn`t pick a better day to end it all.


Roll on Summer.



 



Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.
idj20
06 January 2017 17:28:41


I think one of the major players in winter potential in this corner of the world is Atlantic temps. Winter really seems to have died a death since they have warmed in the last decade or 15 years or thereabouts. From my own experience, even during mild winters before then, we still could get quite a bit of snow at times, even from a westerly source. Real Atlantic storms (and I don't mean the watered down 'Barney' types)have virtually become extinct also since the Atlantic has warmed. For me, winter nowadays has just become an extension of summer, if just a little cooler (at times)


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 



Does that include the winter of 2014 which saw to 11 significant storm systems? After all, one of those took out a certain railway sea wall.


Folkestone Harbour. 
LeedsLad123
06 January 2017 17:47:58


After yesterday’s nasty, grey, windy conditions, which were worse than the named storms produced in December, it was depressing as hell once again this morning. Grey with some sleety drizzle and a nasty chill in the air but nowhere near a frost again.  Min 2C, max 3C, grey, windy and damp. Could there be winter weather more repellent than this? Simply vile.

Last year the nightmare finally came to an end on 13th January. Just when the hell is this disgusting, dull and depressing extreme frost-free dross going to relent?

These two charts some up how dire the UK climate is. Look at how little rain there was for most in December http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2016/12/2016_12_Rainfall_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif 

Yet rain days were above average for the majority http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2016/12/2016_12_RainDays02_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif 

Not my idea of what a “dry” month should be like


Originally Posted by: richardabdn 


Only using 0.2mm as the threshold. For 1mm, the number of rain days was below average - and the latter is far more important than the former. A day with 0.2mm of 'rain' could be anything from a very brief morning shower, to heavy dew.


As for our summers - they're crap if what you want is lots of heat and sun. If you're like myself and prefer days in the low 20s with partly cloudy skies, the UK is fine. If you want heat, go to Alicante. 


Seriously - I thought last summer was very nice here. Most days were in the 21-25C range. This is fine by me. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Chunky Pea
06 January 2017 18:14:43




Does that include the winter of 2014 which saw to 11 significant storm systems? After all, one of those took out a certain railway sea wall.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


Sure.


But the frequency of storminess in winter 2013/2014 should not hide the fact that no individual storm during this spell was in any way exceptional. Admittedly, I speak from an Irish perspective here, but just looking at the stats for your location, the highest gust I can find is 66 knots, which, while a 'zesty' figure, is hardly the stuff of history?


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
06 January 2017 18:17:42


 


Yes.


Originally Posted by: Bolty 


Wow.


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
06 January 2017 18:48:47


I don`t mind the sunny frosty days but the overcast,dull drizzly days (3rd Jan and today) are really depressing. Anyone with suicidal tendencies couldn`t pick a better day to end it all.


Roll on Summer.



 


Originally Posted by: bradders 


Yes indeed, today was utterly dismal. Glad I'm off to sunny Saudi on Monday!


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Essan
06 January 2017 20:13:22


I think one of the major players in winter potential in this corner of the world is Atlantic temps. Winter really seems to have died a death since they have warmed in the last decade or 15 years or thereabouts. From my own experience, even during mild winters before then, we still could get quite a bit of snow at times, even from a westerly source. Real Atlantic storms (and I don't mean the watered down 'Barney' types)have virtually become extinct also since the Atlantic has warmed. For me, winter nowadays has just become an extension of summer, if just a little cooler (at times)


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 




Not only is that counter intutitive, its absolute rubbish.  

And I would also question whether the Atlantic has warmed in recent years


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Chunky Pea
06 January 2017 21:46:54




Not only is that counter intutitive, its absolute rubbish.  

And I would also question whether the Atlantic has warmed in recent years


Originally Posted by: Essan 



  1. Nope, not rubbish. I've posted stats on such, from Valentia to Malin, more than once on this forum

  2. Yes, it has. You can find data on such on the KNMI climate site. Again, I've already done so and posted the results on this very forum.


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Essan
07 January 2017 07:46:35


 



  1. Nope, not rubbish. I've posted stats on such, from Valentia to Malin, more than once on this forum

  2. Yes, it has. You can find data on such on the KNMI climate site. Again, I've already done so and posted the results on this very forum.


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 




Ah, right. It doesnt occur in your back garden ergo it does not exist


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
LeedsLad123
07 January 2017 08:13:29





Ah, right. It doesnt occur in your back garden ergo it does not exist


Originally Posted by: Essan 


Plenty of good storms here in recent years, some delivering 70mph gusts which is certainly notable for this location.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Chunky Pea
07 January 2017 08:40:38


Ah, right. It doesnt occur in your back garden ergo it does not exist


Originally Posted by: Essan 


Jaysus, you must think I have one hell of a big back garden..


Here is a link to some climate data. At least back up your claims with some stats:


https://climexp.knmi.nl/start.cgi?id=someone@somewhere


 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Essan
07 January 2017 10:43:35


Jaysus, you must think I have one hell of a big back garden..


Here is a link to some climate data. At least back up your claims with some stats:


https://climexp.knmi.nl/start.cgi?id=someone@somewhere


 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 





 


You are the one who claimed that "real" Atlantic storms have become "extinct".   You show me the evidence that these storms  never occurred


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Essan
07 January 2017 10:49:30


 


http://www.climate4you.com/SeaTemperatures.htm#North%20Atlantic%20(60-0W,%2030-65N)%20heat%20content%200-700%20m%20depth


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Arcus
07 January 2017 11:05:27
Where's this mild weekend then? Currently 4c here, I was promised 10c on Saturday. Bloody mild spells, always get downgraded when they finally arrive.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Essan
07 January 2017 11:15:21

Where's this mild weekend then? Currently 4c here, I was promised 10c on Saturday. Bloody mild spells, always get downgraded when they finally arrive.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 


 


Lucky bugger - it was 8c here this morning.   Gonna have to ditch the duvet again if I want a decent nights sleep


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Solar Cycles
07 January 2017 11:32:17


 


 


Lucky bugger - it was 8c here this morning.   Gonna have to ditch the duvet again if I want a decent nights sleep


Originally Posted by: Essan 

9.2c here and foggy. 😫

Chunky Pea
07 January 2017 11:43:53


Still warmer than normal? does nothing to prove your claim that the Atlantic has not warmed at all.


I shall consider your 'Wikipedia' page on storms, even if it means stooping to such a low level to do so. God, I'm such a snob.. but needs must.


 



You are the one who claimed that "real" Atlantic storms have become "extinct".   You show me the evidence that these storms  never occurred


Originally Posted by: Essan 


'Virtually' extinct. Difference..


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Essan
07 January 2017 12:24:04


Still warmer than normal? does nothing to prove your claim that the Atlantic has not warmed at all.

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 



I never said that. 


I said "I would also question whether the Atlantic has warmed in recent years".  The evidence appears to show it has not.


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
idj20
07 January 2017 12:24:56

Where's this mild weekend then? Currently 4c here, I was promised 10c on Saturday. Bloody mild spells, always get downgraded when they finally arrive.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 



At least I'm not being let down on that with 8 C to 11 C across Kent at the moment.    


Folkestone Harbour. 
Chunky Pea
07 January 2017 12:45:37




I never said that. 


I said "I would also question whether the Atlantic has warmed in recent years".  The evidence appears to show it has not.


Originally Posted by: Essan 


Then you are deliberately misrepresenting my post in which I said that the Atlantic has warmed over the last 15 years or so. The recent downward trend still does not hide the fact that the Atlantic is still warmer than normal. What you were attempting to question had nothing to do with what I put forward.


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Essan
07 January 2017 13:47:19


 


Then you are deliberately misrepresenting my post in which I said that the Atlantic has warmed over the last 15 years or so. The recent downward trend still does not hide the fact that the Atlantic is still warmer than normal. What you were attempting to question had nothing to do with what I put forward.


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 



The data shows that the Atlantic is cooler now than it was 15 years ago
  
Meanwhile, this winter appears to be something of an exception with regards North Atlantic storm activity.   Which most will say is a good thing and nothing to be moaning about


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
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