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Please put me down for
4.1c Jan
10.5c year
2017 Annual CET competition entries
Here is the list of entries for the annual competition. Please note that the usual rule for this competition is that there can be no duplicate entries in order to ensure there is only one winner at the end of the year (although if the final outturn is a figure nobody has predicted then we could still have a tie between two people with the closest prediction either side of the actual figure).
So those people who made a prediction that duplicated an entry already received have had their prediction amended to the closest available figure not already selected. In all but one case this has only resulted in a change of 0.01C.
Thank you for posting the Annual Table GW.
Met Office Hadley 4.0c. Anomaly 0.6c.. Provisional to 4th.
Metcheck 3.13c. Anomaly -1.03c.
Netweather 3.85c. Anomaly -0.36c.
Peasedown St John 3.3c. Anomaly -2.8c.
Average temp here in Folkestone is 3.9c so far.
Average max 6.9c
Average min 0.9c.
Met Office Hadley 3.55c. Anomaly -0.0c. Provisional to 5th.
Metcheck 2.83c. Anomaly -1.33c.
Netweather 3.12c. Anomaly -1.09c.
Peasedown St John 2.7c. Anomaly -3.4c,
Met Office Hadley 3.4c. Anomaly -0.2c. Provisional to 6th.
Metcheck 3.32c. Anomaly -0.84c.
Netweather 3.21c. Anomaly -1.0c.
Peasedown St John 3.0c. Anomaly -3.1c.
Here are the latest projections for the January CET. After a cold start the CET should shoot up of the next few days before dropping back a bit an then levelling off (this is based on GFS output).
Overall looking close to average by the time we move into the final third of the month. But lots of uncertainty at the moment.
Met Office Hadley 3.9c. Anomaly 0.4c. Provisional to 7th.
Metcheck 3.97c. Anomaly -0.18c.
Netweather 3.98c. Anomaly 0.23c.
Peasedown St John 4.4c. Anomaly -1.7c.
Metcheck 4.51c. Anomaly 0.26c.
Netweather 4.52c. Anomaly 0.33c.
Cheadle Hulme Weather 4.7c. Anomaly -1.4c compared to January 2016
Clevedon Weather 5.6c. Anomaly -1.8c. ... .. .. ..
Mount Sorrel 4.5c Anomaly 0.3c.
Peasedown St John 5.0c. Anomaly -1.1c. ... .. .. ..
Running average here is 2.84 ºC up to and including the 8th.
Met Office Hadley 4.7c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional to 9th.
Metcheck 4.54c. Anomaly 5.4c.
Netweather 4.83c. Anomaly 0.64c.
Peasedown St John 5.2c. Anomaly -0.9c
Not too far from my 5.56c prediction.
Others~~~~~~~~~
Metcheck 4.89c. Anomaly 0.73c.
Netweather 5.08c. Anomaly 0.89c.
Peasedown St John 5.3c. Anomaly -0.8c.
Running average here now 3.8 ºC
5.3 to the 11th1.7 above the 61 to 90 average1.0 above the 81 to 10 average_____________________________________Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
Originally Posted by: Gavin D
Maybe the high point of the month?
The Others~~~~~~~~~
Metcheck 4.95c. Anomaly 0.80c.
Netweather 5.36c. Anomaly 1.17c.
Peasedown St John 5.5c. Anomaly -0.6c.
Originally Posted by: ARTzeman
Hi Art- do you not get the official CET any more? I like popping on here and getting your summary. I'm not sure what 'The Others' means. What's the CET?
Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle
see bottom of previous page (5.0)
Here are the predictions for January so far. 64 in all. No penalties for predictions up to 23:59 today given the January thread was a little late being opened.
Great to see several new people taking part this year.
Originally Posted by: Global Warming
Thought i was going to be stupidly out at one stage for sure, but I'd say it's really open at the moment, given the uncertainty in the models.
Originally Posted by: Whether Idle
5.3
okay, good. I need a bit of a cushion this month.
It looks like the Met O's Hadley data, the one we use for this competition, hasn't been updated today.
Surely it can only go down now. I need it to!