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Deep Powder
19 January 2017 22:38:56

Yes, I have to say I'm quite surprised at how high the CET figure currently is - feels like a different world here in Kent with frost after frost and low daytime maxima!

Originally Posted by: Twister 


Same here in my part of Surrey too, cold, cold! 😀

Near Leatherhead 100masl (currently living in China since September 2019)
Loving the weather whatever it brings, snow, rain, wind, sun, heat, all great!
Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
20 January 2017 11:33:56

Met office Hadley

5.2 to the 19th

1.7 above the 61 to 90 average

0.8 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

Saint Snow
20 January 2017 11:57:14

 


To be clear it is not a personal prediction just an estimate of the likely outcome based on what the models are currently showing. If the models change significantly then so will the predicted outcome.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


If the block to our E/SE keeps grimly clinging on, I'd imagine your entry for the month could be bang on the button.


Now that the colder air is inching further N and W, the Pershore & Stoneyhurst figures should be much lower (here in NW England, the past several days have seen leaden skies, drizzle and temps never deviating from between 7c and 10c regardless of the time of day. Much clearer today and temps forecast to got to around zero overnight for the next few days at least.


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
20 January 2017 12:10:35

Day 4 of Met Office Hadley at 5.2 Anomaly 1.7c.


Metcheck      4.46c.  Anomaly   0.30c.


Netweather   4.92c.  Anomaly   0.73c.


Peasedown St John     5.1c.     Anomaly  -1.0c.   





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Essan
20 January 2017 12:13:42


Day 4 of Met Office Hadley at 5.2 Anomaly 1.7c.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


It should stop to drop off now that Pershore is out of the doldrums

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
CET.
20 January 2017 14:58:22


Here are the predictions for January so far. 64 in all. No penalties for predictions up to 23:59 today given the January thread was a little late being opened. 


Great to see several new people taking part this year.



Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Anyone between 4-5c looks in with a shout depending on the Block/Atlantic.

Snow Hoper
20 January 2017 15:51:57

My own is running at 3.9C.

Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.


Home : Thorndon, Suffolk.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
21 January 2017 07:53:14

My 3.5c guess is looking poor. I've started this year as badly as I ended the last one!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
21 January 2017 11:23:38
Met office Hadley

5.1 to the 20th

1.6 above the 61 to 90 average

0.6 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
ARTzeman
21 January 2017 11:25:57

Met Office Hadley          5.1c.           Anomaly         1.6c.     Provisional to 20th.


Metcheck                       4.35c.         Anomaly         0.18c.


Netweather                    4.8c.           Anomaly         0.61c.


 


Peasedown St John     4.9c.           Anomaly      -1.2c. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
22 January 2017 11:10:29
Met office Hadley

4.9 to the 21st

1.4 above the 61 to 90 average

0.4 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
ARTzeman
22 January 2017 12:03:15

Met  Office  Hadley             4.9c.        Anomaly      1.4c.    Provisional to 21st.


Metcheck                            4.16c.      Anomaly      0.01c.


Netweather                         4.64c.      Anomaly      0.45c.


Cheadle Hulme Weather      5.5c.        Anomaly     -0.1c.


Clevedon Weather               5.8c.        Anomaly     -1.6c.


Mount Sorrel                       4.3c.        Anomaly      0.1c.


Peasedown St John           4.7c.       Anomaly       -2.4c.   





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Zubzero
22 January 2017 21:16:16

My local weather station is showing a mean for the month at 1.8C (don't have my own station set up atm)


https://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/research/dtg/weather/period-text.cgi?2017-01 


Can not remember such a big difference from the CET compared to my imby stats. 

Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
23 January 2017 10:58:05
Met office Hadley

4.8 to the 22nd

1.2 above the 61 to 90 average

0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
ARTzeman
23 January 2017 11:09:40

Going down again... Definitely the wrong way for me.


Met office Hadley           4.8c.         Anomaly       1.2c.  Provisional to 22nd.


Metcheck                        4.04c.       Anomaly       -0.11c.


Netweather                     4.47c.       Anomaly       0.28c.


 


Peasedown  St  John       4.6c.       Anomaly       -1.5c.      


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Stormchaser
23 January 2017 11:50:13

It's a little bit mad looking at that Hadley figure and then my own; I've got 3.5*C to 22nd and depending on to what extent the freezing fog sticks around today and tomorrow, could be between 2.8*C and 3.1*C by the time 26th is over and done with 

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Stormchaser
23 January 2017 11:51:57


My 3.5c guess is looking poor. I've started this year as badly as I ended the last one!  


Originally Posted by: Caz 


It really bugs me that at the same time, we've so very nearly done a great job this month; the weather patterns are just a couple of hundred miles out, nothing in the grand scheme of things! 

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Saint Snow
23 January 2017 12:21:40


It's a little bit mad looking at that Hadley figure and then my own; I've got 3.5*C to 22nd and depending on to what extent the freezing fog sticks around today and tomorrow, could be between 2.8*C and 3.1*C by the time 26th is over and done with 


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


 


There's the difference the greater influence of the continental flow has had in SE England the past 7-10 days, compared to other parts of England.


I remember in January 2010 it barely got more than a degree or two above freezing for the whole month up here, but in the south temps were up toward double figures from mid-month'ish.


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
23 January 2017 12:31:03

This months prediction of mine was too high.. Dare I drop below 4.75 for next month.. Looks like a cold one......





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Bertwhistle
23 January 2017 21:33:51

2.85C  is my mean (rounded) to the 22nd. A skewed value, as mentioned, due to the position of the high and the colder surface air in the south. Great spells of wintry weather since November. If it hadn't been for 2015-16 I would probably have been on the richardabdn thread.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 January 2017 12:33:42
Nothing from Hadley so far
Solar Cycles
24 January 2017 12:51:38
We're on course for another above average winter, can February buckle the trend. 😂😂😂
ARTzeman
24 January 2017 13:16:27

NO update from Met Office yet.


 


Metcheck            3.98c.     Anomaly      -0.17c.


Netweather         4.38c      Anomaly       0.19c.


 


Peasedown St John   4.5c.   Anomaly   -1.2c. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Darren S
24 January 2017 14:45:38


NO update from Met Office yet.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


They haven't updated the front screen, but you can see here that the provisional average to yesterday is 4.68C, anomaly +1.05C.

Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
ARTzeman
24 January 2017 15:42:15


 


They haven't updated the front screen, but you can see here that the provisional average to yesterday is 4.68C, anomaly +1.05C.


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


Thank you for keeping the data up to date.. Gone down in my daily data record.





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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