Late with this one - my bad, other things distracting me lately!

For the United Kingdom in the period 3rd-31st August 2013, please give your predictions/estimates for the following:

The date of the first 25.0°C:                 The date of the first 27.5°C:             
The date of the first 30.0°C:
The highest offical temperature:          The lowest offical temperature:
The % of the average rainfall:               The % of the average sunshine:

'Official' refers to as given by Met Office reports. Sun and rain values are as on climate-uk.com.

Here's to an August that nods to the July we just had

 

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1st 25 degrees wednesday 7th august

1st 27.5 degrees  23 rd august

1st 30 degrees  dont think we will hit it  , maybe the 24th

highest official temp 29 degrees

% of rainfall overall 60%

lowest temp 2 degrees

100% of average sunshine

Don't worry SC, got to make the most of the summer and reserve the dark and gloomy 80% of the year for forum posting.

 

 

The date of the first 25.0°C:    3rd            

The date of the first 27.5°C:      15th       

The date of the first 30.0°C:  N/A

The highest offical temperature: 29.1 °C       

The lowest offical temperature: 4.2°C

The % of the average rainfall: 103

The % of the average sunshine: 99

 

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Here goes.  Good luck everyone! 

 

The date of the first 25.0°C:  3rd August               The date of the first 27.5°C:     7th August

The date of the first 30.0°C: 15th August                 The highest offical temperature:   31.2      

The lowest offical temperature 8.4c                         The % of the average rainfall:  90%              

The % of the average sunshine: 100%

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Thanks to the entrants so far

I reckon I'll work on the July stats when my room temperature is a bit lower

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The date of the first 25.0°C:    4th            

The date of the first 27.5°C:      5th       

The date of the first 30.0°C:  29th

The highest offical temperature: 31.1      

The lowest offical temperature: 1.2

The % of the average rainfall: 125

The % of the average sunshine: 110

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The date of the first 25.0°C:    3rd            

The date of the first 27.5°C:      4th      

The date of the first 30.0°C:  N/A

The highest offical temperature: 28.6c    

The lowest offical temperature: 5.5c

The % of the average rainfall: 80%

The % of the average sunshine: 100%

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The date of the first 25.0°C: 4th August The date of the first 27.5°C: 7th August

The date of the first 30.0°C: 13th August The highest offical temperature: 30.2

The lowest offical temperature 4.1 The % of the average rainfall: 40%

The % of the average sunshine: 129%

 

FIRST 25.0c    2nd

 

 

FIRST  27.5c   3rd

 

FIRST   30.0c   30th

 

 

Highest official temp 27.0c

 

Lowest official temp   8.0c.

 

%   of Rainfall    33%

%    of  Sunshine  83%

 

 

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The date of the first 25.0°C: 03/08/2013                The date of the first 27.5°C: 06/08/2013             
The date of the first 30.0°C: 14/03/2013
The highest offical temperature: 34.4°C         The lowest offical temperature: 6.7°C
The % of the average rainfall: 95%               The % of the average sunshine: 105%

Met Office  Heathrow Recorded     25.6 at 15:00....

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 i think the start date is the 3rd otherwise you have that one already bagged

Yes, start date is 3rd August so you'll want to revise your prediction for the first 25°C Artzeman

Thanks to all entrants so far

Here's my attempt for this month:

The date of the first 25.0°C: 3rd The date of the first 27.5°C: 8th The date of the first 30.0°C: 21st

The highest offical temperature: 30.3 °C The lowest offical temperature: 3.7°C

The % of the average rainfall: 104  The % of the average sunshine: 101

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Sorry a bit late with this.

The date of the first 25.0°C:  3rd               The date of the first 27.5°C:   12th           
The date of the first 30.0°C: Not reached
The highest offical temperature: 28.7         The lowest offical temperature: 5.2c
The % of the average rainfall: 103%              The % of the average sunshine: 87%

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Gary

No worries - just two hours past the deadline, technically I should give a penalty of 1/12 points for that, not that it really means anything

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Changing my first 25c.  to the 9th please.

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We made it to and past 25°C yesterday, so well done to RobSnowman, Caz, Gooner, ManUtdMatt1986, Domma and, er, myself, for hitting that nail on the head - 1 point each

The rest need to hope for better luck with the other categories - next up will be the first 27.5°C with a few candidates in the coming week

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Much to my surprise, Norwich Airport climbed to 27.7°C yesterday, meaning that we've already breached the 27.5°C mark... just goes to show what can happen if you have a very warm airmass ahead of a frontal system and the sun sneaks out for a while.

To be honest, I'm also surprised to find myself no lower than 4th place.

jamesthemonkeh, a new arrival to the game, was spot on with that one, so well done to him Gooner and ManUtdMatt1986 were both only one day out while Caz, Vince and ARTzeman were all 2 days out.

Now, where are we going to find 30°C in the near future... not much sign of that is there? Mid-20's seems to be the maximum for the coming week or so, with most places nearer to the low-20's on most days.

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Cheers SC

 

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Nice chart...Thanks for  the workings.

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August raced out of the starting blocks... and then fell over and lay still for 19 days and counting

September thread about to land...

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I must admit that doing the scores for this month wasn't much fun at all - kept ending up the wrong side of close groups, for example I scored 5 points for being just 2 hours out on the final sunshine total

You win some, you lose some

A big hand for Gooner, who has blown away the competition this month. He got the highest temperature spot on, and was also closest with the average rainfall... and he was one of the four who predicted that 30°C would not be seen during the period 3rd-31st August 2013.

Now here's a funny thing; those four who said no to 30°C occupy the top four finishing places!

Worth noting that the only other spot-on prediction was for the total sunshine, by RobSnowman - well done to him.

Seasonal and annual scores on the way - here's to a classic September to come

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Here's the annual league table. My unimpressive performance this month has sent me back to second place, with RobSnowman back at the top of the table. Caz is not all that far behind either of us.

We're all a bit split up in the rest of the league, with only two people in the 'missed one' group and three in the 'missed two' group. The former sees Domma maintaining her lead, and the same goes for Johnny25 in the latter, although Gooner has closed down the distance between them somewhat.

Now for the seasonal league, which is of a more satisfactory size:

Yes, seven people have managed to enter in all three months of summer - thank you very much folks

Despite losing a little ground in August, ManUtdMatt1986 claims the gold medal (only figuratively speaking I'm afraid ), so very well done to him. I've landed second place while RobSnowman was only a few points behind in third. In fact it was a very close seasonal competition between the top three, with only 9 points seperating 1st from 3rd.

Many thanks to all participants as always

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Thanks SC, great analysis. I particularly like the look of that annual league table. If we have another decent month in September my posting rate will be low again.

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Cheers SC.....................how did I manage that

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