9.75c please

No worries. No penalties for anyone posting today given I was late setting the thread up this month.

11.25 for me please

Very difficult one this month so having to take a total shot in the dark.

I'll go for 11.43C

I think I'll go for 11.3 C, please.

will take a guess at 9.8c please

HERE WE GO WITH THE OCTOBER POSTS.....

Met Office Hadley         12.3c.      Anomaly        -0.0c.    Provisional  to 1st.

Metcheck                     11.13c.     Anomaly         -0.62c.

Netweather                  12.88c.     Anomaly          2.42c.

Clevedon Weather         12.1c.      Anomaly         -1.6c.

 Mount Sorrel                11.2c.      Anomaly          0.8c.

My   Mean                     12.4c.      Anomaly          5.6c. 

11.2 please.

Thanks

David, Northallerton

10.8C please

PS - Please don't penalise me for being 38 minutes late! It's not like any new model run has come out since midnight. Because it's not the night that I do the Posting League download at midnight, I forgot - I was busy stewing apples. 

The latest output keeps the cool theme going. Yes a couple of warm days on Monday and Tuesday but otherwise the general trend is for cooler than average conditions, albeit only slightly below average. The two warm days may help us to stay close to average by the middle of the month on the 1971-2000 data but below the 1981-2010 mean.

Met Office Hadley           11.8c.       Anomaly      -0.4c.    Provisional to 2nd.

Metcheck                       11.09c.     Anomaly       0.58c.

Netweather                    12.27c.     Anomaly       1.87c.

Clevedon Weather           12.1c.      Anomaly      -1.6c.

Mount Sorrel                   11.3c.      Anomaly       0.9c.

My  Mean                        11.9c.      Anomaly      -0.6c.

My Annual     11.3c.  Difference  5.6c.

Thanks 

Met Office Hadley       10.9c.     Anomaly      -1.3c.   provisional to 3rd.

Metcheck                   10.74c.   Anomaly       0.23c.

Netweather                11.59c.   Anomaly       1.52c.

Clevedon weather       11.4c.     Anomaly       -2.3c.

Mount Sorrel               10.8c.    Anomaly        0.4c.

My Mean                     11.2c.    Anomaly       -1.3c.

Met Office Hadley        11.2c.       Anomaly       -1.2c.     Provisional to 4th.

Metcheck                    11.5c.      Anomaly         0.64c.

Netweather                 11.59c.    Anomaly         1.2c.

Clevedon Weather       12.1c.      Anomaly         -1.6c.

Mount Sorrel               11.1c.     Anomaly           0.7c.

My Mean                     11.3c.     Anomaly         -1.2c.     

Met Office Hadley            11.7c.      Anomaly      -0.6c.

Metcheck                        11.99c.    Anomaly       1.48c.

Netweather                     12.31c.    Anomaly       1.92c.

Clevedon Weather            13.0c.     Anomaly       -0.7c.

Mount Sorrel                    12.0c.     Anomaly        1.6c.

My Mean                          12.1c.     Anomaly       -0.4c.                  

Here are the predictions for October. The vast majority going for a very close to average month

Thank you  GW  for close knit chart.....

Met Office Hadley             12.4c.      Anomaly       0.2c.    Provisional  to  6th.

Metcheck                         12.32c.    Anomaly       1.81c.

Netweather                      12.87c.    Anomaly       2.48c.

Clevedon Weather             13.3c.     Anomaly      -0.4c.

Mount  Sorrel                    12.4c.     Anomaly       2.0c.

My    Mean                        12.6c.     Anomaly       0.1c.

Blooming heck!  I'm in the lower few, although I'm in good company.  It has to cool off a lot before I'm close. 

Don't worry Caz. After a warm three days it looks like cooling off considerably over the next week or so with cool nights and days.

The CET stands at 12.34C up to and including today by my calculations.

However, the latest output suggests this figure could fall to 10.65C by the 21st. That would be 0.29C below the 1971-2000 mean and 0.61C below the 1981-2010 mean. So I think we have just seem a temporary warm blip in what has been a fairly lengthy spell of cool weather. The colder conditions are set to return.

41 of the last 58 days have recorded a CET below average. 32 of those 41 days have been more than 1C below average.

If we can keep skies clear then I think CET will drop significantly. The key players will be cloud cover and wind, both of which may become an issue across the south through the weekend and next week as easterlies establish