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Gooner
03 April 2020 17:56:40

Sad to hear a temporary mortuary is to be set up at RAF Upper Heyford 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
03 April 2020 17:58:07


I agree Marcus. As I've continually pointed out the increased demand by all accounts is 10 fold. The infrastracture is simply not there. 


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


Its ok saying lets do more home deliveries but the manpower or vans just aren't there , yes it makes sense but I'm afraid it not that easy 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


JHutch
03 April 2020 17:59:28


 


People in the UK are allowed to go out for exercise so why wouldn't they visit their local park?


Originally Posted by: westv 


Knowing how crowded some parks can be normally it shows that we are not cutting down as much as we could be doing ideally (i appreciate that some people do not have much choice though in where they can go, just plodding up and down the streets is not great) and i imagine that with the nice weather at the weekend the figure will be back up to 100% or more. Personally i have only been going out running after dark; i did try going out at 7pm earlier in the week but there were a lot of people around.

doctormog
03 April 2020 18:01:30


 


People in the UK are allowed to go out for exercise so why wouldn't they visit their local park?


Originally Posted by: westv 


Yes, going to a local park is almost advised currently to ensure people can get daily exercise.if people are keeping their distance going to a park is a good idea rather than one to be condemned. The Google data don’t show whether people are “socially distancing”.


fairweather
03 April 2020 18:03:18


Not doing as well as other countries at not attending parks.


 




Originally Posted by: JHutch 


Out of interest - what exactly is the risk in a park if people are making sure they are way more than 2 metres apart, other than their own family?


Seems an obsession about this which hasn't been clearly explained in terms of additional risk over say shopping which I think some people are over doing judging by the huge queues and waiting lists. We shouldn't be eating more so why??


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Gavin D
03 April 2020 18:06:26

France



  • 5,233 new cases and 588 new deaths in hospitals

  • 6,662 patients in intensive care +263 on yesterday

Gavin D
03 April 2020 18:12:46
France have reported a total of 1,120 additional deaths today including 532 in care homes
fairweather
03 April 2020 18:14:47

I've posted this before on here, elsewhere and even emailed some epidemiologist professors but I am still amazed that it generates little interest. I am talking about the extended dry continuous hacking cough that I had a the end of December that lasted three weeks accompanied by a short fever. Almost everybody round here had it and judging by what I keep reading on social media so did thousands if not millions of others from November onwards. Some even said they were hospitalised. I've never had  bronchitis or any other respiratory disease. People keep enmphasising no cold or flu symptoms. It crops up on every social media thread when Covid -19 Symptoms table is displayed.


Surely this should be subject of some research to eliminate it or otherwise. It was a massive event after all, before we had even heard of Corona virus.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
JHutch
03 April 2020 18:16:04


 


Out of interest - what exactly is the risk in a park if people are making sure they are way more than 2 metres apart, other than their own family?


Seems an obsession about this which hasn't been clearly explained in terms of additional risk over say shopping which I think some people are over doing judging by the huge queues and waiting lists. We shouldn't be eating more so why??


Originally Posted by: fairweather 


Was thinking about this earlier. On a day where i travel to work on a rush hour tube, through a crowded station and back home on a crowded tube i reckon that i may be within 2 metres of as many as 20 different people, some for 10-20 minutes at a time. Given that the rate of spread of the virus has been to double in about 2.5 - 3.5 days (and that other situations would surely represent an easier transmission, ie where you are shaking hands, etc, rather than just being physically close) then this would suggest to me that being within a radius of 1-2 metres of someone isn't that dangerous. I would have thought that the problems would be actual physical contact or having somebody breath heavily/cough/sneeze on you, or through touching an infected surface.


One of the things that has surprised me about this virus is that it hasn't spread quicker in London given how many used crowded tubes a couple of weeks ago.

fairweather
03 April 2020 18:18:56


 


As Caz said, the idea would be to increase significantly the number of home deliveries. As for you requiring to shop on Sundays, you'd have to adapt. There is no perfect solution anyway. 


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


Why do we seem to suddenly need more food? There weren't queues before or delivery issues so if people behaved the same there wouldn't be now. 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Justin W
03 April 2020 18:25:30

France have reported a total of 1,120 additional deaths today including 532 in care homes

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Sorry to be pedantic - the old editor in me just won't go away. But this has been bothering me, Gavin. France - the nation state - is singular so it should be 'France has reported...'


Sorry - cannot help myself



Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
westv
03 April 2020 18:30:46


 


Sorry to be pedantic - the old editor in me just won't go away. But this has been bothering me, Gavin. France - the nation state - is singular so it should be 'France has reported...'


Sorry - cannot help myself



Originally Posted by: Justin W 


Is the old editor in you allowed to start a sentence with "but"?


At least it will be mild!
Justin W
03 April 2020 18:32:14


 


Is the old editor in you allowed to start a sentence with "but"?


Originally Posted by: westv 


Good spot. It should, of course, have started: 'However, this....'



Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
The Beast from the East
03 April 2020 18:34:06


 


It is a concern, since the anecdotal evidence is that the longer the symptoms persist, the more likely it is that they will get serious.


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


How is this possible?


I would assume your own immune system would learn to create antibodies the longer you have it?


Or is it like Spanish flu and triggers an overreaction in the immune system?


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
fairweather
03 April 2020 18:35:32


 


(for the 3rd time) the idea is to get your shopping delivered at your home. 


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


That would be nice but totally impossible here. There are only so many times you can stay up to the early hours trying to get a non-existent slot two weeks ahead!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
ozone_aurora
03 April 2020 18:36:14

Garden waste bin collection has been suspended in E Suffolk.

Tom Oxon
03 April 2020 18:37:25


I've posted this before on here, elsewhere and even emailed some epidemiologist professors but I am still amazed that it generates little interest. I am talking about the extended dry continuous hacking cough that I had a the end of December that lasted three weeks accompanied by a short fever. Almost everybody round here had it and judging by what I keep reading on social media so did thousands if not millions of others from November onwards. Some even said they were hospitalised. I've never had  bronchitis or any other respiratory disease. People keep enmphasising no cold or flu symptoms. It crops up on every social media thread when Covid -19 Symptoms table is displayed.


Surely this should be subject of some research to eliminate it or otherwise. It was a massive event after all, before we had even heard of Corona virus.


Originally Posted by: fairweather 


 


This is why mass testing is needed to work out whether this is true. I had a two-day fever between Xmas and New Year which I'd put down to food poisoning, perhaps it wasn't... Won't know until I get tested. Even if that comes positive for antibodies, who's to say that was it and I've had it asymptomatically?    I suppose when we do test, it still won't tell us exactly 'when', but at least it will tell us 'not again'.


S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
The Beast from the East
03 April 2020 18:38:37


There was a group of louts failing to social distance on the grass opposite earlier. They were driving quad bikes and mini motorbikes. A police car drove straight on by.

I think the warm weather is going to prove to be disastrous. The government yet again will behind the curve. They should have locked down harder ahead of the weekend.

Proactive instead of reactive.


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Same here in Croydon. Chavs hanging around in groups as normal, the coppers nowhere to be seen, but probably harassing a middle aged lady driving to a shop


The cops go for easy targets. They don't care if your house is burgled, but if you ignore a parking fine....


This country is finished. I know I always say that, but this time its true!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Maunder Minimum
03 April 2020 18:41:17


I wonder if anyone here knows what the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases there was within England back at the end of February/start of March. From what I read in one of Scotland's national daily papers earlier this week, the first confirmed case in Scotland wasn't until the beginning of March which was 4-5 weeks after the first case in England was confirmed.


While I cannot claim to be any kind of expert on this disease and its behaviour, I think it was probably the case that there was fairly widespread community transmission of the virus within England during February and before the government raised the alert.


Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


The problem is that people who caught the virus early on, would most likely have been younger fitter people who had been travelling to Asia on business or holiday. If any of them caught the virus, it is quite likely it would have been missed - they may have been asymptomatic, or just had something they put down to a winter cold or the flu. The early cases which were uncovered, tended to be those who had passed on the infection to someone who then had a more serious reaction. So we will never know how many cases could have been in the country prior to the problem becoming all too apparent. But I think we are agreed that much more serious border controls should have been introduced weeks earlier with port screening measures in place.


I wrote the following to my MP on 6th March - I have not yet had a response:


"One of the important reasons for containing the outbreak is that China is interviewing all infected people nationwide about their contact persons and then test those. There are 1,800 teams in Wuhan to do this, each with at least 5 people. But the effort outside of Wuhan is also big. In Shenzhen, for example, the infected named 2,842 contact persons, all of whom were found, testing is now completed for 2,240, and 2.8% of those had contracted the virus. In Sichuan province, 25,493 contact persons were named, 25,347 (99%) were found, 23,178 have already been examined and 0.9% of them were infected. In the province of Guangdong, 9,939 contacts were named, all found, 7,765 are already examined and 4.8% of them were infected. That means: If you have direct personal contact with an infected person, the probability of infection is between 1% and 5%


 


This also correlates perfectly with Taiwan's response. They suspended links to China and they had to cook up their own system, which is close to this (I suspect the Chinese may have copied it, Taiwan did it in early January as the first in the world when they became suspicious of a viral outbreak in their neighbour).


 


Europe have messed up - they should have taken events in Italy very seriously from the outset and closed borders.


P.S. Taiwan really is the role model for how to deal with this."


New world order coming.
JHutch
03 April 2020 18:41:35

If you are relatively young, healthy, live near a supermarket and are not self-isolating then shouldn't you do your bit by going to said supermarket to get your groceries and leave the more vulnerable a better chance of getting a home delivery, at least until the system is able to cope with more people ordering home deliveries? With most supermarkets allowing fewer people in at a time, queues nicely spaced out, etc, i think the chances of catching anything at the supermarket are pretty low.

SJV
  • SJV
  • Guest Topic Starter
03 April 2020 18:41:58


Garden waste bin collection has been suspended in E Suffolk.


Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 


You're lucky to have a garden waste bin collection! Here we'd be glad to 'ave even a garden 

fairweather
03 April 2020 18:46:59


 


 


This is why mass testing is needed to work out whether this is true. I had a two-day fever between Xmas and New Year which I'd put down to food poisoning, perhaps it wasn't... Won't know until I get tested. Even if that comes positive for antibodies, who's to say that was it and I've had it asymptomatically?    I suppose when we do test, it still won't tell us exactly 'when', but at least it will tell us 'not again'.


Originally Posted by: Tom Oxon 


Yes but if you think you had food poisoning and just a fever why would you think you had Corona virus?. I am talking about people with THE symptoms as being spelt out to us. UNCONTROLLABLE DRY COUGH, FEVER, FATIGUE and BREATHING PROBLEMS are the things to look out for. Now it is true I didn't notice fatigue or much breathlessness but many did from what I have read.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Bugglesgate
03 April 2020 18:48:13


Garden waste bin collection has been suspended in E Suffolk.


Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 


 


Ours went on the 27th March


 


 


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
Ulric
03 April 2020 18:49:08


Not doing as well as other countries at not attending parks.


 




Originally Posted by: JHutch 


Perhaps it's safer in the park than in a tower block with flammable cladding?


To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré
Roger Parsons
03 April 2020 18:49:09


Any prediction about a peak is only ever a best guess and cannot and must not be set in stone. Giving a definitive date rather than an estimate would be scientifically nonsensical.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Thanks for that, DrM. We used to have a nickname for such sloppy nonsense - we called it the "natural arbitrary line". Says it all. The other phrase sometimes used was "Which toe shall I shoot off?"


My wife keeps quoting that TV advert: "I don't know. Nobody knows..." 


I find it depressing that so many people are quite so ignorant of scientific facts, unaware that there is a scientific method and that prediction inevitably carries the possibility of being wrong - an valuable stepping stone to being right.  "I might be wrong" makes many folks uneasy. Happily, most weather-orientated folks are more than aware of that issue!


Roger


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

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