Mt Office Hadley      NO UPDATE

Metcheck                5.32c        Anomaly        -0.84c

Netweather             5.89c        Anomaly        -0.42c

Peasedown St John   5.67c     Anomaly      -1.27c.  

6.2c is my monthly mean here at Folkestone so far. (LTA monthly mean is 6.7c).

Compared with 4.5 in Jan and 5.8 in February its a slow start to Spring.

Its looking like the CET will end up somewhere in the range 6.5 to 6.9.

I'm surprised how quickly the CET recovered in week 2. I could do with a large monthly downward correction to get close to my 6.2c prediction. 

Met Office Hadley      No Update

Metcheck             5.39c      Anomaly     -0.77c

Netweather          5.99c      Anomaly     -0.32c

Peasedown St John   5.7c    Anomaly   -1.2c. 

What's with the lack of updates from Hadley over the past few days, is there some kind of an issue there?

They do it at least 3 times a year. No stranger to no updates. Most times cause not give anything other than they may be updating systems. 

They're not doing it any more.

It means that the competition is now finished for the year with positions frozen.

I expect GW will be doing an update and announcing the winner for 2021 in due course ! 

It's a sad day indeed that they would abandon the world's longest running temperature series, going all the way back to 1659 but I'm sure they must have their reasons.

Now let me just check who is currently on top of the CET competition table....

I always get the impression that when the person who updates the CET pages goes on holiday or is off sick, then rather than someone else doing the job it is left until he/she returns 🙄

If one of the weather stations within the CET stations does not send in their details then the CET is not published. 

Ah thanks - that makes more sense although that means three people’s holidays to interrupt the service 😂

Met Office Hadley         No Update

Metcheck            5.50c      Anomaly      -0.66c

Netweather         6.08c      Anomaly      -0.23c

Peasedown St John    5.85c   Anomaly   -1.5c.

You posted this 12 days early 

Met Office Hadley    NO UPDATE   Maybe 6.5c now?????

Metcheck               5.52c       Anomaly       -0.64c

Netweather            6.15c       Anomaly       -0.16c

Peasedown St John  5.85c    Anomaly     -1.05c.    

Met Office Hadley         6.3c         Anomaly       1.0c provisional to 21st

Metcheck                      5.6c         Anomaly       -0.60c

Netweather                   6.18c       Anomaly       -0.13c

Peasedown St John     5.87c        Anomaly       -1.03c.          

Met Office Hadley       6.3c       Anomaly        1.0c   PROVISIONAL TO 22nd.

What a benign second half to March it's turning out to be - ticking along toward a final CET somewhere close to average, probably a little below rather than above. I'm talking mid-6s °C. Not minded the large amount of 'usable' weather, though .

Recent model runs have been far less benign for April, though. The 12z GFS most notably so, with the opening 8 days averaging in the mid-4s °C by my rough estimate. Wacky weather patterns afoot, perhaps in response to the MJO moving from the Indian Ocean to Indonesia... but we know how often the response gets watered down nearer the time. For the sake of plants and animals widely, I sure hope it does!

The lack of Spring warmth has been remarkable down here in stark contrasts to many Marches of the last decade (March 2013 a notable exception).

The highest maximum temperature this month remains just 13.1c, achieved back on the 9th.

To put this into perspective January achieved a high of 13.7c and February 14.2c.

Believe it or not my coldest night of the winter -3.7c occurred this month too. Just beating the -3.6c set at the end of the week long freeze back in early February.

A chill month down on the corner with a mean of 6.4c to date.

Met Office Hadley          6.4c          Anomaly        1.0c. provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                       5.07c        Anomaly        -0.49c

Netweather                    6.26c        Anomaly        -0.05c

Peasedown St John      5.94c      Anomaly        -0.96c.  

High pressure sure has tended to be 'west-based' when across the UK this month.

Here in the central-south, a high of 16.5°C on 16th comfortably beat the Jan-Feb peak of 13.6°C set 24th Feb. In fact, it was the joint 10th earliest reaching of that temperature or higher in daily records back to 1973.

It was an outlier event compared to the rest of the month, though, which has been lacking in particularly warm days here too. The next-highest maximum has so far been 13.4°C on 15th and that's the only other day that's got above the 12s °C.

The highs have been very steady in the past week, ranging from 11.1 to 12.7°C. The lows have often been chilly or cold, with 20th reaching 0°C and the past two nights dipping to near 2°C.

Yet overall, the mean temp for 1st-23rd has come in at 6.79°C, 0.06°C above the 1991-2020 average. With so many warm Marches in recent years, it's been easy to forget how cool the normal is, even of the most recent 30 years!

It's been a funny ole month Stormchaser. I wonder surprises April may have up its sleeve ?  

Met Office Hadley           6.5c          Anomaly       1.1c provisional to 24th

MetCheck                       5.76c         Anomaly       -0.40c

Netweather                     6.36c         Anomaly      0.07c

Peasedown St John       6.0c          Anomaly       -0.9c.     

My latest CET estimate is 6.29C up to today.

Despite a cooler couple of days coming up it then looks very mild to end the month.

Currently, I am estimating a final March CET of exactly 7.00C.