Ive a feeling this summer is going to be similar.Its looking like a distinctly cold year with most   months below average. We seem absolutly stuck in this present weather pattern and no end in sight.

And it came after notable prolonged cold in winter and March. Given the privations of WW1 as well, people must have been getting really down, not to mention what it must have been like for those in the trenches.

Gosh! Been a long time coming. First time April has been colder than the March before it since 2012 as well.

Met Office Hadley          5.6c       Anomaly     -1.5c. provisional to 16th

Metcheck                       5.10c     Anomaly      -2.92c

Netweather                    5.65c     Anomaly      -2.46c

Peasedown St John      5.4c       Anomaly      -3.0c. 

 I got the World Cup 1966 joke Col. I was just stating that in this thread, 2 years have been mentioned as similar to 2021 for temperature pattern matching. They were 1966 and 1977. Weatherwise, both of those summers were poor so I'm concerned that this year might follow the same path. 

At least both of those summers had something to cheer us up about. Perhaps this will be England's year in the Euros? But I'm not holding my breath. 

OK, sorry for the whoosh 🙂 I'm sure a lot of people recall the awful weather of the Silver Jubilee in 1977. We went to Otley Chevin to see the beacon being lit, I think you were supossed to be able to see the other beacons in the chain as well, but fat chance of that in the rain and low cloud. Summers in the 60s were generally poor, at least by today's standards. I don't know if 1966 was poor by the stadards of the time.

Were they?

Manchester Summer Indices

1960 217

1961 203

1962 197

1963 194

1964 197

1965 189

1966 192

1967 223

1968 215

1969 234

Summers 2010-2020

2010 191

2011 179

2012 164

2013 247

2014 236

2015 192

2016 189

2017 192

2018 272

2019 199

2020 182

That's interesting, always thought summers in the 60s weren't up to much. Perhaps I'm thinking of the 50s. Anyway, I was born in 1967 so don't remember them myself.

I'm surprised 19 and 20 aren't higher over here in the East they were both good with lots of useable weather with occasional  bursts of heat.

The CET may be heading for a notably low figure this month but I don't think April so far will go down as particularly cold with the general public. The reason being of course that it has been the many air frosts that have dragged the average down, daytime temps have been pretty close to normal and this is what most people will experience when they are 'out and about'. That said I'm not most people and I walk 2.5 miles to work every morning wearing shorts, leaving at 4.45am. It's pretty cold then, I can tell you! But most people won't experience that, they will just have the pleasant enough daytime temps, plenty of sun and increasingly in this April, lack of rain. Therefore it will go down as a 'good' spell of weather.

Met Ofice Hadly       5.7c      Anomaly    -1.5c provisional t 17th

Metcheck                 5.19c    Anomaly     -2.83c

Netweather              5.72c    Anomaly     -2.39c

Peasedown St John 5.4c     Anomaly   -3.0c.      

Met Office Hadley        5.8c     Anomaly     -1.5cprovisional to 18th

Metcheck                     5.31c   Anomaly      -27.1c

Netweather                  5.84c   Anomaly      -2.27c

Peasedown St John     5.7c     Anomaly      -2.7c.   

Met Office Hadley       5.9c      Anomaly      -1.4c provisional to 19th

Metcheck                    5.49c    Anomaly      -2.53c

Netweather                 6.01c    Anomaly      -2.1c

Peasedown St John    5.94c     Anomaly     -2.46c.   

Met Office Hadley        6.1c     Anomaly   -1.2c provisional to 20th

Metcheck                     5.72c   Anomaly    -2.30c

Netweather                  6.22c   Anomaly    -1.89c

Peasedown St john     5.9c.    Anomaly     -2.5c.    

We are just off for our regular morning walk, only 3K and I wrap up warm in a coat, hat and jogging bottoms but it’s still cold on the knees.  It’s frosty and -3c but once the sun gets out you can feel its warmth.  We do the same walk in the afternoon in T. Shirt sleeves, when the temp is in the teens and people we pass comment on the lovely weather.  

Met Office Hadley         6.3c     Anomaly    -1.1c provisional to 21st

Metcheck                      5.73c    Anomaly    -2.29c

Netweather                   6.37c    Anomaly    -1.74c

Peasedown St John     6.24c     Anomaly    -2.16c. 

For me I wear shorts for comfort on my daily walk to work, a couple of degrees of frost is perfectly OK, as long as I keep up a brisk pace. As long as I 'wrap up warm' up top my bare legs don't seem to mind the cold. What I really don't like is wind chill. -2C and calm is fine but a higher temerature with a wind giving a wind chill of that value is far more unpleasant. Shorts were fine for much of the winter but during the cold spells of Jan & Feb I was wearing trousers just like anybody else!

As for the CET well it's creeping up now but there's going to have to be a major heatwave at the end of the month for to get anywhere close to my 8.15C estimate and there isn't any sighn of that at the moment. Still, I'mtowards the bottom end of the predictions range so it could be worse. There willl be some large errors this month, that's for sure.

Met Office Hadley         6.4c      Anomaly     -1.1c provisional to 22nd

Metcheck                      5.79c    Anomaly     -2.23c

Netweather                   6.43c    Anomaly     -1.68c

Peasedown St John     6.33c     Anomaly      -2.07c. 

There’s no way we’re going to get near my 9.2c guess and it looks like we’ll end below average.  Down I go!  

Almost certain now we've all gone to high. 

April CET now looking like it will come in around 6.5C. Could be the coldest April since 1986 and the joint second coldest April since 1941.

CET mean is trending exactly 2C below the 1981-2010 mean and 0.67C below the March figure.

Minimum CET is currently a massive 3.2C below average.

Maximum CET is currently 0.8C below average.

No one is going to even be in the ballpark when it comes to the competition this month. I declare no one to be the winner!

Chart 1

Chart 2