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Spring Sun Winter Dread
06 December 2022 14:08:53
SS not over til the fat lady sings...
I reckon this year will go to the wire.
It does look more or less nailed on to be coldest Dec since 2010 at the very least unless we get a crazy festive warm up (which is something I would never rule out tbh!)
22 could potentially go down as one of the great weather years.
Lovely spring 
Amazing summer 
Prolonged drought 
Mild autumn bringing drought relief to most 
Then a nice seasonal December to finish .
1995 vibes ...
JMM2005
06 December 2022 21:33:08
I did go all in on cold. Which seems to be happening however December is a long month. I had a terrible October which cost me dearly but I think I have led the competition since the spring so be interesting to see if my lead run has been one of the longest. And this is the first full year I have competed 
Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 December 2022 06:37:30
Only a week into the month but my 5.6c isn't looking good and will look worse by mid month! 🙄
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Stormchaser
07 December 2022 09:41:18
I was a little surprised to find I was so far down the spread of estimates for this month, though I did decide to play the 'bold' card in case the impressive signal for a lengthy -NAO pattern came through.

Since then I've spent more time feeling positive about my estimate than negative but it's hardly been smooth going, the low from by the Azores causing absolute havoc in the modelling, often with knock-on effects over the following days or even week.
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
ARTzeman
07 December 2022 12:20:19
Metcheck             4.18c     Anomaly    -0.82c
Netweather          4.81c     Anomaly    -0.29c
Peasedwn S John 3.1c      Anomaly     -3.73c.
Mountsorrel        4.6c     Anomaly      0.5c.   




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
07 December 2022 13:18:49
Hadley

4.2c to the 6th

0.4c below the 61 to 90 average
1.5c below the 81 to 10 average
 
Ally Pally Snowman
07 December 2022 13:22:46

Hadley

4.2c to the 6th

0.4c below the 61 to 90 average
1.5c below the 81 to 10 average
 

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 



That's probably the peak for now. Should get into the 2s maybe even 1s but its pretty much impossible to predict what happens the 2nd half of December atm.
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Bertwhistle
07 December 2022 19:26:50

That's probably the peak for now. Should get into the 2s maybe even 1s but its pretty much impossible to predict what happens the 2nd half of December atm.
 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



Agree. But who would have thought deep into autumn that there was such an unlikely threat to the 'nailed on' warmest CET year on record? MetO giving up to 70% odds on temperatures below 4°C below normal. Still think we'll snatch it, but quite interesting that it has come about as it has.
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Ally Pally Snowman
07 December 2022 19:50:47

Agree. But who would have thought deep into autumn that there was such an unlikely threat to the 'nailed on' warmest CET year on record? MetO giving up to 70% odds on temperatures below 4°C below normal. Still think we'll snatch it, but quite interesting that it has come about as it has.

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 



It is a remarkable flip from exceptionally mild to very cold. the biggest gap between November and December cet has to be on. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Spring Sun Winter Dread
07 December 2022 23:26:15
1978 will be in contention for that title. A very mild autumn followed by a notoriously severe winter 

Sadly with all the strikes and the state the country is in the similarities don't end there !
ARTzeman
08 December 2022 10:45:29
Metcheck            3.59c        Anomaly       -1.40c
Netweather         4.25c        Anomaly       -0.86c
Peasedown St John  2.42c    Anomaly    -3.20c.
Mountsorrel         4.2c       Anomaly      -0.9c.
Crondall Hamps   3.5c. 




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Bertwhistle
08 December 2022 13:56:34
HadCET 3.8°C to 7th
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
ARTzeman
09 December 2022 12:45:32
Met Office Hadley CET 3.2c    Anomaly    -1.4c Provisional to 8th
Metcheck               3.11c       Anomaly       -1.85c
Netweather            3.61c       Anomaly       -1.5c
Peasedown St John  2.13c      Anomaly       -4.7c.
Crondall Hamps       2.7c        Anomaly       -2.9c
Mountsorrel            3.6c       Anomaly         -1.5c.  




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
10 December 2022 13:04:00
Hadley

2.7c to the 9th

1.8c below the 61 to 90 average
2.6c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
10 December 2022 13:47:05
Metcheck        2.80c           Anomaly        -2.19c
Netweather     3.13c           Anomaly        -1.98c 
Peasedown St John     2.08c      Anomaly    -4.75c.     




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
11 December 2022 11:57:17
Metcheck              2.51c          Anomaly           -2.48c
Netweather           2.81c          Anomaly           -2.3c
Peasedown St John  1.45c        Anomaly           -5.38c.
Mountsorrel          2.9c            Anomaly           -2.2c
Crondall                1.4c             Anomaly            -4.1c.         




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
11 December 2022 12:24:30
Hadley

2.4c to the 10th

2.2c below the 61 to 90 average
2.8c below the 81 to 10 average
Spring Sun Winter Dread
12 December 2022 07:51:56
Still 3 weeks to go but as I wake up to a blanket of snow outside this morning I have to say I think I've blown my chances of retaining the title.
Will wait for the charts for Xmas period to firm up but it's going to take some serious blowtorch Atlantic stuff to get us to 4.2C now.
JMM now firm favourite 
ARTzeman
12 December 2022 12:06:52
Metcheck                       2.25c            Anomaly           -2.75c
Netweather                    2.46c            Anomaly           -2.65c
Peasedown St John       1.43c             Anomaly           -5.6c
Mountsorrel                  2.6c               Anomaly           -2.5c
Crondall                        1.3c               Anomaly           1.43c.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
12 December 2022 12:27:32
Hadley

2.0c to the 11th

2.5c below the 61 to 90 average
3.1c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
13 December 2022 09:07:41
Mountsorrel                   2.2c        Anomaly             -2.8C
Crondall                         1.1c        Anomaly             -4.5C. 
Metcheck                       2.07c      Anomaly             -2.95c
Netweather                    2.18c      Anomaly             -2.93c 
Peasedown St John        1.77c      Anomaly             -4.56c. 




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Bertwhistle
13 December 2022 13:05:38
 HadCET 1.7°C to 12th. 
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Bertwhistle
13 December 2022 13:12:03
There was no lower daily mean than yesterday's mean T of -2.0°C since 2nd March 2018 (one day in Feb 2021 equals it).
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
13 December 2022 13:46:46
Mean here now +0.5C which is 3.7C below normal.
Yesterday 12th was especially cold with mean of -5.3 which was 8.7C below average for that day
North York Moors weather 
Hungry Tiger
13 December 2022 14:44:32
😮 😮
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


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