It looks like less cold air over the UK from Friday to Saturday, some cold weather but settled on Sunday, cold and chilly weather and dry on Monday, but Monday evening or late afternoon to Wednesday Midday- NW SE Tracking PV Low with very low Sub-528 down to 520 dam line on -5 to -7 degrees C at 2 miles high 850hPa level cold NW winds are being shown, Monday evening to Wednesday midday- very cold air with sleet and snow showers, after a SE diving Low from North Atlantic hits the UK and Western Europe.
And GFS Para, ICON and the GEM, as well as the UKMO, show the next PV Low, with a large but quickly shrinking mild sector shall arrive over the UK by T168hours with some heavy rain Thursday and early on Friday (24-25th Jan. 2019), with cold air maybe by Friday the 25th January with more cold arctic NW winds, and wintry showers. Less cold Wednesday late afternoon to Thursday midday aka 23-24th January as that NW Atlantic Low is expected to track to UK North Europe later next week from the Western NW Atlantic it moves from there as from Monday and Tuesday next week.
That looks like quite a deep Low.
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Lol, Behold, Behemoth... I await with baited breath-- today's 12z ECMWF runs.
After that we shall hope that early tomorrow morning the UKMO, GFS, and ECMWF and ICON Models continue backing up good potential. That other Low may visit us come the 24th and 25th to tease us!.
Edited by user
17 January 2019 17:52:14
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Reason: Not Specified.
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.