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Foghorn
29 January 2019 16:24:35
Cloud clearing and temp going down a bit - near 2 C now in North Northumberland. BUT guess what - as night falls the wind gets up as usual - of course its a westerly! Please can we have any other wind direction but west before the winters over?
Solar Cycles
29 January 2019 17:57:11
Looking like I’ll miss the crop of snow showers out in the Irish Sea tonight as well, they appear to ending south of Manchester. What a crap β€œcool” spell of weather. 😜
Maunder Minimum
29 January 2019 18:37:27

Well, all has gone pear shaped once more!


No snow here today, just cold rain.


West Midlands was supposed to be in the firing line for Thursday's snow, but now it looks like it will stay in the south (according to UKMO and ECM latest output). Could be a world first - with the M4 being the northern extent of the snow in a reversal of the normal situation.


New world order coming.
Solar Cycles
29 January 2019 18:52:47


Well, all has gone pear shaped once more!


No snow here today, just cold rain.


West Midlands was supposed to be in the firing line for Thursday's snow, but now it looks like it will stay in the south (according to UKMO and ECM latest output). Could be a world first - with the M4 being the northern extent of the snow in a reversal of the normal situation.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 

Need to find a more fruitful hobby than this model watching. πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

Solar Cycles
29 January 2019 23:10:00

Absolute zilch here and the radar shows any streamers well to the south of us. Second worst winter on record in my lifetime around these parts and it  just goes on and on.πŸ€ͺ

tallyho_83
30 January 2019 00:36:36


Ah well!! We now have just over another month of this completely snowless hell which is known as this "winter", left to endure. I will therefore be glad when it's all over and we move into the spring and whatever that might throw at us in terms of our weather.


This has been a winter which has promised so much. We are virtually at solar minimum and we have even had a SSW event. Yet even with those things, we are still contriving to remain on course for this winter to end up being completely snow-free in this part of the world.


You really couldn't make that one up.


 


Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


 


Hey hope you get some proper snow soon John!


Been a damb squib here in the SW in Exeter (DEVON) today too - Dartmoor saw a slushy deposit earlier but it was another 'so close, but no cigar'.


I have seen sleety showers this evening with odd flake mixed in which is the start but the caveat as mentioned in snow reports thread is that the temperature rises whenever the 'wintry shower' comes along and this rise of say 0.2 or 0.3 of a degree under the cloud is enough to turn what was meant to be snow or starts of as wet flakes of sleet back into rain so consequently all evening and night we have had the temperature fluctuating between +1c when skies are clear and then rising to +1.3c when 'wintry showers' arrive and with the breeze it;s not cold enough for any frost to form or ground to freeze so any sleet or snow could settle on! If it was -2 or -3c then a 0.3c rise won't make much difference as precipitation could still remain as snow but because we are above freezing by 1 degree and the temp rises in the shower by some 0.3 to 0.4 of a degree - it ruins it really!


If this was during the daytime there maybe time for some potential evaporation cooling and temperatures to fall when cloud arrives with showers, but the issue tonight as is often the case NOW (as i type) is that it's not cold enough for snow or staying cold etc!


On top of all that - The showers are really light and short lived as you can see in the radar right now:


Best place to be is W. Scotland, NW England and N. Ireland:


  http://www.raintoday.co.uk/


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Retron
30 January 2019 06:14:52

After last night's crap-shack, it's 0/4 so far! Next stop on the tour of frustration - Thursday.


Tuesday 22nd - rain (with snow reported SE, NW, north and west)
Thursday 24th - rain with a few flakes of sleet (snow reported north and NW)
Sunday 27th - rain (potential back-edge snow, but it didn't happen)
Tuesday 29th - rain and sleet (with a dusting of snow a few miles inland, grrr!)


Leysdown, north Kent
Russwirral
30 January 2019 07:09:09
Imagine being right in the firing line and getting naff all.

Thats worse than just missing out.
Tim A
30 January 2019 07:41:30
Why do systems always correct south on the models? It is a given.
Even up until yesterday various models had us getting some snow Thr night as did the Met Office automated. Now dry on all models.

The only time systsms get this far is when they push all the way through to bring mild weather.
Another chance wasted.


Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

Β My PWS 
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
30 January 2019 18:05:59

Imagine being right in the firing line and getting naff all.

Thats worse than just missing out.

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


But I knew this was going to happen. I can barely be bothered being disappointed to be honest. It happens time and time again with these types of systems. They always correct south, never north. Now if a bunch of weather enthusiasts can spot this why can't the professional meteorologists who programme these models recognise it and correct for it?


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 January 2019 19:50:13


 


But I knew this was going to happen. I can barely be bothered being disappointed to be honest. It happens time and time again with these types of systems. They always correct south, never north. Now if a bunch of weather enthusiasts can spot this why can't the professional meteorologists who programme these models recognise it and correct for it?


Originally Posted by: Col 

I can identify with your feelings, I can’t even get really excited because I know the automated updates will change if they show snow for me!  I even know the three or four yellow warnings we’ve had for snow and ice, mean it will be ice for us!  So I’m not surprised to see the charts keeping us under the snow shield for the foreseeable future and it’s where we’ve been all winter!  No snow!


I disagree with you on one thing though.  Snow does occasionally correct North but only if I was previously within the Southern boundary!  For me in the middle, it’s been snow to the N, S, E and W, but none here!  If there’s any chance at all of getting snow in North Notts, you can bet it’ll be after 17th February when I’ll be off for some winter sun! 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
richardabdn
30 January 2019 20:50:57

This cold spell is just lame, pathetic and embarrassing beyond words. Supposed to be the coldest night of winter and four hours after sunset it's not even below freezing  Yet again that crap wind set in during the late afternoon, at just the very time it would have dropped out in the past.


No snow falling all week but the pitiful dusting we had late on Sunday has hung around like a bad smell. Looks awful and worse of all has turned to an icy mess and made the pavements treacherous. Funny how during this unprecedented snow drought we seem to have to endure more icy pavements than I can ever remember in the past


January has just gone the same way as December - a complete write-off - and undoubtedly February will too. We have now had only three Januaries in 15 years where more than 2cm of snow has accumulated. A statistic so incredulous that anyone with even a basic knowledge of UK climate would think I had made a typo. Unfortunately not - since 2005 only 2010, 2013 and 2016 have recorded a snow depth of more than 2cm. So diabolical it's surreal.


It's not even been mild either because I haven't recorded a January as much as 1C above average since 2007 which is the longest run without a very mild January since 1899-1915. Only 2014 has been more than 0.5C above average since then and that was down to hideous mild nights.


The cuplrit responsible for giving this complete and utter dross has been the inexplicable arrival of previously unheard of 'cold westerlies'. Couldn't name a single month dominated by these in the past but over the last decade we've suffered them in January 2009, January 2011, December 2011, January 2012, February 2013, most of winter 14/15, second half of January 2016, January 2018 and now this month. All of them brought the same tedious banality. Average temperatures, sunny and dry with little or no snow or hard frost. Most of the very mild winter months of the 90s and 2000s were snowier than the dross listed above as even a 36 hour northerly would have been capable of delivering more snow than the whole of that rot combined e.g. 12cm on 6th December 1998 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits
Andy Woodcock
30 January 2019 21:36:42


This cold spell is just lame, pathetic and embarrassing beyond words. Supposed to be the coldest night of winter and four hours after sunset it's not even below freezing  Yet again that crap wind set in during the late afternoon, at just the very time it would have dropped out in the past.


No snow falling all week but the pitiful dusting we had late on Sunday has hung around like a bad smell. Looks awful and worse of all has turned to an icy mess and made the pavements treacherous. Funny how during this unprecedented snow drought we seem to have to endure more icy pavements than I can ever remember in the past


January has just gone the same way as December - a complete write-off - and undoubtedly February will too. We have now had only three Januaries in 15 years where more than 2cm of snow has accumulated. A statistic so incredulous that anyone with even a basic knowledge of UK climate would think I had made a typo. Unfortunately not - since 2005 only 2010, 2013 and 2016 have recorded a snow depth of more than 2cm. So diabolical it's surreal.


It's not even been mild either because I haven't recorded a January as much as 1C above average since 2007 which is the longest run without a very mild January since 1899-1915. Only 2014 has been more than 0.5C above average since then and that was down to hideous mild nights.


The cuplrit responsible for giving this complete and utter dross has been the inexplicable arrival of previously unheard of 'cold westerlies'. Couldn't name a single month dominated by these in the past but over the last decade we've suffered them in January 2009, January 2011, December 2011, January 2012, February 2013, most of winter 14/15, second half of January 2016, January 2018 and now this month. All of them brought the same tedious banality. Average temperatures, sunny and dry with little or no snow or hard frost. Most of the very mild winter months of the 90s and 2000s were snowier than the dross listed above as even a 36 hour northerly would have been capable of delivering more snow than the whole of that rot combined e.g. 12cm on 6th December 1998 


Originally Posted by: richardabdn 


I was I Perth today and was amazed how little snow there was between Glasgow, Sterling and Perth, around Perth itself even the hills were clear of snow, meanwhile Liverpool Airport next to the Irish Sea is closed by snow! You couldn't make it up.


Meanwhile its back home where I can admire what remains of the 0.5cms that fell last night.


Oh well I can always watch the southern England and Midlands snowstorm tomorrow to cheer me up, its like watching porn but like porn watching someone else is nowhere near as much fun!!


I am almost looking forward to a Bartlett February when at least I won't be tortured by great models that fail to verify and the sight of other peoples bloody snow.


Andy


Andy Woodcock
Penrith
Cumbria

Altitude 535 feet

"Why are the British so worried about climate change? Any change to their climate can only be an improvement" John Daley 2001
Retron
31 January 2019 04:26:52


Meanwhile its back home where I can admire what remains of the 0.5cms that fell last night.


Oh well I can always watch the southern England and Midlands snowstorm tomorrow to cheer me up, its like watching porn but like porn watching someone else is nowhere near as much fun!!


Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 


0.5cm? Luxury, that's 0.5cm more than I've had down here.


As for the snowstorm today, I'd suggest finding a webcam in, say, Canterbury. That way you can watch the snow fall this evening, followed by the torrential rain which GFS has picked up from nowhere washing it all away again by dawn.


(UKV, GFS and Euro4 have all cooked up an area of snow-melting 2C dewpoints moving across Kent early tomorrow, with rain. Wonderful stuff!)


EDIT: GFS' take on it.



 


 


Leysdown, north Kent
roadrunnerajn
31 January 2019 06:39:45
In my location... I will not get snow from the forecast charts in the next 48 hours and even though we still have February left my gut tells me the chances of snow are fading.

As has been suggested a few weeks back the split in the vortex has happened in the wrong place for us to really benefit. I believe now that the Meto were bullish about their outlook because they thought the split would affect us and up until yesterday I believe their models were also suggesting this.
Living in the UK and understanding how fickle and changeable our weather can be normally gives you an open mind to the prospects of cold winter weather. However when most of the signals and the professionals say we could get severe cold you begin to believe it....
I really hope that I am wrong...


Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
Ally Pally Snowman
31 January 2019 07:00:11

Only thing worse than getting no snow is places further south than you getting snow. It's mental torture. Horrific. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 January 2019 07:08:50


Only thing worse than getting no snow is places further south than you getting snow. It's mental torture. Horrific. 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Try 


Normally we miss out completely - get over it!


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
31 January 2019 07:34:25


 


Try 


Normally we miss out completely - get over it!


Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


Honestly I'm really happy for you. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Saint Snow
31 January 2019 09:39:08


Only thing worse than getting no snow is places further south than you getting snow. It's mental torture.


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


 


What's worse is being in what looks like one of the ideal places for snow in a certain set-up, only to get next to sod all out of it - and then see places further south (who've been moaning about a NW'ly never delivering for them) getting snow.


Last week was farcical.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Saint Snow
31 January 2019 09:40:24

And as for this frontal event today...



 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
31 January 2019 09:49:07


 


 


What's worse is being in what looks like one of the ideal places for snow in a certain set-up, only to get next to sod all out of it - and then see places further south (who've been moaning about a NW'ly never delivering for them) getting snow.


Last week was farcical.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

For once we’ve managed to get two snow ( albeit light ) events that have hung around for twenty four hours. It’s still been a disappointing winter with only a handful of frosts recorded and five days of actually sunshine instead of the grey muck that’s hung around throughout this winter. 


You know now that come March we’ll see perfect winter synoptics which for these parts results in having to get out before 9am before it all thaws.😏

Heavy Weather 2013
31 January 2019 10:35:51

Sick of the weather never really delivering for London.


We are never in the sweet spot for these sorts of events. Event the beast last year didn't really give London the snowfall I dream off.February 2009 remains my benchmark event (from a snowfall perspective) and most events have been really pathetic since then 


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Saint Snow
31 January 2019 11:40:06


For once we’ve managed to get two snow ( albeit light ) events that have hung around for twenty four hours. It’s still been a disappointing winter with only a handful of frosts recorded and five days of actually sunshine instead of the grey muck that’s hung around throughout this winter. 


You know now that come March we’ll see perfect winter synoptics which for these parts results in having to get out before 9am before it all thaws.😏


Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


MBY got between 1cm and 2cm (depending on surface), most of which melted yesterday (roads/pavements/paths). I know the concentration of snow was patchy across the region and even just to the east of me got about 5cm (the skeletal trees lining the M62 near Birchwood were that magical white from the snow). The journey to Rawtenstall was beautiful - the hills and valleys all resplendent in white finery.


Last week was poor, though - plenty of snow showers, nothing settling.


 


PS - guess who phoned in to 'work from home' yesterday, as Accrington was snowbound?   The tw*t thinks nobody in here realises.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Tom Oxon
31 January 2019 16:51:02
Well still waiting for our first cm in warwickshire, looking like we might get a 0.5cm dusting tonight...
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
JACKO4EVER
31 January 2019 18:51:14
This winter will go down as having been memorable for its unremitting FI Jam tomorrow whilst having delivered next to sod all for many. Here’s to spring 🍺

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