[quote=Ally Pally Snowman;1176627]

ECM really ramping up the Sunday storm can't ever remember such a huge area of the UK having such damaging gusts. North Wales has the peak at a 106 mph . Many other areas have 70 to 85 mph crazy.

[/quote25 Jan 1990 for example ]

It seems to be. 

Spur posts are what you need to think about, set in a good anchor of concrete.

Plenty like this and you can get them cheaper no doubt than BQ.

https://www.diy.com/departments/grange-concrete-repair-spur-h-1m-w-75mm/152110_BQ.prd

Digging the old concrete out and disposing of it is a pain though. A decent sledgehammer and crowbar/ironbar helps.

Cheaper and more important less disruptive than new fence posts

Could be the most significant storm since then as with the Burn's Day storm of 90, its also happening in the daytime.  If the predicted wind speeds happen I'm pretty sure it will be upgraded to Red by the met office. 

The English channel has a thing for funneling wind energy, and the solent channel even more so. I suspect the strongest gust in to be just east of the IOW in a SWW gale.

Maybe because the West is used to (not that uncommon) gusts of 70mph+ so things are better bolted down there, and less likely to be damaged

That area you mention seems to be prone to more activity, maybe because of the topography in the area. There are quite a few tornadoes that form in the Selsey area.

Yes, didn't Patrick Moore's observatory get flattened by one a few years back?

I wonder if this is a January 1990 scenario.

I reckon the strongest wind speed/gust will be recorded on Angelsey

The tracking of Ciara does seem to be slightly further north on the latest Arpege runs. Earlier runs had it just clipping the north Irish coast, now it's staying up more level with Lewis. Has only had a marginal effect on the winds in the south though, albeit in the right direction, and the timing for the peak winds also seems to be fairly consistent too. 3-4pm seems the worst of it down here on Arpege, MetO puts the peak slightly earlier.

The adjustment north has if anything slightly emphasised a second band across the country further north though. Looks like anywhere from the northern half of Wales across to the Wash, and all the way up to the Borders is getting singled out for the worst of it at the moment. I'm presuming (hoping) that the warning further south is primary due to the coastal exposure to the more southerly component of the gale on the Sunday afternoon, and that the ranges of hills between us and the sea will knock the edge of it! The location of the amber warning blob would suggest that.

Given that, I would expect a second amber warning to appear further north soon.

A "few years" indeed - Jan 1998. See the Beeb report on that tornado here. There was another much more serious one in Selsey in 1986.

The solent region is a natural basin 'U' shaped with the hills of the south IOW and the south downs on the mainland.

Possibly or at Thorney... nationally who knows.

ECM once again 70 to 80 mph over most of England and Wales.  The current Amber zone is just bollox and should be expanded to most of England and Wales tomorrow,.

The current amber warning fits the 1987 event more.  I was at Kingston Poly at the time and it was a real challenge getting home.

The Burns Day event  hit a bit further north and clobbered us here - we lost a lot of the roof of our old farm house  and the power was off for nearly a week (unheard of since in this area).

But will nobody think of the whippets?

I am deeply depressed about this as I know my house is old and in disrepair  there will be damage. The plastic panels on the garage are 30 years old and already weak. I would expect some to come off. But I guess that means getting it repaired and insurance will cover it, but it’s just the hassle of it all, and hoping it doesn’t rain too much before its repaired