Yes those nice leafy suburbs of interior Hampshire, Sussex,  Berkshire, and Surrey might be at risk of losing a few trees.

Same here. The front moved through here at around 8 am with gusts of 80-85mph, horizontal rain and a flash of lightning. This followed a 14 hour period of gusts of 70mph.

A unforgettable experience.

A similar set up is emerging for tomorrow.

Just as well that aren't any leaves around - unlike 1987 !

The timing is a mixed blessing - good it's Sunday (quiet)  bad it's during the day (not as quiet as it might be).  People  generally only get killed when they are out in it.

Indeed, the local figures here showed mean winds of 45mph and gusts around 75mph - a couple of mph higher than what GFS is showing for tomorrow. I'm hoping that the Met Office is right instead (mean 42, high 62). It's not the mean I mind as much as those gusts...

Incidentally I've a saved forecast from the Met Office site in March 2008, when a red warning* was issued for wind across the SE. It had a mean of 52 and gusts to 77 over Manston at 9 AM on the 10th, but in the event the actual winds were a fair bit lower (42 and 63, respectively). Forecasting has come on a fair bit since then, though!

(* - they weren't called that, but areas of the map were still coloured red as a warning!)

I wonder if tomorrow will be a case of "cry wolf". From the forecasts I've seen I'm expecting a January 2007 gale or October 2002 one.

Just looked back at my diaries; far more trees came down in Jan 1990 storm than Oct 1987 in this area, despite there being no leaves; yet sustained winds and max gusts were higher in 1987. Must be due to the way those gusts develop. Interesting area to look at. Left RMS some years ago so no idea if any papers were submitted in Weather or QJRMS etc. relating to the particular energy dynamics of storm gusts. Do remember that it was the passing of the CF that brought the howlers in 1990- as I think this one will do?

At least you'll have some degree of shelter from the IOW; wouldn't want to be hanging around the Alum Bay leisure park or chairlift tomorrow!

Scarily that's right over my house and is showing peak wind gusts of between 85 and 93mph! That would do an awful lot of damage! Especially given that we are in a fairly exposed hilltop location. 

Be good if someone could provide some webcam links of coasts likely to look spectacular if they know of any. Could go in the webcams of the world thread perhaps.

Think of the big gale in January 1976. 2nd January 1976. That was an incredible gale.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gale_of_January_1976

I don't remember that one  - but I do remember what happened later that year !

Don’t get on a boat or ferry around the Thames shipping area

GALE WARNING

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon, increasing violent storm force 11 later

the 12z Arpege is brutal this afternoon probably some red warnings if its on the money.

Beat of a Storm when I was 9 years old Feb 16th 1962, hope its not as bad

https://www.chrishobbs.com/sheffieldgale1962.htm

120kph-130kph widely now. That’s 80mph. I wonder if the METO will issue some red warnings this evening.

first batch of gales getting going West of Scotland. Gusty, wet n wild

I doubt it, unless the majority of models swing behind ARPEGE. At the moment, it's somewhat of an outlier.

Down here in my part of north Kent, for example, we have the following gusts:

HARMONIE - 81mph

ARPEGE - 76mph

AROME (high-res model, related to ARPEGE) - 73mph

GFS - 69mph

ICON - 68mph

Euro4 (6z) - 68mph

Met Office - 63mph

BBC - 63mph

GFS has been going down today, the BBC and Met Office have gone up slightly.

I would expect gusts generally in the 65-70mph range here as a result. I think (and certainly hope!) ARPEGE and its close cousin AROME have gone off on one.

Yep- and the quoted wind speeds were gusts; helpful if the wiki poster could clarify that- but even so, well above what's forecast tomorrow.

Interesting parallel- the reference to the cold air providing the contrast and the word 'explosive'; we have quite a persistent cold/warm W Atlantic set-up. But there is also a reference in that article to persistent low in the Barents prior to this. Is that something we've had this year, HT, or something similar?

The 12z Euro4 has a general downgrade in speeds. Not so much IMBY, but more generally.

Click for full-size - these are max gust charts from the 6z and 12 runs.

ECM 12z ramps it up a little bit more 70 to 80+ mph slightly earlier as well

One does wonder 😀

Red warnings are rare as we know. Using current data I’d think not for this one but given we are at the highest Amber on the matrix only a small uptick will trigger a red. I wouldn’t be surprised to see one issued early tomorrow morning.

Spent the day securing fencing and the garage roof, but I fear it may be in vain. At least I tried