Coronavirus: I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad

Serie A have actually cancelled the 5 games that were originally to be played behind closed doors this weekend . If they can't even  play behind closed doors then we could see the abandonment of the league in a worse case scenario.  Squeaky bum time for Liverpool fans. 

From that piece:

"It does seem likely that coronavirus will spread in the US, but it won't help anybody if we all panic."

it could have a knock on effect thou hospital turnarounds and reablement programs to get older people and people who need help at home rather than staying in hospital also those who need ongoing care #homeinstead# weather that’s paid for or not it looks like those vulnerable people will be at risk at home due to different careers coming in from different locations like my mum has,it could get to the stage where nobody could come.

A thought experiment for you, Justin...

If containment does not work, do we just submit to the random spread of the virus or do we "take back control"? [To borrow a phrase.]

I am in one of the high risk categories, so I'd like to decide when to expose myself to infection - and sooner rather than later. I'd be quite happy to drive myself to a quarantine centre, book myself in, be exposed to someone infected, let the disease run it's course in a safe place and then, if still alive, drive myself home.

My thought is a lot of folks might well share this view - elective infection of covid-19 under controlled conditions. Then we are out and back to normal, or dead. [Without having to wait for that to happen.]

The positives are undeniable. Ethics the stumbling block.

What do you think?

Roger

Just back from town. Rammed as usual on a Saturday. Lots of people here travel frequently for work and pleasure. Could Berkhamsted be one of the UK's leading cora hotspots? 

Was that what this morning's email from Central Office briefed you to say? 

Judging by the calls to LBC from healthcare professionals, they are adlibbing it themselves with confusing and contradictory directives from up above

The reality is your beloved Tory govt is not going to take any extreme measures like the Italians, because it cannot afford to. The economy is hanging by a thread as it is, and we have a hard Brexit on the way too. Sunak is allegedly going to cut income tax by 2p and increasing public spending paid for by a massive (Corbynista) borrowing spree. Its not sustainable if there is a global recession and borrowing no longer becomes cheap

But you keep telling us the Tories are great with money

According to healthcare expert who called into LBC, there are only 15 specialist isolation beds in the UK - the sealed room etc

What would happen is the military would be called into to set up tents to house patients with the virus

70% of the population infected at a 2% CFR would be the worst pandemic we have seen since the Spanish influenza.

France, Germany and Spain look like they are at high risk of becoming Italys. Signs of teetering into the exponential phase.

The UK seems to still be in 'isolated outbreak' phase. But that could change very quickly.

Days of guaranteed paid sick leave:

🇱🇺50
🇳🇴50
🇫🇮48
🇦🇹45
🇩🇪44
🇧🇪39
🇸🇪38
🇩🇰36
🇳🇱35
🇪🇸33
🇮🇹29
🇬🇷28
🇯🇵28
🇫🇷24
🇨🇦22
🇮🇸18
🇮🇪17
🇨🇭15
🇦🇹10
🇬🇧10
🇳🇿5
.
.
.
🇺🇸0

Having no paid sick leave isn't just immoral.

With the coronavirus outbreak, it's also a massive public health risk.

— Public Citizen (@Public_Citizen) February 28, 2020

No sign of exponential growth yet in Italy, so R0 still probably around 1. They have clearly done a good job at effectively containing this.

The US is going to be a problem.

Arguably they are already at epidemic levels there, there is certainly sustained local transmission and the response has been thoroughly incompetent.

If the US becomes a 2nd Iran then I can't see how we can avoid it here.