shame he can’t keep his sperm in the freezer 

Probably been posted already but this is a good map:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

i have dry skin problems and these alcohol based gels damage the skin if overused. I don’t have lung problems so I’m not afraid of catching it. Living in a highly populated area and as a frequenter of pubs, I know it will be hard to avoid 

some of the cheaper ones don’t have the required minimum 60% alcohol content to kill most viruses generally the higher the content the better unless sensitive skin is an issue.

Good Housekeeping suggests vodka. Wellness bloggers plump for things such as witch-hazel and aloe vera.

Asian markets opening soon await with bated breath.

President Obama has a personal responsibility to visit & embrace all people in the US who contract Ebola!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 15, 2014

You probably know Chris but be careful of IPA on the hands it can be very dangerous stuff in fact it was banned for use in the factory I used to work under cosh rules I have used vinegar in the past to clean solid state boards.

Helpful to be have it reconfirmed what a complete moron he has been for years.

Italy seems like it may have reached the exponential phase now but only in the Lombardy region.

The overwhelming majority of cases in Europe outside of Italy are either linked to Italy or Iran.

China is almost virus free outside of Hubei.

Suggestions in more than one country now that the virus has been circulating 'for weeks': both Italy and the US.

On the one hand that's bad news but on the other it supports the argument that a lot of cases are so mild as to be missed.

I am rapidly coming to the conclusion that Covid-19 is here to stay, just like so many other Coronavirus variants. Just like influenza, we will have to rely on a vaccine being developed: lets's hope one can be found that works, that can be developed and produced on a large scale inside the next 9-12 months and that the virus doesn't mutate into anything more potent.

Not in the UK I don't think yet.

No sustained local transmission, only isolated.

Also the overwhelming majority of cases imported from either Italy or Iran.

that ship sailed in January w.r.t. China. Pointless now. Chinese govt could have responded earlier too instead of silencing whistleblowers in December last year. IMO, there has been an inevitability to it for the last 4-5 weeks.

Diamond princess/ South korea should help give us a better idea about the exact mortality rate. The former because we have a complete sample and the later because they are testing more vigorously than any other country and are picking up more mild cases.

Even so the information even for the diamond princess will still take many weeks because these cases take so long to resolve themselves.

And yes COVID-19 may become ubiqitous in which case eventually it will just be like regular flu with a similarly benign mortality level. The highest risk will be in the first year or so before any vacine has been developed and the virus hasn't had chance to mutate into something less harmful.

Delaying this will be crucial because if we get an outbreak across the UK our healthservice will collapse. And that's even in a very optimistic scenario. But I do not expect that to necessarily happen because individuals and the authorties will take measures to delay and mitigate the spread.

No 10 vetoing access to EU pandemic early warning system to avoid crossing Brexit red lines doesn’t seem like such a great move. https://t.co/qQaHLsGD7S

— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) March 1, 2020

Obviously the Chinese numbers are horsesh1t. Today for example San Marino 7 cases 1 death. China outside Hubei 6 cases . If the Chinese numbers are correct we dont need to worry much as the virus will magically disappear in about a month.

From the Tele this morning - nice to see they recommend panic-buying!

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/01/virus-will-get-worse-gets-better-boris-johnson-warns/

Coronavirus has entered a stage where it can no longer be contained in Britain and public health efforts must move towards delaying the spread, experts warned as cases soared.

...

"We can expect to see further increases in the next few days. Although it may still be possible to prevent a community wide epidemic this is looking increasingly unlikely and we should be prepared to cope with a more widespread epidemic on our shores."

Peter Openshaw, Professor of Experimental Medicine, Imperial College London, and a government advisor on pandemics, said it was time for people to start stockpiling at least four weeks worth of prescription medication as well as extra provisions during their weekly shops.

Agreed though I don't know whether that merits  or

That is why I called it a "super cold". Influenza I think affects most people badly if they have no immunity to it. It has always been said that it leaves even a healthy person weakened significantly and unable to go about their normal activities for several days. I think it is too early to be certain but that does not appear to be the case with the new virus.

It's also not clear to me whether the virus is here to stay. Logic would suggest it is but the number of cases in China genuinely appears to be falling. In fact if the data coming from there isn't bogus it is possible the virus will fade away with less than 100,000 people out of 1.3 billion being infected.

I think as summer approaches it will tail off in Europe but never quite go away and it will increase again as it gets colder in Autumn/Winter. By then hopefully we should have a vaccine which will help protect those that are most vulnerable.