Dunno. It’s very cloudy.

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Totals to today:

Positives: 24,747

Deaths:  1,809

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It is always going to be a false rate, as there's nowhere near 100% testing, and we know for an absolute fact that a high proportion of those infected show little or no symptoms. Eminent experts in the field of epidemiology have stated their belief that in the UK there are many multiples of people infected in relation to the official figures.

My mum & dad are now self isolating. My dad especially idxs social creature, out at the club 3 or 4 nights a week for a game of dominoes or snooker and a good craic with his pals (all similarly 70+). In addition, the pair of them won't now be having our two daughters once a week after school, instead just dropping them off here to wait till Mrs S gets home on her 'full day'. And also the pair of them are stopping their trips to places like M&S, Dunelm, garden centres for a coffee (just to get out the house for a couple of hours).

I personally think this lack of social interaction will kill my dad especially quicker than Covid-19.

I hate this. 

 

 

I think this

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I know yeah, I remember reading that the Wuhan daily rate also followed a curve with a double digit peak, but I can't remember the source. That study estimates the peak at 12%.

 

Just noticed that more people died of Covid19 today in the UK than China. 

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That was my thought  as well - but maybe less people are being admitted at a weekend ?

 

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I am not sure I should be posting this, but here is the daily curve in Italy

It seems that the lockdown has not worked?

The one still at school uses VMWare Horizon and she does quite a lot of work on it. The school said last week if forced to close they would continue with this remote desktops approach but on a much greater scale. In other words if it becomes the norm, from 9am to 3pm means no Minecraft/chit chat as classes would somehow continue but in a different format. Or so they said but nothing like this has happened so I expect quite a lot is going on behind the school scenes this weekend. We'll see.

No new letter but the theory last week was either closing Wednesday or more likely Friday. A W/E science fair was cancelled today.

If there is to be geographical isolation and some kind of road checkpoint system, I assume the school would have to close anyway.

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There is probably a lag of 1-3 weeks.

 

Assuming those figures are accurate, I would suggest not.

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It took about 10 days in China before cases dropped. Italy are about 1 week in for Lombardy

There is a lag David, those who die today would have spent some time in intensive care and they would have been infected weeks ago. 

Horse racing going behind closed doors in the UK

EU to pool members' health resources

The European Union has announced a series of measures to pool resources among its 27 members in order to help to fight coronavirus and protect national health services across the Continent.

The president of the European Commission, Ursula Von der Leyen, said the aim was to ramp up the production of protective equipment like masks and suits, and to prevent it being exported outside of the bloc without authorisation from EU governments.

Under the measures, equipment would be shared across EU members instead of each country making it for their own use.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-51895276

 

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Sorry to hear that Saint.

I've been thinking garden centres since the 70 year old home confinement idea was mooted could be one of the first casualties of this event. 

 

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Yes, but the Wuhan lockdown was more draconian (people were forced to stay inside their flats). The state organised home deliveries of groceries and medicine, remote working, learning, doctor surgeries, justice etc.

I'm sorry to hear that, too, Saint!

I'm no longer able to see my Mum at a nursing home, following a massive stroke last year. I'm very glad they're protecting the vulnerable, something I'm accepting, but it looks like I won't be able to see her anymore.  

🚨BREAKING. Another day of tragic, appalling, SHOCKING #Coronavirus figures from Italy🚨

• 20,603 infected (2,853 more than yesterday, when it was +2,795 so new rise registered)

• 1,809 dead (+368, worst record ever. Yesterday +175)

• 2,335 recovered (+369, yesterday +527)

— Antonello Guerrera (@antoguerrera) March 15, 2020

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Even worse for those self isolating at home will be the fact that most will sit in front of their TV’s watching News 24/7 or contributing on line on threads like this...that will be seriously injurious to their well being...far better if they ring up friends, chat on the phone, read some good books, listen to music etc etc and rely on good neighbours to do their shopping....

"Every country and every government has to make the right decision for its own people"

Italy’s Ambassador to the UK Raffaele Trombetta on the NHS amid the #CoronavirusPandemic#COVID19 #Marr https://t.co/bonFk51Z3C pic.twitter.com/lJ77wI7bJi

— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) March 15, 2020

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But we all know wops are dirty and don't wash their hands

Same for the Dagos, and they all smoke

Cummings is suppressing the testing over here to make the figures look better, and Murdoch will help with the con

 

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What a lifetime of smoking does to the lungs of older people

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Hope not

I don't want my pub to close. I will go mental 

Please Cummings, keep the beaches open like the Mayor of Amytiville

 

 

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Doctor on 5 live has just said that we will all get this, there is no running away from it. Locking down is just delaying when you will get it, not stopping you getting it. And I think this is what needs to be emphasised, as we can’t run away from this.

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