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Bugglesgate
20 March 2020 20:25:02


Daily breakdown of the data from PHE


UK data 



  • Daily confirmed Cases - 714 (+71)

  • Patients Recovered - 79 (No change)

  • Total UK deaths - 177 (+33)


English data


Top 10 Local Authorities with the highest confirmed cases



  1. Southwark: 110

  2. Hampshire: 107

  3. Lambeth: 103

  4. Westminster: 99

  5. Wandsworth: 98

  6. Barnet: 76

  7. Brent: 75

  8. Croydon: 68

  9. Kensington and Chelsea: 66

  10. Hertfordshire: 61


Local Authorities with the fewest confirmed cases


 



  • Middlesbrough - 1

  • Blackburn with Darwen - 1

  • Kingston upon Hull, City of -  1

  • North Lincolnshire -  1

  • Bedford - 1

  • Gateshead -  1

  • Hartlepool - 2

  • Redcar and Cleveland - 2

  • Darlington - 2

  • Stoke-on-Trent - 2

  • Peterborough - 2

  • Isle of Wight - 2

  • St. Helens - 2

  • South Tyneside - 2


Regional data



  • London - 1,588 (+367)

  • South East - 410 (+70)

  • Midlands - 389 (+107)

  • North West - 274 (+54)

  • North East and Yorkshire - 233 (+39)

  • East of England - 183 (+36)

  • South West - 169 (+29)


All changes with yesterday. Data based up to 9am today.


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


 


Greater London is rapidly becoming the epicentre of this in the UK - which is hardly surprising given the population density there. Hampshire is an interesting one though that rather stands out - I wonder what's going on there (or  "here" I should say, as I live there   !).


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
springsunshine
20 March 2020 20:31:54


 


 


Greater London is rapidly becoming the epicentre of this in the UK - which is hardly surprising given the population density there. Hampshire is an interesting one though that rather stands out - I wonder what's going on there (or  "here" I should say, as I live there   !).


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


The answers to your question are Southampton and Portsmouth both major ports. Meanwhile next door in Dorset we have one of the fewest cases.

xioni2
20 March 2020 20:32:39


N.B. Figures from China and Iran are clearly total fiction!


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


They are probably more reliable than ours!

Heavy Weather 2013
20 March 2020 20:34:39


Daily breakdown of the data from PHE


UK data 



  • Daily confirmed Cases - 714 (+71)

  • Patients Recovered - 79 (No change)

  • Total UK deaths - 177 (+33)


English data


Top 10 Local Authorities with the highest confirmed cases



  1. Southwark: 110

  2. Hampshire: 107

  3. Lambeth: 103

  4. Westminster: 99

  5. Wandsworth: 98

  6. Barnet: 76

  7. Brent: 75

  8. Croydon: 68

  9. Kensington and Chelsea: 66

  10. Hertfordshire: 61


Local Authorities with the fewest confirmed cases


 



  • Middlesbrough - 1

  • Blackburn with Darwen - 1

  • Kingston upon Hull, City of -  1

  • North Lincolnshire -  1

  • Bedford - 1

  • Gateshead -  1

  • Hartlepool - 2

  • Redcar and Cleveland - 2

  • Darlington - 2

  • Stoke-on-Trent - 2

  • Peterborough - 2

  • Isle of Wight - 2

  • St. Helens - 2

  • South Tyneside - 2


Regional data



  • London - 1,588 (+367)

  • South East - 410 (+70)

  • Midlands - 389 (+107)

  • North West - 274 (+54)

  • North East and Yorkshire - 233 (+39)

  • East of England - 183 (+36)

  • South West - 169 (+29)


All changes with yesterday. Data based up to 9am today.


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Gavin, these daily numbers are really helpful.


What were Southwarks numbers yesterday. They seems to have gone up alot. London numbers are a significant concern now.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Gavin D
20 March 2020 20:36:39


A little light at the end of an awfully long tunnel still - worth also noting that some deaths in today's update from Italy are backdated from a few days ago




Quote

 


Coronavirus in Emilia-Romagna: another 109 dead and 754 infections. "But serious cases decrease"


 The daily bulletin counts 754 cases of positivity to Covid-19 in the region and 109 more deaths. The victims are 640 in total and almost six thousand infected. The average percentage is 14.6% more: less than yesterday, more than the previous days.


That of the province of Bologna (excluding the Imola area of ​​Medicina) remains higher: 19.5% stable compared to Thursday's data. In the metropolitan city of Bologna the age of the deceased ranges from 66 to 100 years: two in Medicina (80 and 81), one in Castenaso (100), two in Bologna (96 and 93), Crevalcore (77), Valsamoggia (66), one in Imola (90). In Emilia-Romagna - the situation is officially updated on Friday 20 March - I am overall at Coronavirus 5,968 cases of positivity, 754 more than yesterday's update. However, the samples reported went from 18,344 to 20,753, 2,409 more tests carried out than yesterday. These are data ascertained at 12 noon, on the basis of institutional requests.


Overall, 2,491 people are in solitary confinement at home because they have mild symptoms that do not require hospital treatment, or without symptoms (295 more than yesterday); those admitted to intensive care are instead 267 (7 more than yesterday). And healings rise to 239 (62 more than yesterday's 177).


Unfortunately, however, the number of deaths also increased, from 531 to 640 : 109, therefore, the new ones, including 36 women and 73 men. But above all for the provinces of Parma and Reggio Emilia, a part of the deaths relates to the past few days, people for whom the outcome of the Covid-19 swab test was expected. For the majority of the deceased, investigations are underway to check whether previous, even multiple, pathologies were present. The new deaths concern 27 residents in the province of Piacenza, 39 in that of Parma, 19 in that of Reggio Emilia, 11 in that of Modena, 8 in that of Bologna(of which 2 from the Imola area), 3 in Forlì, 1 in Rimini and 1 in Ferrara.


"Serious cases are falling"


Commissioner ad acta Sergio Venturi : "Not to gild the pill, but I must clarify that thirty of the 109 deaths today date back to the past few days, because we expected the results of the epidemiological tests in Parma and Reggio Emilia. We will try to keep the bill up to date. Punctually. The deaths of the last day are therefore seventy like the previous day ".

"In the next few days - Venturi reasons - we will reach the peak, bad news for health professionals who will have to work hard. However, it would be very positive to have confirmation that the efforts made have given a result. I hope that in the coming days we will strengthen that that we see in some areas, that is, that there are fewer serious cases that arrive at the hospital.


 





https://bologna.repubblica.it/cronaca/2020/03/20/news/coronavirus_emilia-romagna_20_marzo-251778485/


Darren S
20 March 2020 20:41:08


 


The answers to your question are Southampton and Portsmouth both major ports. Meanwhile next door in Dorset we have one of the fewest cases.


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 


The Hampshire total excludes Southampton and Portsmouth as they are unitary authorities.


Hampshire: 107
Southampton: 7
Portsmouth: 13
Ceremonial county of Hampshire total: 127


Of course Hampshire is the single largest local authority in terms of population, with 1.376 million people. Southampton has approximately 256,000 and Portsmouth 288,000.


Hampshire has 78 cases per million. Southwark has 318,000 people and 346 cases per million.


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Darren S
20 March 2020 20:48:31


Local Authorities with the fewest confirmed cases


 



  • Middlesbrough - 1

  • Blackburn with Darwen - 1

  • Kingston upon Hull, City of -  1

  • North Lincolnshire -  1

  • Bedford - 1

  • Gateshead -  1

  • Hartlepool - 2

  • Redcar and Cleveland - 2

  • Darlington - 2

  • Stoke-on-Trent - 2

  • Peterborough - 2

  • Isle of Wight - 2

  • St. Helens - 2

  • South Tyneside - 2


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Telford and Wrekin, North East Lincolnshire, and Rutland, all still on 0 cases. 


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 March 2020 20:49:04
Up-to-date graph of the trajectory of the death rate (only meaningful statistic IMO) in selected countries. 
Note - It's not an absolute timeline it's a relative trajectory from the moment of the 10th death in each country.
Note - the highly non-linear vertical scale
At this point in the evolution of the UK epidemic we are on a worse trajectory than Italy and Iran, and second only to Spain.
Note that Trump's complacency is now showing up as a sharp upturn in the US trajectory.
 
Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Gandalf The White
20 March 2020 20:50:42


 


The Hampshire total excludes Southampton and Portsmouth as they are unitary authorities.


Hampshire: 107
Southampton: 7
Portsmouth: 13
Ceremonial county of Hampshire total: 127


Of course Hampshire is the single largest local authority in terms of population, with 1.376 million people. Southampton has approximately 256,000 and Portsmouth 288,000.


Hampshire has 78 cases per million. Southwark has 318,000 people and 346 cases per million.


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


We live close to both Essex and Hertfordshire so I'm watching all three counties.


So far: Cambridgeshire 16 (650k), Essex 43 (1.4m), Hertfordshire 61 (1.2m).


Given both Essex and Herts figures will cover the main commuter belt I reckon there are still virtually no cases round here so far. I'm trying to adjust our behaviour in accordance with the data; at some point I expect to have to shift to on-line grocery shopping.


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 20:51:20


 


They are probably more reliable than ours!


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


ROFL!!!!!


New world order coming.
roadrunnerajn
20 March 2020 20:52:34


Driving tests suspended - that will hit my neighbour badly 


Only key workers allowed to take tests


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Yes and myself I pay £800 a month for my franchise and only then do I start earning. Nothing as yet to helpful industry as we’re all self employed. 
With so much going on talking about money seems wrong but my landlord may have different ideas about that.


Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 20:52:55


Up-to-date graph of the trajectory of the death rate (only meaningful statistic IMO) in selected countries. 
Note - It's not an absolute timeline it's a relative trajectory from the moment of the 10th death in each country.
Note - the highly non-linear vertical scale
At this point in the evolution of the UK epidemic we are on a worse trajectory than Italy and Iran, and second only to Spain.
Note that Trump's complacency is now showing up as a sharp upturn in the US trajectory.
 

Originally Posted by: RobN 


All based on pretty meaningless figures to be honest.


Until we know the true underlying rate of infection in each country, the death rate is not a meaningful statistic at all.


 


New world order coming.
Gandalf The White
20 March 2020 20:53:57


Up-to-date graph of the trajectory of the death rate (only meaningful statistic IMO) in selected countries. 
Note - It's not an absolute timeline it's a relative trajectory from the moment of the 10th death in each country.
Note - the highly non-linear vertical scale
At this point in the evolution of the UK epidemic we are on a worse trajectory than Italy and Iran, and second only to Spain.
Note that Trump's complacency is now showing up as a sharp upturn in the US trajectory.
 

Originally Posted by: RobN 


I have reservations about that depiction. Surely deaths per 100k or 1m of the population is a better measure?  Also, why only measure from the 10th death? What's the rationale for that?


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Gandalf The White
20 March 2020 20:58:38


 


Yes and myself I pay £800 a month for my franchise and only then do I start earning. Nothing as yet to helpful industry as we’re all self employed. 
With so much going on talking about money seems wrong but my landlord may have different ideas about that.


Originally Posted by: roadrunnerajn 


Don't you have a 'force majeure' clause in your franchise agreement? "unforeseeable circumstances that prevent someone from fulfilling a contract"


 


I would hope it's there as it is designed to cover exactly this type of situation.  You can't operate because of the virus; completely unforseeable.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 March 2020 21:01:28


 


All based on pretty meaningless figures to be honest.


Until we know the true underlying rate of infection in each country, the death rate is not a meaningful statistic at all.


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


We can't know the underlying rate of infection because the testing and reporting in each country varies widely so the numbers quoted are meaningless. The number of deaths is more reliable but not infallible if countries only record it as a co-morbidity.


Following the trajectory of the death rate at least gives you an idea of how many ICU beds - and coffins - you are likely to need.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
xioni2
20 March 2020 21:03:34


ROFL!!!!!


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Our data availability is much worse. Most countries publish daily hospital admissions for covid19, ICU admissions, discharges etc. 


We don't. 

Heavy Weather 2013
20 March 2020 21:09:10


 


Our data availability is much worse. Most countries publish daily hospital admissions for covid19, ICU admissions, discharges etc. 


We don't. 


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


Agreed.


We can’t even report on time, and coherently.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Essan
20 March 2020 21:17:22


Our data availability is much worse. Most countries publish daily hospital admissions for covid19, ICU admissions, discharges etc. 


We don't. 


Originally Posted by: xioni2 



A few may, but most don't 


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 21:23:41




A few may, but most don't 


Originally Posted by: Essan 


The figures for China and Iran are produced by the ghost of Comical Ali, but never mind, nobody is perfect..


New world order coming.
Northern Sky
20 March 2020 21:26:54

My school is staying open on one site, other site closed. Staff from both sites to work at the open one where they will look after key worker/vulnerable children.


All fair enough except staff will outnumber children and some staff (we are all classed as key workers) will have to send their kids to a school to be looked after so they can look after the children of others. Stupid.

xioni2
20 March 2020 21:29:26


 The figures for China and Iran are produced by the ghost of Comical Ali, but never mind, nobody is perfect..


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Yeah, we heard that a lot for China, but let's see where they are in a month's time. Their biggest problems will probably be reduced exports to the west and increased imports of corona from the west. The vast majority of their people will be back to normal. 

RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 March 2020 21:32:17


 


We live close to both Essex and Hertfordshire so I'm watching all three counties.


So far: Cambridgeshire 16 (650k), Essex 43 (1.4m), Hertfordshire 61 (1.2m).


Given both Essex and Herts figures will cover the main commuter belt I reckon there are still virtually no cases round here so far. I'm trying to adjust our behaviour in accordance with the data; at some point I expect to have to shift to on-line grocery shopping.


 


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


Good luck with that. I tried it this morning. Even if you can get onto the websites there are no delivery slots. Most are not accepting new customers.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 21:34:04

No chance of China getting back to normal anytime soon. Anyhow, some wizeguys have come up with the following amusing video - very funny and polished, just like a baked and polished turd pretending to be a piece of art in the Tate Modern:


 



I will post my reply to my brother shortly.


New world order coming.
Brian Gaze
20 March 2020 21:37:34

Local supermarket has just announced it is shortening its opening hours. It's like watching a disaster movie with things decaying steadily on a daily basis. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 March 2020 21:38:52


 


I have reservations about that depiction. Surely deaths per 100k or 1m of the population is a better measure?  Also, why only measure from the 10th death? What's the rationale for that?


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


Sure if you plot deaths as a fraction of population the data would look much worse for us.


At the start of the epidemic there is noise from isolated cases.


Presumably they are taking 10th death as the start of the large scale spread so then you see the true epidemic trajectory.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

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