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Hungry Tiger
14 April 2020 13:34:35

Does anyone understand why reported UK deaths is less that the four nations added togeagher?

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Hmmm - something to do with how the figures are reported.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Heavy Weather 2013
14 April 2020 13:35:42
14.9K tests yesterday. The highest it’s been all month I think is 19K.

I do wonder how we will reach the 100k a day figure.
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Rob K
14 April 2020 13:37:08
I see that the National Lottery app won't now let you buy for more than one draw in advance "due to coronavirus uncertainty". I would have thought that the Euromillions could keep rolling quite happily!
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
NickR
14 April 2020 13:38:02


 


This is most certainly not a subject for discussion here but you've only put one side of the story. A decade of absurdly low interest rates has given those with mortgages a huge benefit whilst reducing the income from savings of the generation you say benefited from 'decades of economic boom'.  For those reliant on a money-purchase pension scheme the collapse in annuity rates, linked to low interest rates and increasing life expectancy, has had a significantly detrimental effect on their retirement income.


I would have expected a less one-sided view, given your evident intelligence.


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


Yes, I forgot only peer-reviewed, perfectly-balanced views were allowed from me in every forum and platform I post in.


Read your final line back: can you not see why you're constantly accused of condescension?


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 13:39:09

The patients were aged between 34 and 102 years old.

58 of the 744 patients were aged between 38 and 96 years old and had no known underlying health conditions

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Its been mentioned many times, but anyone over 80 is likely to have some underlying heath conditions! 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
Gavin D
14 April 2020 13:39:35
11,879 tests to 9am

5,252 positive including key workers

Confirmed rate is 44.21%
Hungry Tiger
14 April 2020 13:41:36

At least it's still under 1,000 a day - However, I reckon this weeks figures will be pretty terrible.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 13:43:43


 


Less than 1% of the Austrian population is “acutely infected” with coronavirus


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


But if you are asymptomatic and only have small amounts in your system, then perhaps you wont show up the test they are using?


 


 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
John p
14 April 2020 13:44:59

This is awful.  Are these people being left to die, when there is still ample space in ICU beds? 


Of course, many in care homes may rather die at the care home, in familiar surroundings, rather than a traumatic trip to ICU.


 




Camberley, Surrey
The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 13:47:12


Well if there were ever a politically motivated post, here is one to frame. 


Your comment, as passionate as you feel, is phrased very badly in my opinion. You're of course entitled to your views.  


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


Pointing out Govt failures is not "politically motivated", its called living in a free democratic country!


I know you don't like it when the Tories are criticised, but can you honestly say you would intervene if someone said the same about a Corbyn Govt?


I somehow doubt it!


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
doctormog
14 April 2020 13:51:23


This is scandalous IMO.  Are these people being left to die, when there is still ample space in ICU beds?


 




Originally Posted by: John p 


I realise the following is a generalisation but it is basked on experience(s). There is a good chance that many very elderly people and those with life-shortening conditions do not want to be rushed off to ICU to be hooked up to machines and mechanically ventilated for something that may prolong their life for weeks or months and would rather die with dignity at “home”. I realise that is highly unlikely to account for all the cases but may account for a significant number?


The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 13:51:33

Cummings is back in Downing Street. Apparently he experienced mild symptoms of COVID-19 for a couple of days. Joking aside it makes me wonder a) did he have Corona virus b) if yes then another example of how strange the behaviour of the virus is given there is no background immunity in the population

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Vampires are immune of course, but perhaps if you are only exposed to a small amount of virus, your antibodies can finish off the old Corona very easily?


Perhaps Bonking Boris was exposed to more. I reckon it was Mad-ine Dorries who gave it to him and they spent a lot of time together


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 13:59:48


Is there a reason to think that at a diluted level it wouldn't, in a dormant state, be any worse than say the herpes virus? 


A question not a hyphothesis 


 


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


I got Shingles in September 2013.


One of the worst experiences of my life. I looked like I had been beaten up with a swollen eye  and had terrible flu symptoms for weeks. I was told I was highly contagious and should stay away from children or anyone who hadn't yet got Chickenpox


Apparently, the virus can reactivate later in life when you are tired and stressed. The only positive was that l lost a lot of weight and couldn't go to the pub, so my liver detoxed!


 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
Retron
14 April 2020 14:02:39


Is there a reason to think that at a diluted level it wouldn't, in a dormant state, be any worse than say the herpes virus? 


A question not a hyphothesis


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


Do any other coronaviruses remain dormant? I don't think so. I reckon it's a load of FUD caused by bad testing, personally, rather than something to be scared of.


Al Jazeera has a good article here:


https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/doctor-note-coronavirus-reactivate-200412062905537.html


Pertinent parts:


Research on the Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) virus has shown that immunity wanes after around 18 months and we build an average of two years' immunity to the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) coronavirus, which seems to have the most in common, genetically speaking, with COVID-19.


From what has been observed about COVID-19 so far, researchers suspect that we will have at least a "short-term" immunity, so that you will be unlikely to catch it again this season.


A scientific research team based in China released a preliminary report looking at two rhesus macaques that had recovered from COVID-19 and were not reinfected when researchers exposed them to the virus for a second time, four weeks after their initial exposure.


...


While we cannot rule out reactivation as a possibility yet, it still seems more probable that these 91 cases were either due to the levels of the virus dipping below a detectable level, allowing symptoms to improve, but then surging again, or that there were flaws with the tests, where the clearance samples were false negatives. The tests are not perfect and, from the data received from China, the most commonly used type of test showed up to a 30 percent false-negative rate.


Leysdown, north Kent
Gavin D
14 April 2020 14:03:19

813 new deaths in the UK subject to no amendments later.


+96 on the 717 announced yesterday.


Our current peak remains 980


Heavy Weather 2013
14 April 2020 14:07:50


813 new deaths in the UK subject to no amendments later.


+96 on the 717 announced yesterday.


Our current peak remains 980



Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


It has been reported as 778 by PHE. Can never understand how the numbers differ.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Chichesterweatherfan2
14 April 2020 14:12:19


 


I realise the following is a generalisation but it is basked on experience(s). There is a good chance that many very elderly people and those with life-shortening conditions do not want to be rushed off to ICU to be hooked up to machines and mechanically ventilated for something that may prolong their life for weeks or months and would rather die with dignity at “home”. I realise that is highly unlikely to account for all the cases but may account for a significant number?


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I think that  is spot on Michael... the reality for most people in care homes (not all but I'd have thought, the overwhelming majority) would want their lives in end in the relative peace and quiet of a room that is familiar [with loved ones around them, which of course is one of the particularly tragic things about the current situation in that this is not allowed to happen].  My father died peacefully in his room at the Care Home.. the last thing he'd have wanted would to have been hooked up in an ICU ward...

Gavin D
14 April 2020 14:12:35

 


It has been reported as 778 by PHE. Can never understand how the numbers differ.


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


 


England 744


Scotland 40 


Wales 19 


NI 10


 


Not sure how they get to a figure of 778?

Saint Snow
14 April 2020 14:14:20


 


This is most certainly not a subject for discussion here but you've only put one side of the story. A decade of absurdly low interest rates has given those with mortgages a huge benefit whilst reducing the income from savings of the generation you say benefited from 'decades of economic boom'.  For those reliant on a money-purchase pension scheme the collapse in annuity rates, linked to low interest rates and increasing life expectancy, has had a significantly detrimental effect on their retirement income.


I would have expected a less one-sided view, given your evident intelligence.


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


The retired have benefited from a massive wealth bonanza from the rise in property prices over the past 20-30 years, largely a result of persistently low interest rates.


Many/most of those already retired will have a final salary pension (or majority FS pension), as the forced move of employees onto money-purchase from FS schemes only really started in the 00's.


Compared to other current demographics, those who retired up to around 2010 have enjoyed a huge amount of financial luck compared to those who came after - especially those who only got onto the property ladder after or during the last house price boom (and will almost certainly have been denied a FS pension)


 


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
John p
14 April 2020 14:14:26


 


I realise the following is a generalisation but it is basked on experience(s). There is a good chance that many very elderly people and those with life-shortening conditions do not want to be rushed off to ICU to be hooked up to machines and mechanically ventilated for something that may prolong their life for weeks or months and would rather die with dignity at “home”. I realise that is highly unlikely to account for all the cases but may account for a significant number?


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


See my edit, you were too fast for me😊


Camberley, Surrey
Heavy Weather 2013
14 April 2020 14:24:25


 


 


England 744


Scotland 40 


Wales 19 


NI 10


 


Not sure how they get to a figure of 778?


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Your guess is as good as mine. I struggle to have confidence in all these figures.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Gandalf The White
14 April 2020 14:25:44


 


Yes, I forgot only peer-reviewed, perfectly-balanced views were allowed from me in every forum and platform I post in.


Read your final line back: can you not see why you're constantly accused of condescension?


Originally Posted by: NickR 


Sarcasm really helps, Nick, as an attempt to deflect. Not.


My point was every bit as valid as yours. I took the trouble to flag that there’s also a huge inter generational transfer going the other way.


My last sentence was an expression of disappointment; if you choose to interpret it as something else that’s your privilege, I guess. I didn’t really expect an ad hominem attack from you but I’ll bear it in mind if that’s deemed to be acceptable.


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


The Beast from the East
14 April 2020 14:26:18


 


From that article, I thought this was revealing:


"Recent biophysical and structural evidence showed that SARS-CoV-2 S protein binds hACE2 with 10-fold to 20-fold higher affinity than SARS-CoV S protein, suggesting the higher infectivity of the new virus."


10x to 20x more 'effective' at infecting a cell: that seems significant.


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


This was explained very well by the Horizon documentary with graphics. Worth catching up on iplayer


 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
westv
14 April 2020 14:26:25

Apparently 20 phone masts were attacked over the weekend. Presumably these people also think the earth is flat and the moon landings never happened.


At least it will be mild!
howham
14 April 2020 14:29:43


 


Very true. Alternatively it may remain in the human body at low levels slowly destroying the immune system before moving in for the kill! (Pessimistic hat on)


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Is that before or after nuclear weapons are used?  wink  I think this is one of Brian's provocative posts...

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