Its also nigh on impossible to compare 2 countries as there are so many factors in play - ethnic makeup, population density, age of population, social factors etc etc etc.

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 

Best of British to them. I won't be booking a Med holiday during that period as much as I would like to. Our budget would stretch to flying Club Europe, hiring a car at destination and staying in a good boutique hotel with fewer customers than a big package holiday set-up. Health passports or not we won't be doing it unless C19 dramatically fades. Anyone thinking of sardining on an Easy Jet (and even with the middle seats out it still will be) and staying in a block hotel after a coach transfer is barking. (IMHO only of course).

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

You may well be correct. However, I suggest waiting until July to decide definitively. I am due to go on holiday to Italy in mid-July - I booked it in January. While I certainly wouldn't book holidays there now, neither would I cancel the holiday quite yet. Mid July is three months away. Things may will have improved by then. On balance, probably not by enough to allow for holidays. But I wouldn't rule it out entirely yet. You just never know.

I would add that whatever your outlaws plans are, facts on the ground will ultimately decide whether they actually go or not. For example, will bars and restaurants still be shut in July? Would they be forced to self isolate on their return? If the answer to any of these questions is Yes, I suspect that they won't be going. In any case, there could be effective travel bans still in place in July.

Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 

Best of British to them. I won't be booking a Med holiday during that period as much as I would like to. Our budget would stretch to flying Club Europe, hiring a car at destination and staying in a good boutique hotel with fewer customers than a big package holiday set-up. Health passports or not we won't be doing it unless C19 dramatically fades. Anyone thinking of sardining on an Easy Jet (and even with the middle seats out it still will be) and staying in a block hotel after a coach transfer is barking. (IMHO only of course).

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I’m due to go to Italy mid July too, Puglia to be precise. It hasn’t been affected that bad - 3500 cases out of a population of 4m. If allowed I think we’ll still go but no rush to decide yet.

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 

JFF model is going for 2302 pillar 1 today, with 4301 confirmed it looks a long shot however pillar 1 and the total are now starting to rapidly dirverge.

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Pillar 1: 3,643 confirmed
Pillar 2: 658 confirmed

https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public#number-of-cases-and-deaths

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

'Mass gatherings' (concerts, sports events etc) are now being banned until autumn over here by our unelected and unaccountable Government. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

They will probably stay banned everywhere until vaccination.

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

Only ~11600 people tested. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I think the Med countries are hoping to salvage July-September by using health passports, i.e. tourists testing negative just before they travel. It could be possible but it'd rely on several factors:

• availability of reliable mass testing


• epidemic being under control in Europe (very low number of infections) 


• Demand for this

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

They will probably stay banned everywhere until vaccination.

Originally Posted by: xioni2