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Phil G
29 April 2020 10:41:22


 


Heaven forbid that people might actually use property as a pension fund. Heaven forbid that in order for there to be a private rental sector, people need to be able to make a profit from it. Heaven forbid that landlords should make any money at all.


My wife owns a house which she rents out. If the tenant decides not to pay rent for three months then there is no help for my wife for the lost income - she will just have to 'suck it up'. But that's fine.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


If people choose to use property as an investment fund then that's also a risk they have to take. The market used to go up and down a lot more than it has done in the last 20 years. There are no guarantees. Why should they be exempt from falls. I have just lost 20% on my pension in 'properly' invested funds. In truth I was cacking myself when the markets were falling, but the advice was expect sharp falls as well as rises. It comes with the 'territory'.

Phil G
29 April 2020 10:45:23
Switzerland says young children can hug grandparents
From the BBC news ticker:
"Across the world, elderly people have been separated from their grandchildren as part of social distancing to prevent the spread of the virus.
The emotional impact of this has been hard on many families - it was the topic of the first question from a member of the public at the UK government briefing on Monday.
In Switzerland - which is beginning to ease its lockdown measures - authorities say they consider that it is now safe for children under the age of 10 to hug their grandparents.
The health ministry's infectious diseases chief Daniel Koch said scientists had concluded that young children did not transmit the virus.
Switzerland has recorded 1,699 deaths linked to coronavirus".

Just hope they are right about this!
speckledjim
29 April 2020 10:48:29

Switzerland says young children can hug grandparents
From the BBC news ticker:
"Across the world, elderly people have been separated from their grandchildren as part of social distancing to prevent the spread of the virus.
The emotional impact of this has been hard on many families - it was the topic of the first question from a member of the public at the UK government briefing on Monday.
In Switzerland - which is beginning to ease its lockdown measures - authorities say they consider that it is now safe for children under the age of 10 to hug their grandparents.
The health ministry's infectious diseases chief Daniel Koch said scientists had concluded that young children did not transmit the virus.
Switzerland has recorded 1,699 deaths linked to coronavirus".

Just hope they are right about this!

Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Follows on from the Iceland study that someone posted yesterday that suggested that children did not transmit the virus 


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Justin W
29 April 2020 10:48:55


 


If people choose to use property as an investment fund then that's also a risk they have to take. The market used to go up and down a lot more than it has done in the last 20 years. There are no guarantees. Why should they be exempt from falls. I have just lost 20% on my pension in 'properly' invested funds. In truth I was cacking myself when the markets were falling, but the advice was expect sharp falls as well as rises. It comes with the 'territory'.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


But fine for tenants to take a rental holiday, no questions asked. They must be exempt from risk


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
fairweather
29 April 2020 10:52:21


It will be a worrying time for the care home sector, in terms of economic viability. 


Once they were a bit of a cash cow for investors. There was a private home sector catering chiefly for mostly comfortable-off pensioners, alongside a massive public sector provision.


From the early 90s onwards, there was a programme of this public provision being privatised as councils were pressured (by restrictive central funding) into outsourcing. It started slowly, but built quickly in the 00s. By 2010, a clear majority were in private hands.


By 2019, only 3% of care home beds were provided by LAs, with the private sector providing 84% (the remainder by the voluntary sector).


The reasons were simple. Local authority homes employed permanent staff on nationally-agreed pay scales, with the same T&Cs and pension and holidays and sick leave, etc as other local authority staff. It was a decently-paid and secure vocation for those working there.


By outsourcing, the private providers would have freedom to decide their own pay rates and T&Cs. The result has been a downward shift in pay and T&Cs, the proliferation of temporary contracts and agency workers, and the steady increase of foreign workers.


Local authorities would assess the finances of those entering care homes and pay for all or part of the care when financial criteria were met. The rates paid to care homes were set. For those with too great an income or assets, they had to pay full whack to the provider. 


Big profits were made by the sector, and the involvement of private equity (around 15-20% of beds are with PE-owned providers) helped drive this.


But problems started post-2010 when local authority budgets began to be slashed by central government. Councils drew in the purse strings and found ways to reduce what they paid private providers.


Some gave gone bust, including a few big players, and the residents have had to endure declining levels of care quality as staff numbers were cut and staff turnover led to under-experience and demotivated carers.


Brexit was already going to be a cliff edge, losing a high proportion of staff as they are unwanted, dirty foreigners.


But the impact on care home residents of this coronavirus pandemic - and the scandal is still emerging; when the smoke eventually clears, there's going to be serious implications and allegations - is going to hit private sector providers in two ways. Firstly, they are losing 'existing customers' as they are dying by the thousand. Secondly, there's going to be a reticence to go into these homes in case there's further 'waves' that kill more thousands (whilst the government seems to shrug its shoulders as they build PR stunt temporary hospitals).


I can a whole new approach being needed for how we care for our elderly. 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Accurately reflects the situation and my view entirely. I would love to see the breakdown of the typical costs and overheads though. £2000 per week as many are round here does seem a lot.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Phil G
29 April 2020 10:52:37


 


But fine for tenants to take a rental holiday, no questions asked. They must be exempt from risk


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


Maybe so. Do they have to make up this money to you when things 'improve'? Again, if you own a house, you run a risk, sometimes because of events unforeseen.

SJV
29 April 2020 10:53:01


 


Follows on from the Iceland study that someone posted yesterday that suggested that children did not transmit the virus 


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


Whilst acknowledging all the science studies have an outcome of risk, this is particularly risky especially given what Switzerland are introducing. I hope they are right otherwise it is a recipe for disaster. 


Haven't there been other studies saying children are equally as infectious? Just not as symptomatic.

speckledjim
29 April 2020 10:56:31


 


Whilst acknowledging all the science studies have an outcome of risk, this is particularly risky especially given what Switzerland are introducing. I hope they are right otherwise it is a recipe for disaster. 


Haven't there been other studies saying children are equally as infectious? Just not as symptomatic.


Originally Posted by: SJV 


not sure. I do trust the Iceland study though as they are the one country with a wealth of data having tested 12% of the population.


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
fairweather
29 April 2020 11:00:02


 


 


NuLabour introduced a law stipulating the number of houses per [acre/hectare/whatever] that needed to be fit onto anything other than very small developments. Most developers would therefore include some small townhouse or even apartment builds. But that, argued house builders, suppressed the prices they could charge for their 4- and 5-bedroom 'executive' houses, as who in their right mind wants plebs in 2-bed hovels on their doorstep?


They successfully lobbied the Tories (house builders are amongst the biggest and most loyal Tory Party donors going back years... they need some bang for their buck after all) and soon after the 2010 GE, the legal requirements were quickly dropped. And I also remember that fat c**t Pickles gleefully announcing a free-for-all to build on greenbelt land.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Add throw in corrupt Council planning and off you go. We have had parts of our Parks and school playing fields and greenbelt adjacent to an Essex Wildlife Trust Nature reserve sold off by the Council or others, usually to the Redrow Group. Always read it is on the understanding of a proportion of affordable housing. This usually seems to be a row of terraced two bedroom houses at £295,000 and the rest 3 and4  bedroomed semi and detached properties from  £350k - £600,000. Not that affordable.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
doctormog
29 April 2020 11:02:19

Have you a link to the Iceland study? What I have read suggests that children are less likely to get the disease not that those that have it are less likely to transmit it.


Justin W
29 April 2020 11:05:01


 


Maybe so. Do they have to make up this money to you when things 'improve'? Again, if you own a house, you run a risk, sometimes because of events unforeseen.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


I don't actually know! Although if the tenant is not able to make up the missed payments, I suspect that my wife will work with her to ensure that she can stay in the house. However, if you rent a house you should also run a risk because of unforeseen events, IMO. The risk cannot be placed entirely on the shoulders of the property's owner.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Bertwhistle
29 April 2020 11:11:40


 


Whilst acknowledging all the science studies have an outcome of risk, this is particularly risky especially given what Switzerland are introducing. I hope they are right otherwise it is a recipe for disaster. 


Haven't there been other studies saying children are equally as infectious? Just not as symptomatic.


Originally Posted by: SJV 


It's possible that being asymptomatic means fewer coughs and sneezes, and so less risk of airborne particle transmission. On the other hand, social distancing for primary aged children is mythical; and they play with their faces  not quite constantly. So surface transmission might be more frequent.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
fairweather
29 April 2020 11:12:00


 


We already have forced exercise in schools, it's called PE and games. My experience of it was enough to put me off any form of exercise for life, it was utterly awful (between being bullied because I didn't know the rules of football, being called gay and a poof because I'm crap at sports in general, between teachers making you run until you're out of breath, or through the snow in plimsolls and a t-shirt in the name of cross-country... utter rubbish.


Swimming lessons were just as bad... those of us deemed useless were left in the toddler pool, while those who could swim were given all the attention. I still can't swim even today, I've no motivation whatsoever to learn either.


I'm sure I'm not the only one who was put off so badly by their various schools!).


At least at school these days the teachers actually seem to care more and - shock horror - actually teach and explain techniques etc, rather than just tossing a football at you and doing next to nothing for the hour.


 


Originally Posted by: Retron 


I couldn't agree more Darren, It was and still can be an utter disgrace. Even now at my grandsons school they are very cliqey with the sporty ones and of course the girls. They tried to address this a bit at one point but everybody exaggerated what was being said about making it less competitive for younger children especially and used the anti-PC argument to push it away.


And I can say this because I went to an old fashioned grammar school and the bullying by the PE teachers was horrendous. I can also say this because I love sport and have been blessed with natural ball skills and co-ordination which has allowed me to be ok at most of them. But I still cry now when i think of the treatment of one tubby boy in particular. I got in fights sometimes trying to protect my older brother who was absolutely hopeless at sport (but much cleverer than me). Unfortunately boxing wasn't one of the sports I was good at!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
speckledjim
29 April 2020 11:13:26


Have you a link to the Iceland study? What I have read suggests that children are less likely to get the disease not that those that have it are less likely to transmit it.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


https://www.sciencemuseumgroup.org.uk/hunting-down-covid-19/


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Phil G
29 April 2020 11:15:51


 


I don't actually know! Although if the tenant is not able to make up the missed payments, I suspect that my wife will work with her to ensure that she can stay in the house. However, if you rent a house you should also run a risk because of unforeseen events, IMO. The risk cannot be placed entirely on the shoulders of the property's owner.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


I really don't know. No comfort for the owner but my gut feeling says all the risk is with them. Perhaps its worth researching and seeing if there is any material out there with people with similar concerns.

noodle doodle
29 April 2020 11:17:57


 


Accurately reflects the situation and my view entirely. I would love to see the breakdown of the typical costs and overheads though. £2000 per week as many are round here does seem a lot.


Originally Posted by: fairweather 


Sounds pricey, my mother-in-law was about £4,000 a month (£1,000 a week), which seemed reasonable considering it cost us nearly a £1,000 a month to have our kid in nursery 5 days a week, 10 hours a day = 50 hours, and she was in full-time (168 hours). This was scotland prices though


 

Bertwhistle
29 April 2020 11:18:05


 


https://www.sciencemuseumgroup.org.uk/hunting-down-covid-19/


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


The study cites keeping gatherings to less than 20 and says elementary schools are open (they don't meet the criterion for gathering). Doesn't that suggest that it's about containment measures, rather than proving more generally children don't pass it on to their parents?


This publication shows what a low student to staff ratio there is in Iceland. Class sizes are small- less than 20, with a staff to student ratio of 4.


https://www.oecd.org/education/education-at-a-glance/EAG2019_CN_ISL.pdf


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
doctormog
29 April 2020 11:18:11


 


https://www.sciencemuseumgroup.org.uk/hunting-down-covid-19/


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


Thanks. 


I wonder if the headline statement is masking the fact that the children are much less infectious because they are often almost asymptomatic. If they had more serious symptoms I suspect they or anyone else would spread the virus much more easily. There is still so much we don’t know and need to learn about this disease and the virus.


Maunder Minimum
29 April 2020 11:27:30


 


We already have forced exercise in schools, it's called PE and games. My experience of it was enough to put me off any form of exercise for life, it was utterly awful (between being bullied because I didn't know the rules of football, being called gay and a poof because I'm crap at sports in general, between teachers making you run until you're out of breath, or through the snow in plimsolls and a t-shirt in the name of cross-country... utter rubbish.


Swimming lessons were just as bad... those of us deemed useless were left in the toddler pool, while those who could swim were given all the attention. I still can't swim even today, I've no motivation whatsoever to learn either.


I'm sure I'm not the only one who was put off so badly by their various schools!).


At least at school these days the teachers actually seem to care more and - shock horror - actually teach and explain techniques etc, rather than just tossing a football at you and doing next to nothing for the hour.


 


Originally Posted by: Retron 


I wasn't thinking of PE - I was useless at ball games at school, although I was quite good at running fast. I was imagining a "wellness" lesson which would concentrate on healthy living, rather than team sports.


New world order coming.
nsrobins
29 April 2020 11:33:32
When all the previous advice and evidence suggests there is very little or no advantage in wearing face masks or similar coverings, either for contracting or infecting others, why is this now being considered?
Discuss.
Having seen the arguments I’ll probably consider face masks to be a step too far, but I do have a tendency to question most of the advice HMG give out because it hasn’t worked that well so far going by the current deaths/population ratio in the UK compared to the global situation.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
xioni2
29 April 2020 11:45:34

When all the previous advice and evidence suggests there is very little or no advantage in wearing face masks or similar coverings, either for contracting or infecting others, why is this now being considered?


Discuss.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


The TWO armchair scientific panel has dedicated a separate thread to the topic:


https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/default.aspx?g=posts&t=21038&p=5

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
29 April 2020 11:45:56

When all the previous advice and evidence suggests there is very little or no advantage in wearing face masks or similar coverings, either for contracting or infecting others, why is this now being considered?
Discuss.
Having seen the arguments I’ll probably consider face masks to be a step too far, but I do have a tendency to question most of the advice HMG give out because it hasn’t worked that well so far going by the current deaths/population ratio in the UK compared to the global situation.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

I have to agree it’s a step too far and I think it lulls the wearer into a false sense of security.  The past couple of times I’ve been in a supermarket, there has been someone wearing a mask and completely ignoring social distancing.  They seem to think a mask makes them invincible!  Masked crusaders or something!  I am also now very wary of anyone wearing one, as I think they may have the virus!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Phil G
29 April 2020 11:46:56

When all the previous advice and evidence suggests there is very little or no advantage in wearing face masks or similar coverings, either for contracting or infecting others, why is this now being considered?
Discuss.
Having seen the arguments I’ll probably consider face masks to be a step too far, but I do have a tendency to question most of the advice HMG give out because it hasn’t worked that well so far going by the current deaths/population ratio in the UK compared to the global situation.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I have been wondering that images from the far east have been showing people wearing masks for some time now, but mainly because of air pollution. Since the outbreak its hard to distinguish if wearing masks has gone up, maybe from voluntary to compulsory. To me, there must be 'something in it' and all those people are wearing masks not just for the sake of it. I heard, from somewhere that they did not want people here to wear masks otherwise we would take away what little chance the NHS would be able to get hold of these. In my last shop at Morrison's, there were definitely more people wearing these so something is driving the need here to use them, comfort value maybe?

doctormog
29 April 2020 11:51:30


I have to agree it’s a step too far and I think it lulls the wearer into a false sense of security.  The past couple of times I’ve been in a supermarket, there has been someone wearing a mask and completely ignoring social distancing.  They seem to think a mask makes them invincible!  Masked crusaders or something!  I am also now very wary of anyone wearing one, as I think they may have the virus!  


Originally Posted by: Caz 


I know that someone has an issue with the WHO guidance but it is very comprehensive and explains the rationale behind its recommendations taking into account the considerations such as the one you have made. While recognising that “Wearing a medical mask is one of the prevention measures that can limit the spread of certain respiratory viral diseases, including COVID-19” they state:


“However, the following potential risks should be carefully taken into account in any decision-making process:
• self-contamination that can occur by touching and reusing contaminated mask
• depending on type of mask used, potential breathing difficulties
• false sense of security, leading to potentially less adherence to other preventive measures such as physical distancing and hand hygiene
• diversion of mask supplies and consequent shortage of mask for health care workers
• diversion of resources from effective public health measures, such as hand hygiene”


Retron
29 April 2020 11:52:31


I have been wondering that images from the far east have been showing people wearing masks for some time now, but mainly because of air pollution. Since the outbreak its hard to distinguish if wearing masks has gone up, maybe from voluntary to compulsory. To me, there must be 'something in it' and all those people are wearing masks not just for the sake of it. I heard, from somewhere that they did not want people here to wear masks otherwise we would take away what little chance the NHS would be able to get hold of these. In my last shop at Morrison's, there were definitely more people wearing these so something is driving the need here to use them, comfort value maybe?


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


FWIW, in Japan at least the culture was that you wore one if you were ill, as a means to stop spreading germs. It served a dual purpose: one, to lessen the chance of infecting people (you all know what trains can be like in Japan...) and two, to serve as a warning that the person wearing it is ill, so keep some distance if you can.


I've also been in touch with someone who's involved with a Chinese wolf centre... they're aghast that we're not wearing masks as a matter of course over here!


 


Leysdown, north Kent

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