It does doesn't it! Looking at the GEFS there is an unusual level of agreement even relatively far out on the 0z. Its only the last few days where it turns into proper spaghetti. 

Am I correct in saying that most of the recent primary lows had their origin in southern US?

Hints of a something more spring-like as we head into early March. High pressure shows a tendency to nudge in from the south and give even northern areas a respite from the wet and windy weather for a period of time at least. Further south it is looking fairly dry and mild. Wouldn't surprise me if we saw temperatures into the low-mid teens for several days. 

Would probably be warmer than that, we had similar conditions a couple of years ago and 20*c was reached quite widely.  By early March we have the same strength sun as late September.  

We really could do with an early growing season with all the ground water about.

. . . And still there on the GFS 12z. Looking like picking up where it left off in January.

Unless ECM has other ideas. 

Increasingly settled is now the signal going into March, with even a hint of an easterly influence emerging.

A dry and cool spell will be welcome to many I would think.

Hmmm. I wonder ?

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&time=240&run=6&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=6

ECM control looking very cold.

The SSW of the stratosphere could be setting us up for a cold and blocked end of March into April me thinks:

One model and one run +384z - but the PV will go eventually of course! Just shame we never had a SSW in winter.

Looking like this warming and wave 2 working their way in to the nwp models as we move into spring as alluded to above a week ago. Of course nothing set in stone and unless we pull in some potent cold uppers, we may only be left with a tease of what could have been if it were a few weeks earlier. 

End of gfs 06z run gfs could be toying with final warming for the strat. Fingers crossed we see one potent wintry spell before spring warmth relieves us of the bore fest of the last three months.

And of course maybe a few flakes tomorrow to save this winter from being completely snowless. 

Interesting... 

Its nearly over but not quite. Will winter 21/22 get an 11th hour reprieve ? 

No.

Nobody posting the about 240hr ecm easterly!!!  Is winter going to start in march !?

Back taking a look round this morning:

Summary charts not shifting a great deal since the weekend; cold but above average for the time of year in NE Europe, milder but a little below average in SW Europe. Just a hint of the cold intensifying in week 2. Pptn in N Atlantic and along the coasts of W Scotland and Norway; fairly dry elsewhere and then in week 2 notably so in France & S England

Jet - mostly looping, N-wards W of Scotland, S-wards over Scandi; after a calm period around Thu 10th resumes well to the S of Uk with some bits left over near Iceland

GFS op - HP growing from SW and pushing cold air away E-wards, that HP settling at first over the near continent and then over UK 1035mb Wed 2nd with LPs brushing the NW coasts as they move to N Norway. HP collapses Wed 9th and the last of the LPs moves S from N Norway and throws out a trough to Spain Fri 11th with E-lies for UK while the HP resumes 1055mb Greenland [could have done with this scenario in January!]

GEFS - in the S cold at first, mild Tue 1st, mostly back to norm Sun 6th and predominantly below after that (op & control unquestionably cold); some rain in some runs now, then on and after Tue 1st. The N misses out on the mild spell (1st) but not as cold later on (though op & control are still in there); pptn in the NE much as in the S, wetter in the NW

ECM - rather like GFS but with accelerated development, the HP collapsing Fri 4th and E-lies present Sun 6th

Winter weather and winter synoptics in March are not exactly what I really want to be seeing as I would much rather be getting on with spring when that time comes.

Wouldn't be the first time if it does. In a sense, that is what happened in 2013 as although there were a few coldish spells in January and February that year, the real cold came in March and IIRC it returned a lower CET than any of the three winter months that preceded it.