I'm sorry, but a spell of albeit exceptionally warm weather in one tiny bit of the world does not prove anything at all. 

Global warming denial a criminal offence? What else would you like to outlaw? Thinking naughty thoughts?! Come on - the whole scientific community should be reliant on questioning debate. Shutting down alternate viewpoints merely exacerbates the problem.

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Staggering that we have breached 40c in 2022.

Local records being smashed around here. 36.3c here, 35.7c Bingley, 36.5c Bramham, 35.9c Bradford, 36.2C Ryhill.
Sheffield 37.0c it looks like.

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It feels hotter than yesterday which reached 35C in the garden. It's now 'only' 32.6 with the front not that far away in Lyme Bay and a very hot humid, heavy feel to the air. Not at all like yesterday. The humidity I guess.

 

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What is interesting is the really significant events (today and December 2010) are often really well signposted in advance. 
This heat started appearing in the models nearly two weeks ago I think? 

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Wetherspoons beer garden?

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Indeed. Roughly 2nd July

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GFS has been superb on this spell. Not Arome's finest hour though.

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I think it is right over me. Brisk straight northerly, while dark mid-level cloud moves up directly from the south, as lower fractus moves directly west to east.

And about 3 drops of rain has fallen. 

 

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Whilst I think the people who totally deny human-caused climate change are conspiracy nuts, outlawing AGW denial is equally as nuts. It just gives them more ammunition. And as Tom says, where would we stop?

Look at what's going on in the Netherlands - farmers and other professions rioting because Net Zero will ruin their businesses. Imagine what would break out if we banned AGW denial and any questioning of carbon policies. It's a very slippery slope, IMO.

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Tom 

 

Agreed maybe the original post is a bit OTT... but this record heat stretches over several or more countries and the entire western european continent.... 1000s kms long. 

 

This is not a tiny part of the world

 

 

 

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Unbelievably good. To not only pick out this sort of temperature specifically, but also synoptically it’s been astonishing    

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Yorkshire/Lincs suddenly 35-37C widespread.

Its happening guys. Buckle up.

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Know thy strengths.

AROME is the first model you go to in rain/snow situations. It is pretty much always spot on at deciding which kind of precip will fall.

Not that good at other stuff though.

 

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On a global scale, the GFS has not been preforming all that well lately, but it really does seem have a knack on picking up on longer term trends on this side of the Atlantic. Hats off. 

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If you watch the Met Office videos you'll see they make use of GFS along with their own and other models. The idea that they don't look at it is is one of many statements posted on weather forums which are unsubstantiated nonsense. 

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Like cold fronts in the middle of texas, deprived of any moisture!

 

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Heathrow at 40c, it is all the Jet Exhausts. If there had been that much Tarmac and Jet Exhausts in 76 it would have been 43c

Thought this brilliant piece of music was apt for today (end of film ‘Knowing’)

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Oh god. 38C now appearing in Lincs.

SE seems to have plateued.

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Never found Arome to be that great to be honest. It overdoes convective potential a lot I find. 

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Its bad at that too.

But as I say, for precip type, its the best model there is.

 

 

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Absolutely take your point, but still, one event does not prove a theory.

There may well be global trends at play here, but I doubt ANY of us here have access to enough data or knowledge to draw sensible conclusions. What we are doing is responding to what we see being reported and what we observe. I would argue that what is reported is very heavily biased towards a certain viewpoint, and is therefore likely to be very influential to many. I am not making an argument either way, but what I strongly oppose is silencing viewpoints however crazy they may appear to an individual, simply because they do not conform to their own individual narrative. There are some key historical figures who put this into practise, and I am not sure any of us would want to live under a modern version of their rule!

 

Anyhow back to a monumental UK weather day - 39.6c! Wow.

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36.5°C in Durham. Astonishing,

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Charlwood 39.9c ,Kew 39.6c at 1pm

Lots over 39c

Met office twitter 

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Jumping up again in Pett Bottom: suddenly 37.9C after a plateau of an hour.

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