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Saint Snow
13 July 2023 11:11:11

Mediterranean heatwave making the mainstream news - must be serious
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66183069 
 

Originally Posted by: DEW 




The southerly-displaced jet (due to HLB) bottling the heat in the Med, no allowing it to dissipate northwards.

Meanwhile, In Vermont...

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/12/montpelier-vermont-flood-rain-damage 

 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Rob K
13 July 2023 19:23:02
Death Valley could challenge the world record temperature over the weekend. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/07/13/heatwave-california-arizona-florida-texas-records/ 
 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Jiries
14 July 2023 05:07:06

Death Valley could challenge the world record temperature over the weekend. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/07/13/heatwave-california-arizona-florida-texas-records/ 
 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 



That what summer is all about instead of brutal cold unsettled weather hitting the UK this weekend and non stop.  Will be very interesting to observe Death Valley and Nicosia this weekend and Cyprus also in a heatwave.   Seem heat domes started forming in 2021 in W Canada and NW USA.  
Jiries
14 July 2023 05:14:41

The southerly-displaced jet (due to HLB) bottling the heat in the Med, no allowing it to dissipate northwards.

Meanwhile, In Vermont...

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/12/montpelier-vermont-flood-rain-damage 

 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



Same in USA unfortunately as checking Toronto is looking cooler and below average temps as heat trapped in southern states.  This jet stream are refusing to back down and stuck in straight line keeping north of that unsettled and cool foreseeable.  Toronto and London are in wrong side at the moment cutting off our rightly summer season. 
Saint Snow
14 July 2023 08:55:00
Heard that the Canaries have had some days with the temp hitting 40c.

We've used the Canaries for summer holidays when we've had to go in the school summer holidays (as Med places can get too hot) and always had temps around 30c, which is just pleasant enough (especially with the breeze), but 40c is baking. We were in Malta at the end of June/beginning of July last year in 40c and it was crippling 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
johncs2016
14 July 2023 08:59:26

Heard that the Canaries have had some days with the temp hitting 40c.

We've used the Canaries for summer holidays when we've had to go in the school summer holidays (as Med places can get too hot) and always had temps around 30c, which is just pleasant enough (especially with the breeze), but 40c is baking. We were in Malta at the end of June/beginning of July last year in 40c and it was crippling 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



That's where Gavin P. is currently taking some time away from Gavs Weather Towers to enjoy a well deserved break.

Let's hope that he's not melting away too much in that heat.
 
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
15 July 2023 14:24:05
Perhaps the title of this thread is no longer appropriate

S Korea floods leave at least 20 dead as thousands forced to evacuate
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-66209578 
Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
polarwind
15 July 2023 15:35:28

How about 'Unusual or Extreme World Weather'?




Perhaps the title of this thread is no longer appropriate

S Korea floods leave at least 20 dead as thousands forced to evacuate
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-66209578 

Originally Posted by: RobN 


"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby
CreweCold
16 July 2023 04:17:08
People seem to be moaning a lot but it looks to me like we've dodged a bullet so far this summer.

Look at the issues ongoing across parts of America and S Europe-people dropping dead due to things like heat stress etc.
The last few years have taught us that we can no longer get 'bog standard' heatwaves which are fairly pleasant...year on year the temperatures during our hot spells are getting hotter and hotter, which culminated in a record of 40+C last summer. Upper air temperatures seem to be increasing yearly and spreading further N and expanding across larger areas of the mid latitudes. If we're going to start experiencing heat on such levels going forward then we need to have the infrastructure in place...and that means making sure that everyone has access to fairly priced air conditioning etc.

Given a choice between dangerously high temperatures and the weather we've had for the past 3 weeks or so, I'd choose the latter every time.

I hope I'm very wrong but I feel we've now gone past the tipping point with regards to climate change. The constant pushing of the heat boundaries over the past few years and the speed at which we're breaking records is evidence enough to me that this can't be turned around easily. Even if global emissions were cut to 0 tomorrow, we've probably got a decade or two of turn around time to go through due to climate feedbacks already in motion (think excess heat stored in the oceans etc).

Crewe, Cheshire
55 metres above sea level
Retron
16 July 2023 05:12:38

People seem to be moaning a lot but it looks to me like we've dodged a bullet so far this summer.

Given a choice between dangerously high temperatures and the weather we've had for the past 3 weeks or so, I'd choose the latter every time.

I hope I'm very wrong but I feel we've now gone past the tipping point with regards to climate change.

Originally Posted by: CreweCold 


We have indeed dodged a bullet. I know the heat-hounds over on the MO thread are moaning, but it's far better to have moderate temperatures and rain - for those lucky enough to be getting it - than the "canicule" style weather they're experiencing in southern Europe. It's interesting that not many weeks ago those same areas that are now baking were being deluged with rain, the anomaly charts for bits of Italy etc on wxmaps were off the scale!

It's all part of the process which we've seen since the late 80s IMO, that's when the "onwards and upwards" switch seemed to be flicked. Out went proper winters, in came heat records... and increasing in frequency too (i.e. it took 79 years for the 1911 record to be beaten, in 1990; the record has since been broken multiple times in the past 33 years). There's the odd throwback to the old norms, but they're now very much the exception.

Ass you say, even if all emissions were stopped tomorrow we're stuck with this for decades. As that won't happen, the best thing to do is prepare for the inevitable heat to come - make sure that we are equipped as a nation to deal with it. A/C will be a big feature, of course, and the key will be powering that in as eco-friendly a way as possible (which will be fun, with all the cars and non-reversible heat-pumps being installed).

It always used to irritate me, as a kid, when the first global warming articles were published. "Ooh, lovely", said the common man, "It'll be like the Med - bring it on!"
Well, they've got their wish - and even last year, they carried on. "Red warning for heat? Stuff that, it's called 'summer'", went many a comment locally.
Even recently, when the Met Office has been issuing press releases about the warmth in June etc, the comments pages on the papers, Twitter etc fill up with people outright denying it's been warm. It's most odd!

And talking of heat, the Beeb has an article about the effects of the heat in America, with Death Valley forecast to reach 54C. I'm actually pleased they're seeing the effects over there - as, Alaska aside (where they're very much concerned about climate change), they've seen less detrimental effects than elsewhere.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-66195722 

 
Leysdown, north Kent
scillydave
16 July 2023 14:07:40
Hottest day in Chinese history today with 52.2c which shatters the old record by nearly 2c.
It's also smashed the record for any location above 40* North.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Ally Pally Snowman
17 July 2023 08:57:10

Hottest day in Chinese history today with 52.2c which shatters the old record by nearly 2c.
It's also smashed the record for any location above 40* North.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 



Some crazy temps all around the world atm. If we can ever get a favourable set up here again this summer it could get very hot still.
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Charmhills
17 July 2023 09:23:02

Hottest day in Chinese history today with 52.2c which shatters the old record by nearly 2c.
It's also smashed the record for any location above 40* North.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 



Yet 6 months ago the same place recorded a record low of -53c☃
Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Gandalf The White
17 July 2023 09:24:34

Some crazy temps all around the world atm. If we can ever get a favourable set up here again this summer it could get very hot still.
 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



I certainly hope not.  You can keep your 30c+ temperatures for days on end; our homes are not designed to deal with that and neither are we.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


ozone_aurora
17 July 2023 09:29:38

Yet 6 months ago the same place recorded a record low of -53c☃

Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


Yes, that's temperate continental climate for you.
scillydave
17 July 2023 09:32:18
That's quite an extraordinary range of temperature isn't it?! I can't imagine what it must be like to live somewhere like that.
 
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Saint Snow
17 July 2023 11:22:35
In the US:

Las Vegas on the verge of breaking its all-time max temp record of 117F (47.2C)

El Paso, the temperature has been at least 100.4F (38C) for more than a month 

In Phoenix, temperatures have remained above 109.4F (43C) for 17 days

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Saint Snow
17 July 2023 11:33:40

People seem to be moaning a lot but it looks to me like we've dodged a bullet so far this summer.

Look at the issues ongoing across parts of America and S Europe-people dropping dead due to things like heat stress etc.
The last few years have taught us that we can no longer get 'bog standard' heatwaves which are fairly pleasant...year on year the temperatures during our hot spells are getting hotter and hotter, which culminated in a record of 40+C last summer. Upper air temperatures seem to be increasing yearly and spreading further N and expanding across larger areas of the mid latitudes. If we're going to start experiencing heat on such levels going forward then we need to have the infrastructure in place...and that means making sure that everyone has access to fairly priced air conditioning etc.

Given a choice between dangerously high temperatures and the weather we've had for the past 3 weeks or so, I'd choose the latter every time.

I hope I'm very wrong but I feel we've now gone past the tipping point with regards to climate change. The constant pushing of the heat boundaries over the past few years and the speed at which we're breaking records is evidence enough to me that this can't be turned around easily. Even if global emissions were cut to 0 tomorrow, we've probably got a decade or two of turn around time to go through due to climate feedbacks already in motion (think excess heat stored in the oceans etc).

Originally Posted by: CreweCold 




Dodging a bullet to be hit by a grenade isn't really any better.

WRT climate change, we don't know what changing weather patterns are going to deliver us. Last summer we got enveloped into that European high, which brought heat (at least to the southern half of the UK). Whereas this summer we've seen high pressure dominate the Polar region, displacing the remnants of the PV and Jetstream southwards, keeping a swathe of Northern Europe and Northern North America with very unsettled conditions.

Which will become the dominant broad set-up for summer?

I know it doesn't work like this, but I do think that the west coast of Scotland and Hebrides would be amazing with Mediterranean summers (apart from the mass invasion of chavvy holidaymakers! 😁)

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Essan
17 July 2023 12:04:33



I know it doesn't work like this, but I do think that the west coast of Scotland and Hebrides would be amazing with Mediterranean summers (apart from the mass invasion of chavvy holidaymakers! 😁)

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



They certainly have the beaches up there!

But I was taking to a couple in Arisaig last month who were sailing around in their yacht and they were saying the previous week - when it had been 30c and unbroken sunshine - had been awful as it was so hot they couldn't even sit out on deck and instead had to stay inside .....   And whilst I'd have liked maybe a day like that during my visit, I'd probably have ended up likewise hiding inside a bothy .....     Most folk I speak to down here atm are also agreeing that it's better what we're having (which, when, like today, it's dry and the sun is out isn't really that bad) than what they have in the US, Europe and China.   Also spoke to a Polish guy who's just cancelled a holiday back home to Poland because it's 40c and he'd rather stay here than endure that.
Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Saint Snow
17 July 2023 12:16:20

They certainly have the beaches up there!

But I was taking to a couple in Arisaig last month

Originally Posted by: Essan 




They really do. We fell in love with the place (despite not having the best week of weather - although a couple of lovely days, albeit not that warm at 20c). The beaches around Morar were beautiful (spoiled, though, by having freeloading bloody campervans taking up every parking space)

When you were in Arisaig, I don't suppose you visited the Shellfish Shack for one of their crab butties? Amazing things. The Bakehouse & Crannog at Malaig also brilliant.

 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Essan
17 July 2023 12:42:01



When you were in Arisaig, I don't suppose you visited the Shellfish Shack for one of their crab butties? Amazing things. The Bakehouse & Crannog at Malaig also brilliant.

 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



Unfortunately I was on a bit of a tight budget at the time so couldn't afford to treat myself.   I did, however, spend a night camped on a beach that I had all to myself (well away from the campervan hordes around Morar 😁 )
Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Gandalf The White
17 July 2023 13:10:53

People seem to be moaning a lot but it looks to me like we've dodged a bullet so far this summer.

Look at the issues ongoing across parts of America and S Europe-people dropping dead due to things like heat stress etc.
The last few years have taught us that we can no longer get 'bog standard' heatwaves which are fairly pleasant...year on year the temperatures during our hot spells are getting hotter and hotter, which culminated in a record of 40+C last summer. Upper air temperatures seem to be increasing yearly and spreading further N and expanding across larger areas of the mid latitudes. If we're going to start experiencing heat on such levels going forward then we need to have the infrastructure in place...and that means making sure that everyone has access to fairly priced air conditioning etc.

Given a choice between dangerously high temperatures and the weather we've had for the past 3 weeks or so, I'd choose the latter every time.

I hope I'm very wrong but I feel we've now gone past the tipping point with regards to climate change. The constant pushing of the heat boundaries over the past few years and the speed at which we're breaking records is evidence enough to me that this can't be turned around easily. Even if global emissions were cut to 0 tomorrow, we've probably got a decade or two of turn around time to go through due to climate feedbacks already in motion (think excess heat stored in the oceans etc).

Originally Posted by: CreweCold 



Make that a few centuries and you will be closer.  Even if we stopped all emissions now we are still at 420ppm of CO2, a mere 50% up on levels pre-industrialisation.  CO2 takes hundreds of years to be removed from the atmosphere, even under normal circumstances. With oceans having warmed and having already absorbed huge amounts of CO2,  one of the major natural sinks is already under strain.

So, what we are seeing now is the consequence of 1c of warming globally; when we have the prospect of CO2 above 500ppm and 3c+ of warming you can see why scientists are extremely worried.  On top of that, what we’re seeing is worse/faster than most of the models were predicting.  I have been saying for at least 20 years now that we are unwise to tinker with something as complex as our climate system because we really don’t understand it well enough.
 
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


scillydave
17 July 2023 14:08:22
An incredible midnight temperature of 48.9c in Badwater, Death Valley last night. Apparently the highest temperature recorded in the middle of the night anywhere in the world, ever.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Jiries
18 July 2023 05:41:19

An incredible midnight temperature of 48.9c in Badwater, Death Valley last night. Apparently the highest temperature recorded in the middle of the night anywhere in the world, ever.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 



Yes then drop to 39.4C 103F but had seek highest was 42C 107F before.
Rob K
18 July 2023 09:42:33

Death Valley could challenge the world record temperature over the weekend. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/07/13/heatwave-california-arizona-florida-texas-records/ 
 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 



Death Valley recorded an overnight LOW on Sunday night of 40.6C.

It was 49C at 1am.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

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