November UK temperature analysis and discussion· Page 4

ARTzeman
Advanced Member

28 November 2023 10:50:01

IMANSF22 7.4c Nicks' - 1Bath25 8.2c
Metcheck 7.73c Anomaly 0.81c
Netweather 8.4c Anomaly 1.51c
Peasedown st John 8.15c Anomaly 0.05c.

Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Bertwhistle
Advanced Member

28 November 2023 13:43:35

#77

8.0°C to 27th. For once I'm not looking too far off.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Gavin D
Advanced Member

28 November 2023 13:44:02

#78

Hadley

8.0c to the 27th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average
0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

GezM
Advanced Member

28 November 2023 14:28:12

#79

8.0°C to 27th. For once I'm not looking too far off.

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle

With 3 days to go you'd think we're not far off the final figure but this month could be different. The last 3 days of the month are going to be very cold, especially Wed/Thu so I'm expecting a large chunk to get knocked off the CET before the close. Low 7s is likely.

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Caz
Advanced Member

29 November 2023 09:51:10

#80

Our forecast suggests daily mean temps of 0c. So it could end up low 7’s.

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

ARTzeman
Advanced Member

29 November 2023 10:32:14

#81

IMANSF22 7.4c Nicks - 1BATH75 8.2c
Metcheck 7.56c Anomaly 0.65c
Netweather 8.26c Anomaly 1.37c
Peasedown St John 8.15c Anomaly -0.05c.

Edited by moderator 30 December 2023 19:31:33 | Reason: Not specified

Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Gavin D
Advanced Member

29 November 2023 13:50:38

#82

Hadley

7.9c to the 28th

1.4c above the 61 to 90 average
0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

Bertwhistle
Advanced Member

29 November 2023 14:18:15

#83

With 3 days to go you'd think we're not far off the final figure but this month could be different. The last 3 days of the month are going to be very cold, especially Wed/Thu so I'm expecting a large chunk to get knocked off the CET before the close. Low 7s is likely.

Originally Posted by: GezM

Doesn't surprise me, but with my current form, that'll still count as a near miss!😁

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

GezM
Advanced Member

29 November 2023 14:48:58

#84

Doesn't surprise me, but with my current form, that'll still count as a near miss!😁

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle

I'm backing Lanky to win this month but it could be close 🙂

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

GezM
Advanced Member

30 November 2023 10:11:07

#85

Just been looking at the Autumn (i.e. September to November) CET stats. Despite the cold end to November, this autumn will be up there as one of the warmest ever recorded based on the CET. Definitely in the top 4 and it might just pip 2022 for 3rd place.

Top 4 (based on November 2023 coming out at 7.40C) are;
2016: 12.60C
2011: 12.37C
2023: 12.17C
2022: 12.13C

These are the only 4 years with a meteorological autumn CET above 12C.

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

+1

ARTzeman
Advanced Member

30 November 2023 10:21:04

#86

IMANSF22 6.9c Nicks,- 1BATH 75 7.6c
Metcheck 7.31c Anomaly 0.38c
Netweather 8.01c Anomaly 1.12c
Peasedown St John 7.62c Anomaly -0.05c.

Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Gavin D
Advanced Member

30 November 2023 13:17:53

#87

Hadley

7.6c to the 29th

1.2c above the 61 to 90 average
0.6c above the 81 to 10 average

four
Advanced Member

30 November 2023 13:22:09

#88

6.1C (-0.4C) here on the30th

North York Moors weather

Gavin D
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 12:57:39

#89

Hadley confirmed as 7.4c

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

Windy Willow
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 13:45:51

#90

Hadley confirmed as 7.4c

1.0c above th61 to 90 average

Originally Posted by: Gavin D

Looks like Lanky got it this month, so congratulations 👍

South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!

Frank H
Advanced Member Topic Starter

01 December 2023 14:24:41

#91

Also 7.40 to 2 decimals (taking average of daily max/mins)

Add my congrats to Lanky

Wrightington, Wigan

+1

GezM
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 14:57:13

#92

Just been looking at the Autumn (i.e. September to November) CET stats. Despite the cold end to November, this autumn will be up there as one of the warmest ever recorded based on the CET. Definitely in the top 4 and it might just pip 2022 for 3rd place.

Top 4 (based on November 2023 coming out at 7.40C) are;
2016: 12.60C
2011: 12.37C
2023: 12.17C
2022: 12.13C

These are the only 4 years with a meteorological autumn CET above 12C.

Originally Posted by: GezM

So the above still stands

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

GezM
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 14:58:36

#93

Also 7.40 to 2 decimals (taking average of daily max/mins)

Add my congrats to Lanky

Originally Posted by: Frank H

A clear winner in a congested field so well done!

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Bolty
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 14:59:45

#94

So the above still stands

Originally Posted by: GezM

Unsurprising. The first half of autumn was extraordinarily warm and it would have taken something pretty cold in the second half to knock it out of the top 5 or 10. I'd imagine the first half (1 September to 15/16 October) is easily the warmest first half of autumn on record.

Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station

Stormchaser
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 15:39:11

#95

Getting tighter at the top, albeit only slightly! Just 0.8°C between the top 5 judging by my own tracking which has so far lined up with Frank's.

Given my high interest in statistical processing & presentation, I did consider volunteering to try running this competition, but my workload has a habit of escalating at short notice, so I can't guarantee availability at the right time.

I'm sure JMM2005 will do a stellar job for 2024+ 🙂

So how about this December eh? A notably cold start, signs of milder weather later next week, but events in the works which might turn conditions colder again at some point in the 2nd half of the month. That's a recipe for a really tricky month to estimate - good luck everyone!

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On

+1

Frank H
Advanced Member Topic Starter

01 December 2023 16:11:21

#96

Table to November

Bolty still leads for the third month in a row but his lead is reducing.
All to play for in December with the top 6 only separated by just over a degree.

bolty 7.43
grandad 7.81
rickm 7.85
stomchaser 8.27
caz 8.43
gezm 8.55
dingle rob 9.01
jmm2005 9.36
scillydave 9.50
snowshoe 9.60
taylor1740 9.84
artzeman 9.89
tierradelfuego 9.95
ap snowman 10.20
kendalian 10.21
sswd 10.65
windywillow 10.66
hungry tiger 11.11
frank h 11.34
lanky 11.34
sussex snow magnet 11.75
col 11.95
bertwhistle 13.00
redmoons 13.79

Wrightington, Wigan

+2

Snowshoe
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 18:10:41

#97

Just been looking at the Autumn (i.e. September to November) CET stats. Despite the cold end to November, this autumn will be up there as one of the warmest ever recorded based on the CET. Definitely in the top 4 and it might just pip 2022 for 3rd place.

Originally Posted by: GezM

It's also the 3rd warmest combined Summer and Autumn average.

2006: 14.93°C
2022: 14.70°C
2023: 14.33°C
1995: 14.27°C

And in fact the 3rd warmest year to date.

2022: 11.83°C
2014: 11.48°C
2023: 11.45°C
2020: 11.31°C

+1

lanky
Advanced Member

01 December 2023 20:41:43

#98

Also 7.40 to 2 decimals (taking average of daily max/mins)

Add my congrats to Lanky

Originally Posted by: Frank H

Thanks for that - been a long time since I came first in the monthly comp

Sadly still much nearer the wooden spoon than medal contention this year- not long till 2024 though and then we can all start tied for 1st place on 1st Jan 😊

Martin
Richmond, Surrey

Caz
Advanced Member

02 December 2023 06:39:48

#99

Congrats to Lanky for getting it spot on and to Bolty for sticking in pole position!

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

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