theweatheroutlook

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Rob K
  • Rob K
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
12 January 2024 17:48:20
Is it just me or is this quite concerning? Almost literally off the charts.


https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1745860807718576608 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
+1
Gandalf The White
12 January 2024 19:47:45

Is it just me or is this quite concerning? Almost literally off the charts.


https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1745860807718576608 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 



It is very concerning, since it’s happening at such a rate and much quicker than expected.

I remember endless arguments in the old Climate Forum about the risks of the predictions being an underestimate and being told it was alarmist nonsense, and here we are.  The oceans have been absorbing a lot of heat - as well as a lot of CO2.

What is this, plus the strong El Niño, going to do to global temperatures this year?  My guess was comfortably- or perhaps uncomfortably- above 1.5c. Since 2023 has come out within a whisker of +1.5 we could be up around +1.55 even.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


speckledjim
13 January 2024 09:38:12

It is very concerning, since it’s happening at such a rate and much quicker than expected.

I remember endless arguments in the old Climate Forum about the risks of the predictions being an underestimate and being told it was alarmist nonsense, and here we are.  The oceans have been absorbing a lot of heat - as well as a lot of CO2.

What is this, plus the strong El Niño, going to do to global temperatures this year?  My guess was comfortably- or perhaps uncomfortably- above 1.5c. Since 2023 has come out within a whisker of +1.5 we could be up around +1.55 even.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


I've been wondering why this El Nino is having the opposite effect on Eastern Australia than normal - rain instead of drought. Maybe something to do with sea temperatures?
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Perthite1
17 January 2024 14:45:00

I've been wondering why this El Nino is having the opposite effect on Eastern Australia than normal - rain instead of drought. Maybe something to do with sea temperatures?

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 



Yes, ocean temperatures around Australia are above normal. In Perth we have had unprecedented humidity over the last few days with a slow moving heat trough. Yesterday we had dew points of 24c here near the coast, a bit further inland temperatures around 43c with thunderstorms. As you can imagine storms in that heat were spectacular.
The ocean temperatures are definitely contributing to the wet weather over east. We also are likely to have a negative IOD developing over the next few months. Long range weather forecasting can be a mugs game at the best of times, but particularly at the moment. 
Rob K
  • Rob K
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
07 February 2024 15:49:18
And it gets worse...

https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1755251160951169337 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Essan
07 February 2024 16:01:44
Yes, it's getting crazy.

And we're already seeing record heatwaves and record precipitation all around the globe.   It's only going to intensify as the year goes on.
Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
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