WX temp - as noted yesterday, the warm weather in week 1 lying generally across Europe except N Scotland and Scandinavia is being displaced in week 2 by cooler weather from the NE reaching as far as Germany. SW France still hot, as is S Russia; Britain on the edge, warm in the S, cool in the N.
GFS Op - consistent with yesterday, starting with LP near NW Scotland drawing up warm air from the SW. Then after a brief interlude Thu 29th as that LP moves across Scotland, pressure rises strongly from the SW, to settle 1030mb northern N Sea Sun 1st. This pulls back to N Scotland for the following week and dominates UK weather to Wed 11th though with shallow LP trying to establish near Cornwall, this LP with most effect Mon 9th and thence producing some strong NE-lies over SE England.
ECM - like GFS to Sun 1st but then HP pulls back to the Atlantic, still close enough to promise dry weather for Britain but cooler with winds going round to the W and then to N by Thu 5th
GEM - closer to ECM than GFS but with the same tendency for the HP to pull back to the W
GEFS - warm around Thu29th, a dip, then warm again Mon 2nd, less noticeable in Scotland. Mean temps then steadily to norm by Sat 8th, mean continues to cool, op stays warm but an increased number of quite cold ens members. Very little prospect of rain in the S, not much more in the N except for the next few days in the NW.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl