Or 1995?

All blocking patterns broke down be it summer or winter David.

The computer models have to determine when that time will arrive.

My guess it will be into August when the pattern finally brakes and temps lower away.

So far, this spell while excellent isn't on par with 2006 - for my location at least.

The records for Heathrow show that between the 1st and 31st July 2006, there were 13 days where the temperature exceeded 30c, 8 days that hit 32c or above and a peak of 36c was reached on the 19th (rounded to the nearest degree C). There were only 8 days out of 31 that month where the tempaerture did not reach 25c, and the lowest daytime temperature recorded was 22.4c on the 10th. A remarkable month.

Feast your eyes on that: http://www.tutiempo.net/en/Climate/Londres_Heathrow_Airport/07-2006/37720.htm

Well GFS can't hide from the fact that the Atlantic still doesn't come charging east until into FI...

Meanwhile ECM has toned down the Atlantic onslaught and on day 10 it all looks a bit uncertain. I can see how the trough energy could split with some heading SE through or near to the UK while a ridge builds in the Atlantic and potentially topples over onto the trough energy that would by then be somewhere in NW Europe.

It's all still a long way out and doesn't seem to be drawing much closer at the moment. Meanwhile it's very warm to hot across many areas right out to around 25th July, another 10 days

I don't disagree Duane- that will happen at some point. All I would say is that there's a possibility it might be a while before it happens. As you say, it might be August before that happens rather than anytime in July.

35C here would suit me fine as it a lovely clean figure than 33-34C values.  Navgem had been insisting 18C uppers for few days now.  I wondered if this will happen?

perhaps some light at the end of the tunnel for people like me! But another week of sleepless nights and unwanted sweat  to try and get through

It will always push back as they did in recent summers when HP predicting always push back until September so probably the same now to wait until Autumn to be cooler and unsettled. 

Hi all,

Here's today's video update;

Hot This Week - Cooler End To July?

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/

Still just very tentative signs of a breakdown by day 10.

It is several degrees too hot for me but I have to say it is nice to come home, open a lager then sit on the hammock for the evening

Unless this changes - I think we can see the cracks emerging in this nice spell. But it is some way out though.

http://www.jp2webdesign.co.uk/ds/gfs.htm

)http://www.weatherweb.net/tvweather/birminghamtempens.gif

 starting to cool off after the 19th, still pretty warm though and some rain showing up afterthe 23rd

As usual, the 6z like the 18z is less on my radar than other output. However, the trend for less settled weather is there but it is still a long way out. What would be unfortunate from this type of breakdown would be a general lack of rain in the south(much needed), not to mention the continuing total absence of thunder!

Second that , just like in Winter it can be a bit much for weeks on end of cold -  well I think this is a bit too hot now IMBY, I like a bit of Summer but a week max is enough in one batch not a month!  As someone mentioned earlier, does remind me of 90s Summers and perhaps is the throwback Summer (like the 1950s) in a run of poor ones as Gavin P mentioned in one of his excellent videos. Looking forward to the weekend when the NE'lies pick up a bit here as the HP moves further north again and bring temps back to 26-28 rather than the 90F we have now. Northerners can have the heat back which I think they might be glad of!! 

Longer term definite more signs across the models of cracks in the heatwave today ,granted still FI but more in agreement so one to watch as always. Either way if you don't have to work and love the heat the next 10 days is certainly up your street.

UKMO 12z on WZ:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm961.gif

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1441.gif

Settled.