weren't we here a week ago at the same timeframe? with gfs and ecm opp runs?
Originally Posted by: Charmhills
I seem to recall that although the overall consensus in the model output last weekend was for a lengthy settled spell, there were a few rogue GFS and ECM runs that showed the settled spell beginning to break down around the beginning of the week we're heading into. I agree with what Polar Low says about the models breaking down big HP blocks too quickly. Put it this way, if the few runs from GFS and ECM a week ago had been accurate, we'd almost certainly be looking at this week being rather cooler and more unsettled than what is is now forecast to be.
Originally Posted by: David M Porter
All blocking patterns broke down be it summer or winter David.
The computer models have to determine when that time will arrive.
My guess it will be into August when the pattern finally brakes and temps lower away.
Originally Posted by: Polar Low