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Keep on topic, no regionalistic remarks please.
Edit: That might not be a real word but you know what I mean
Looks to me like an event that we would expect every 5 years or so just massively hyped but it does have a chance of becoming a more significant storm. Meto going for widespread 80mph + gusts.
http://t.co/2G72hHWi7m
From Radiohead's post. Estofex gust predictions based on GFS
http://www.estofex.org/modelmaps/maps/201310/2013102612/45_nconvgust.png
Looks like Guernsey is going to cop it?
Originally Posted by: Sevendust
Just to add that, here is the potential convective gust chart. This would be in the event of winds higher up getting mixed down to the surface.
http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/Europe/gfs_gusts_eur45.png
As an aside I've just been reminded of this surfers site which covers the swell possibilities. As expected they have a warning as well
http://magicseaweed.com/news/European-Storm-Call/5726/
Let's see what the morning brings.To be honest I'm getting a bit of data overload syndrome, and I have to be up early to take the youngest and her friends to Thorpe Park (closing late but should time it OK for the onset).Taking all available data and projections, I would say there is a 90% chance of a RED upgrade in the morning and all manner of cancellations and re-scheduling going on.
Originally Posted by: radiohead
That's a bullseye for London. Different angle of attack and not as large as 1987, but still a short, sharp vicious storm over the major populised area of England.
Just posting the 48 hr fax again.I think that gets down to 964.Just seen Mr fish on news 24 and they showed a fax chart of the October 1987 storm and that got down to 960.Not ramping just putting it out there. http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax48s.gif?26-12
Originally Posted by: stophe
Looks very similar although air pressure not as low. I'm expecting similar on Monday. Portland or Mumbles Head my tip for the max gust maybe 90mph.
Big downgrade on the 18z GFS. Yes, the GFS is always up and down and you can't always t rust one of it's 4 available outputs, but interesting none the less.
Originally Posted by: scandyhigh
Out of Jail!!!!
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=36&mode=0
has support from gm
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=36&mode=0&carte=0
for now at least
The 18Z FFS run is ridiculously out of whack.
Originally Posted by: Polar Low
Nothing to worry about then
quite a few of the earlier 12gfs members have hints of this it all seems very uncertain to me at the mo but it is still possable for it to pan out like that.
one of those members
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=13&ech=42&mode=0&carte=0
Originally Posted by: Ulric