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Magicseaweed.com
National Data Bouoy Center
For Ireland and Uk.
Oh dear, yet another downgrade by GFS http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn121.png
Well the BBC weather still going for widespread 80mph gusts with some areas getting 90mph gusts. If trees are already falling in the SW you would expect many thousands more to follow perhaps even 100s of thousands more. Will be a very difficult journey to work tomorrow for many methinks.
Originally Posted by: Medlock Vale Weather
The GFS is trash!
The fax charts/Met/o raw are better.
Just seen the updates, it's certainy going to be a wet, willd, messy and windy night around here, there's no denying it. I'm sure my house will stand up to all that (it did in the Oct '87 Gales and the Burns Day storm) but I'm hoping that this weather system doesn't suddenly decide to form a sting jet right at the last moment (estimated to be around 7 am IF that occurs) - that's the bit I'm most concerned about or am I getting too worked up about it?Why is it that the worst winds ALWAYS seem to occur at night time? Looks like a restless night awaits me as I try and keep an anxious elderly mother settled as well as hoping the roof remains attached to my house.
Originally Posted by: Charmhills
It's only one model I know but this close to the event it can't be ignored or that it's trash, we'll see what the Met/o give later etc.
GFS wind gusts have downgraded again, strongest winds in the channel, might still clip east Kent but for the rest of us (at this stage) not looking as terrible as 36 hours ago, the system seems to zip through quicker too
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gfs/12_12_windvector_gust.png?cb=610
gusty down here on the south coast. has been all day
wouldn't it be great if there was a map of the uk with wind readings in realtime for stations in these sort of situations?
Originally Posted by: idot
[quote=idot;543943]
http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ really good for wind data!
why oh dear????
It does indeed look like another downgrade on the 12z GFS. The storm rattles through between 1am and 6am and windspeeds never look like getting too high - even in the SE. Difficult to see on the raw output, of course, but the situation does look vastly different to what we thought we were facing the day before yesterday.
^^^^^^^ And it is GFS, 50 miles makes a huge difference to the smmall Island of the UK ^^^^
Originally Posted by: Gooner
MO now expecting the highest gusts to be around 3am in the Bristol and Cardiff areas.
HT to poster on NW for this.
I would absolutely love it, for so many reasons, if this turned out to be a total non-event for the whole of Southern Britain 😂 However, it would be mad to take one operational output at face value.
Originally Posted by: Matty H
Oh dear, yet another downgrade by GFShttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn121.png
A spell of very stong winds for the West Country
Ian Ferguson Twitter
W COUNTRY CONTD... with potential for short phase 80+ mph especially Somerset from Burnham up into Bristol, N Somerset, #Mendips, B&NE
A spell of very stong winds for the West CountryIan Ferguson TwitterW COUNTRY CONTD... with potential for short phase 80+ mph especially Somerset fromBurnham up into Bristol, N Somerset, #Mendips, B&NE
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman
Trees already down in Ashford, Gravesend, and Rainham. Max gust here in Broadstairs so far today, is 33MPH.