Magicseaweed.com

National Data Bouoy Center 

For Ireland and Uk.

Oh dear, yet another downgrade by GFS http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn121.png

Well the BBC weather still going for widespread 80mph gusts with some areas getting 90mph gusts. If trees are already falling in the SW you would expect many thousands more to follow perhaps even 100s of thousands more. Will be a very difficult journey to work tomorrow for many methinks.

The GFS is trash!

The fax charts/Met/o raw are better.

Just seen the updates, it's certainy going to be a wet, willd, messy and windy night around here, there's no denying it. I'm sure my house will stand up to all that (it did in the Oct '87 Gales and the Burns Day storm) but I'm hoping that this weather system doesn't suddenly decide to form a sting jet right at the last moment (estimated to be around 7 am IF that occurs) - that's the bit I'm most concerned about or am I getting too worked up about it?

Why is it that the worst winds ALWAYS seem to occur at night time? Looks like a restless night awaits me as I try and keep an anxious elderly mother settled as well as hoping the roof remains attached to my house.

It's only one model I know but this close to the event it can't be ignored or that it's trash, we'll see what the Met/o give later etc.

GFS wind gusts have downgraded again, strongest winds in the channel, might still clip east Kent but for the rest of us (at this stage) not looking as terrible as 36 hours ago, the system seems to zip through quicker too 

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gfs/12_12_windvector_gust.png?cb=610

gusty down here on the south coast. has been all day

wouldn't it be great if there was a map of the uk with wind readings in realtime for stations in these sort of situations?

[quote=idot;543943]

gusty down here on the south coast. has been all day

wouldn't it be great if there was a map of the uk with wind readings in realtime for stations in these sort of situations?

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ really good for wind data!

why oh dear????

It does indeed look like another downgrade on the 12z GFS. The storm rattles through between 1am and 6am and windspeeds never look like getting too high - even in the SE. Difficult to see on the raw output, of course, but the situation does look vastly different to what we thought we were facing the day before yesterday.

^^^^^^^ And it is GFS, 50 miles makes a huge difference to the smmall Island of the UK ^^^^

MO now expecting the highest gusts to be around 3am in the Bristol and Cardiff areas. 

HT to poster on NW for this.

A spell of very stong winds for the West Country

Ian Ferguson Twitter

W COUNTRY CONTD... with potential for short phase 80+ mph especially Somerset from Burnham up into Bristol, N Somerset, #Mendips, B&NE

Trees already down in Ashford, Gravesend, and Rainham. Max gust here in Broadstairs so far today, is 33MPH.