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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1441.png
HP sinks a bit , no NELy , another option from GFS
Cold and dry beyond T+120.
Let's see what UKMO says.
Originally Posted by: Whiteout
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013111512/gfsnh-0-162.png?12
Certainly is, can't compain at that can we
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn16817.png
AREAS at risk from snow cover on 12z gfs
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=weas&HH=120&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
Originally Posted by: Polar Low
http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2013/11/15/basis12/ukuk/rart/13112012_2_1512.gif
Differs to this a bit
Would be very surprised if that much snow accumulated. Especially during daylight hours.
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013111512/UN72-21.GIF?15-17
UKMO out to 72
look at the f 0c level and dew points
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=taup&HH=138&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO=
Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986
Originally Posted by: Gooner
This looks, to my untrained eyes like it's going to be a belter.....
UKMO holding firm at T+72
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013111512/UN96-21.GIF?15-17
UKMO @ 96
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3721.png
GFS runs out to nothing Dec 1st
indeed its only Autumn thou, as a few have said might be a few surprises.
evap coolig etc.
A vast improvement on GFS at the same timeframe: http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013111512/gfs-0-96.png?12
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013111512/UN120-21.GIF?15-17
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013111512/UN144-21.GIF?15-17
UKMO
Yeah, will be a messy week with the details hard to pin down and some "surprise" snowfall possible but not really expecting anything significant to low levels away from the north.
http://images.meteociel.fr/im/7806/gfsnh-0-144_uyc7.png
GFS handles the energy very differently around the Southern tip of Greenland making everything flatter. My money is on an outcome closer to UKMO as that is classic GFS inability to handle these kind of synoptics.
trough in a state and break up to our east cant see depth of cool pool at that T120 but look forward to fax looks a cold run
it looks like it wants to tease .
quote=Gooner;550162]
Repeat and rinse NICE.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/navgeme_cartes.php?&ech=180&mode=0&carte=1
I think Steve M said we should throw GFS to the wolves, but the 12z is one of its better runs. Perhaps just the usual Friday wobble
imo I cant do that I have to take note and see where the opp sits with its members \i know it has its faults but it is still a very powerful tool.
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
GFS Control, along with a number of other Pertubations on the 12Z suite offer the first snow event of the season for large parts of england next Wednesday morning. 2-5cms maybe, for the higher ground at least. (which is what some snow accumulation charts on the previous page allude to). UKMO at the same time frame offer a similar possibility on the back edge. All goes to show how things can change in a few days, given that only a week ago it was zonal dross and 2 days ago it was snowtastic. All to play for this winter guys. FYI, even MBY (low altitute) has a 30% snow risk for the above time period. Probably won't happen, but the point is not all is lost!http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=307&y=103