Chances are we're stuck in a rut now til mid January. Seen it happen so many times.... Starring into the same model output for weeks on end while the clock ticks past and the days get longer.
Roll on spring...
Originally Posted by: Quantum
That, as they say, is pure speculation.
You must have seen the models flip in the past. A week ago the ECM ensembles were showing high pressure and a continental feed dominating out to 14 days. Then, in the last 2 days, they started to pick up on the high pressure easing away and allowing the Atlantic in.
It's still open to some extent for Xmas week although I am not optimistic that anything especially cold will appear, but I've not written it off completely.
I remember some winters where it was mild and changeable going into Xmas but the pattern changed by New Year.
Let's see where the 18z end up.
Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White