Just starting to get more interesting at last; firstly there's some quite organised activity moving into the SW that actually seems to be 50 or so miles SE of where Euro-4 predicted it would be (I'm still very impressed by that model, though!).
Secondly, there looks to be some shower development across the SE occuring INLAND i.e. as a result of diurnal heating... after all, surface temperatures are at 7-10*C, which is 2-4*C above the 950hPa temps and 8-11*C above the 850hPa temps.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser