Ahem.
12z GFS Analysis time.
This runs to t162hrs: West and NW and SW parts upto midday Tuesday and some Central areas for a time later I this slot, SW and NW heavy rain moves to Central Areas late, Dry and fine for East and SE parts of the UK.
Tuesday Evening Deep LP moves in for SW to Central much areas of South and SE as well with ares in North and NW drier and finer, but windy and spells of heavy rain with Severe Gales moves in S Central and E SE parrts inc. Wales West Country.
Wednesday Deep LP and temperatures chilly in the heavy rain, better in sunny spells and chilly or cold as well especially West and SW to Central parts, Severe gales with heavy rain plus followed by Squally blustery hail and thunderstorm showers.
Still Chilly and Showery on Thursday as LP moves up to NW and Central N UK, SW and South showers and sunny spells then later in daya band of rain by Thursday night for South band of heavy rain and chilly conditions with it, other areas see lighter Cyclonic or WSW flow and a few scattered showers.
Friday evening Deep LP will affect much of the UK particularly NW West and SE SW S areas Gales for Saturday west SW flow with Heavy rain followed by further heavy and Thundery showers and hail plus hill snow, Colder air from West and SW on Saturday p.m. And on Sunday plus some longer spells of rain with sleet and snow up over higher levels all areas, winds back NW on Sunday as the PV Low heads to our NE on Next Sunday.
That is it for now.
That's not, there is more the UKMO t120 for the UK is a respite fair settled day a break day, Winds very light W or NW then backing moderate or light SW as next Low approaches SW England, Wales and S. Ireland.
By Saturday it turns to Heavy rain band cross UK, and Gale to Severe Gales Cyclonic low pressure storm, with Cold Westerly winds later and showers some with hail and sleet plus snow as well, even to lower levels.
That does my part on here.
Bracknell fax charts and ECMWF I need to check later on today.
Plenty to worry about as far as reliable time frame UK forecasting is concerned.
Edited by user
02 February 2014 16:50:20
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Reason: Unspecified
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.